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Bluechip
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$BTC
Siamo in aumento dell'1% questo Natale. Vediamo fino a dove possiamo arrivare.
Bluechip
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Cosa succederà al $BTC a Natale?
Sia nel 2023 che nel 2024, abbiamo visto un aumento a Natale.
Poco dopo, il prezzo ha completamente invertito il movimento e è crollato due volte più forte il giorno di Santo Stefano.
Disclaimer: Include opinioni di terze parti. Non è una consulenza finanziaria. Può includere contenuti sponsorizzati.
Consulta i T&C.
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📊 INSIGHT: USDC’s market cap has jumped from $44B at the start of 2025 to $77B. That's a +$33B increase in under a year, highlighting the demand for stablecoins. $BTC
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SEVEN VECTORS. ONE QUARTER. ZERO PRECEDENT.
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THE SHADOW ACCORD On December 10, 2025, Stephen Miran voted to cut rates at the Federal Reserve. He is also Chairman of the Council of Economic Advisers. No one has held both positions since 1935, when Congress specifically prohibited it to protect Fed independence. Nine days earlier, the Fed ended QT. Eleven days later, it began buying $40B/month in Treasury bills. The Treasury issues bills to fund long-bond buybacks. The Fed buys those bills. Long-duration debt becomes short-duration debt becomes central bank reserves. The economic effect is debt monetization. The political presentation is "reserve management." Gold is up 70% this year. The dollar is down 10%. The markets know. The institutions won't say it. The Federal Reserve stopped being independent on December 1, 2025. They just forgot to tell you. #USGDPUpdate $BTC
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THE GREAT BIFURCATION Two economies now exist. Wall Street just recorded its largest weekly inflow in history. Main Street just recorded its largest full-time job loss in four years. These are not contradictions. They are consequences. Last week: $145 billion flooded into global equities. Seven stocks command 35% of the S&P 500. Leveraged long positions outnumber shorts 11.5 to 1. Bank of America's sentiment gauge hit 8.5, triggering a contrarian sell signal. Same sixty days: 983,000 full-time jobs vanished. 9.3 million Americans work multiple jobs. A record. Part-time employment hit 29.5 million. Another record. The mechanism is invisible but mathematically inevitable. Corporations are not firing workers. They are fragmenting employment to manage $2 trillion in leveraged debt without triggering covenant defaults. The stress appears not on earnings calls but in household schedules, benefit eliminations, and the silent multiplication of jobs required to maintain a single life. The bond market sees it. Gold broke $4,500. Japan's 10-year yield pierced 2.10%, highest since 1999. US interest payments reached $970 billion. Defense spending: $917 billion. For the first time in modern history, America spends more servicing debt than defending itself. The Federal Reserve just announced $40 billion monthly Treasury purchases. They called it "Reserve Management." The market calls it what it is: the buyer of last resort admitting private demand has collapsed. When everyone who wants to be long is already long at maximum leverage, the marginal buyer vanishes. Falsifiable thesis: US recession declared by Q3 2026. Two quarters of contraction. Unemployment above 5%. Kill conditions: GDP above 1.5% through mid-2026. One million full-time job recovery. The data has arrived. The price has not. Bookmark this. $BTC
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This is what I see developing for $BTC over the next 2 months.
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