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Cryptocurrency market is known for its sudden shifts, and Aster (ASTER) has recently become a prime example. In mid-January, the weakness in Aster’s price action was clearly shown when it hit a "supply zone" at $0.70—a level where many sellers were waiting. Over the last two weeks, Aster managed to climb to a high of $0.711, but that peak was short-lived. The price quickly fell back down, reaching a low of $0.403.
This sharp drop happened during a broader market sell-off when Bitcoin (BTC) dipped to the $60k mark. However, since hitting that low, Aster has staged an impressive comeback, bouncing up by 53.85% in just three days. While this rally looks exciting on the surface, there is a major "threat" looming that traders need to keep in mind.
Even with this recent jump, the 1-day price chart still shows a bearish (downward) trend. Adding to the concern is a massive upcoming token unlock scheduled for February 17th. On this day, 78.11 million ASTER tokens—worth approximately $44.49 million—will be released into the market. While these tokens aren't always sold immediately, they increase the total supply, which can lower the value of the coins already in circulation.
Given the current cautious mood of the market, many expect a wave of selling pressure later in February. On a more positive note, the project’s team has been active with its Strategic Reserve Buyback Fund, showing their long-term commitment by buying back tokens to help support the price.
ASTER bounce could extend slightly further
Despite the long-term worries, there is still some room for Aster to move higher in the very short term. Looking at the 1-day chart, the price broke its downward structure in mid-January. By using Fibonacci retracement levels—a tool traders use to find potential turning points—we can see that $0.656 and $0.725 are the key resistance levels to watch. These are the "ceilings" where the price might struggle to go higher.
Currently, moving averages show that the overall trend is still bearish, and the A/D (Accumulation/Distribution) indicator suggests that selling pressure remains steady. When you combine this bearish bias with the upcoming token release, the path forward for traders becomes much clearer.

Traders’ call to action – Sell the bounce
For many analysts, the best strategy right now is to "sell the bounce." Data shows that while liquidations around the $0.60 level have been cleared out, there is a thick "band of liquidity" near $0.734. This makes $0.734 a likely target for the price to hit before it potentially turns back down.
Furthermore, Bitcoin could see a "short squeeze" (a rapid price increase) toward $72k–$74k early in the week, which might temporarily pull Aster higher. Because of this, traders are advised to wait for the price to hit the $0.73–$0.74 range and watch for a bearish reaction before making a move. To the downside, the next targets for the price to fall toward are $0.53 and $0.46, with a possibility of returning to the $0.405 level eventually.

Final Thoughts
Bearish Trend: Aster’s price remains in a strong downward trend despite the 53% bounce seen over the last three days.
The Strategy: Traders should look to sell during this short-term rally as the price approaches $0.74.
The Unlock: The large token unlock on February 17th is a major event that could trigger more selling later this month.

Dogecoin is currently at a point where low costs and a steady group of investors are making the $0.11 price level a major goal. Recently, the cost to buy Dogecoin has dropped to its lowest point in months. For many people looking to invest, this change makes the balance between risk and reward look much more attractive.
The recent dip in price has made it cheaper for people to buy and hold DOGE at its current market rate. At the same time, data from the blockchain shows that current owners are not rushing to sell their coins. Instead, the general feeling among investors remains steady. The big question now is whether new money coming into the market can push prices high enough to break through current selling zones.
Acquisition cost hits a sweet spot
The actual cost at which people have been buying Dogecoin has dropped to a local low. In the past, when costs reach these levels, it usually attracts investors who have been waiting on the sidelines. These buyers see a lot of value at these prices, while those who want to sell start to hesitate.
This kind of setup often marks a transition phase. Dogecoin could be entering one of these phases right now, especially after recent shake-ups in the memecoin market following a broader downturn in the crypto world. However, for a quiet buildup to happen, the mood of current holders must stay positive.
Holders’ base remains firm
The number of people holding Dogecoin has grown significantly, increasing by roughly 8.2 million. This rising trend has remained consistent despite the recent ups and downs in the market. This large number of holders provides a strong foundation for new money to enter the market and drive the price up.
Even more importantly, the "Mean Dollar Invested Age" for Dogecoin sits at 53. This suggests that the coins are not being moved around aggressively and that long-term holders are staying put as new capital flows into the network. This behavior shows that investors have conviction and are not panicking because of recent market crashes. When holders refuse to sell at lower prices, the pressure for the price to drop further usually weakens.Liquidity target comes into focus
Looking at the technical side of things, Dogecoin is currently moving within a "flag" structure. While the price is being squeezed and some recent upward momentum shows signs of slowing down, other indicators tell a different story. The Stochastic RSI, which tracks market momentum, is bouncing back from an "oversold" area. This points to a potential continuation of upward growth in the long run.
Data from liquidation heatmaps shows a significant $1.63 million liquidity cluster around the $0.11 level. This makes $0.11 a key price target in the near future, as markets often move toward these high-liquidity zones. If new money continues to flow into DOGE, the price could be pulled toward this level. Such a move would be more than just a small bounce; it could potentially break the current consolidation pattern entirely.
What’s next for DOGE?
Dogecoin does not necessarily need social media hype to move; right now, it needs liquidity. With buying costs being low, holders staying steady, and a clear price magnet sitting just overhead, the conditions are quietly coming together.
If buyers step in with confidence, the hunt for $0.11 could be the spark the market needs. If that price level is reached and cleared, Dogecoin could be on the verge of breaking free from its current pattern and starting a new upward trend.
Final Thoughts
In summary, the cost to acquire Dogecoin has dropped to a point that improves the risk-reward balance for investors. Additionally, the $1.63 million liquidity cluster near $0.11 acts like a magnet that could attract the price if fresh money continues to flow into the network. For now, all eyes are on whether Dogecoin can build enough momentum to hit that target.

Bitcoin is currently navigating a period of intense uncertainty following a volatile week. After bouncing from the $60,000 mark to reach a local high of $72,100 on Sunday, February 8th, the market has entered a "quiet" phase. Traders are now closely watching the New York trading sessions to see if Bitcoin will face a rejection at the $72,000–$74,000 supply zone or successfully break through it.
Is Bitcoin’s price bounce faltering?
A closer look at the 4-hour technical charts suggests that Bitcoin remains in a bearish trend. Although the price recovered recently, technical indicators like the Fibonacci retracement levels show that the $71,900 and $75,100 marks are acting as significant hurdles.
While some momentum indicators, such as the MACD, are nearing a bullish crossover, other metrics like the On-Balance Volume (OBV) tell a different story. The OBV has failed to rise alongside the price, indicating that this recent bounce happened on low trading volume.
Because the move upward lacks strong buying conviction, many analysts believe the current bounce might be a "trap" for buyers. The prevailing sentiment suggests a bearish bias, where traders might use this temporary price increase as an opportunity to "go short" (betting on a price drop). For the market structure to officially turn bullish and cancel this negative outlook, Bitcoin would need a sustained move above $79,300.
Furthermore, liquidation data shows that while many positions around the $72,000 area have been cleared, the price hasn't reacted with a swift downward move yet. Instead, it continues to hover near $70,000. This sideways movement is suspicious to some experts, who hint that a "short squeeze" could be engineered. In this scenario, Bitcoin could suddenly rally toward $80,000 to trigger the stop-losses of short-sellers before eventually resuming a longer-term downward trend.
Retail panic drives sell pressure
On-chain data highlights that small Bitcoin holders—often called "shrimps" (those holding less than 1 BTC)—are currently driving much of the sell pressure. These retail investors tend to react emotionally to price drops. Data shows a significant increase in Bitcoin being moved to exchanges following the price crashes in October and the recent breakdowns.Unlike previous market cycles where retail investors helped drive prices higher, this segment of the market has remained largely on the sidelines during the price gains of 2025. Their recent activity shows extreme bearishness and panic, which often contrasts with the behavior of larger, more "patient" institutional investors.
Final Thoughts
In summary, the market is at a crossroads. There is a distinct possibility of an extended "fake out" bounce that could push Bitcoin toward $80,000 to hunt for liquidity before a deeper correction occurs. At the same time, small retail investors are showing signs of panic, having been less active during this cycle compared to previous years. As Bitcoin teeters near the $72,000 mark, the coming days will determine if this was a genuine recovery or a well-placed trap for optimistic traders.

Il mondo delle memecoin è solitamente pieno di momenti "effimeri", ma PIPPIN, il token basato su Solana e agente IA, sta attualmente raccontando una storia diversa. Mentre la maggior parte del mercato crypto ha faticato a trovare un equilibrio, PIPPIN ha recentemente scioccato i trader saltando oltre il 50% in un solo giorno.
È solo un picco fortunato, o sta succedendo qualcosa di più grande? Vediamo perché la tendenza suggerisce che ci sia una maggiore crescita in arrivo.
Una forte posizione contro il mercato
Ultimamente, i grandi attori come Bitcoin sono stati su un po' di montagne russe, scendendo anche verso il segno di $80k recentemente. In tempi come questi, la maggior parte delle criptovalute più piccole di solito crollano. Tuttavia, PIPPIN ha mostrato "forza relativa." Questo significa che mentre altre criptovalute stavano scendendo, PIPPIN è rimasto forte e ha persino iniziato a salire. L'8 febbraio, è uscito da un livello di supporto di $0.157, dimostrando che gli acquirenti sono ancora molto interessati a questo unicorno guidato dall'IA.

Ethereum market is currently witnessing a rare and historic shift. While the cryptocurrency has grown into a multi-trillion-dollar ecosystem, its available supply on exchanges has suddenly dropped to levels not seen since 2016. This massive change in liquidity is raising serious questions about how stable the price will be in the coming months.
The Massive Liquidation of Trend Research
A major catalyst for the current market conversation is the recent activity of Trend Research. On-chain data reveals that the fund completely exited its Ethereum position this month. By selling off its entire ETH holdings, the fund raised approximately $1.74 billion. However, this move wasn't a victory lap; the trade was actually a desperate move to repay outstanding loans, resulting in a realized loss of about $750 million. This was the final collapse of a massive $2.6 billion "long" position that had been built using borrowed funds from the Aave platform. Today, the fund’s wallets are nearly empty, holding mostly stablecoins and almost no Ethereum.
A Return to 2016 Supply Levels
What makes this situation truly unusual is where this selling happened. Usually, high trading volume happens in a "liquid" market where there are plenty of buyers and sellers. However, data from CryptoQuant shows that the total amount of ETH sitting on exchanges has fallen to roughly 16 million ETH. This is the exact same amount of supply that was available during Ethereum's very first year of full trading back in 2016. The difference is that in 2016, Ethereum was a tiny, experimental project. Today, it is a global financial pillar, yet the "shelf space" on exchanges is as empty as it was a decade ago.
Ethereum vs. Bitcoin: A Diverging Path
Interestingly, Ethereum is behaving very differently from Bitcoin. While Bitcoin’s exchange balances have recently rebounded to match 2019 levels, Ethereum’s supply continues to shrink. While some of this supply has moved to "Over-the-Counter" (OTC) markets where big private deals happen, those balances are still too small to replace what has been lost from public exchanges. This creates a "thin" market. When liquidity is low, even a relatively small trade can cause the price to swing wildly in either direction because there aren't enough orders to absorb the impact.
The Current Struggle with Price Weakness
At the time of these reports, Ethereum was trading around $2,077, which is a significant 37% drop from its recent highs of $3,300. Technical indicators show that the "bears" are currently in control. The selling volume has expanded during this decline, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI)—a tool used to measure market momentum—is sitting at a low 31.22, signaling that the market is feeling heavy pressure. While big names like Tom Lee-backed Bitmine have stepped in to buy the dip, and even controversial figures like the Infini exploiter have purchased thousands of ETH, the overall trend remains shaky.
Final Thoughts on Market Stability
The combination of record-low exchange supply and aggressive selling from major players has created a volatile environment. With only 16 million ETH available on exchanges, the market has become highly sensitive. The main takeaway for observers is that Ethereum is entering a phase where price discovery could become unpredictable. Because the market is so "thin," even modest buy or sell orders could now move the price aggressively, making the road ahead look both interesting and uncertain.
#WhaleDeRiskETH #GoldSilverRally #BinanceBitcoinSAFUFund #USIranStandoff
$ETH

Nel mondo ad alto rischio di Wall Street, Michael Saylor ha orchestrato uno dei cambiamenti più audaci nella storia aziendale. Una volta conosciuta principalmente come un'azienda di intelligenza commerciale stabile, MicroStrategy (MSTR) ha abbandonato la sua pelle ereditata per emergere come il principale proxy istituzionale per Bitcoin. Trattando la criptovaluta più famosa al mondo non solo come un investimento, ma come la riserva di tesoreria primaria dell'azienda, Saylor ha creato un veicolo finanziario che offre agli investitori un accesso unico e con leva nello spazio degli asset digitali.

Il mercato globale dell'oro nel 2025 è stato caratterizzato da una notevole divergenza nel modo in cui le banche centrali africane gestivano le loro riserve di metalli preziosi. Di fronte alla tripla minaccia della svalutazione della valuta, dell'inflazione persistente e dei prezzi globali fluttuanti, le potenze economiche del continente si sono mosse in direzioni opposte: alcune stringevano l'oro come uno scudo, mentre altre lo usavano come una zattera di salvataggio.
Il Contrasto dei Titani: Egitto vs. Ghana
Il capitolo più avvincente di questa storia risiede nei percorsi opposti intrapresi da Il Cairo e Accra. L'Egitto è emerso come il compratore d'oro più aggressivo dell'Africa, vedendo il metallo come una copertura critica contro i rischi di finanziamento esterno e un modo per stabilizzare le riserve in mezzo ai continui programmi del FMI. Per l'Egitto, l'oro non è solo una merce; è un pilastro della difesa fiscale.

La vendita è avvenuta in un contesto di disinvestimento più ampio, ma il calo delle criptovalute si è accelerato perché $70.000 era una linea di posizionamento molto osservata. Una volta che è fallita, la dinamica del mercato ha preso il sopravvento: i trigger di liquidazione, le offerte più sottili e l'esecuzione forzata contavano più di qualsiasi singolo titolo.
Il tono macro era già aspro e lo sfondo del sentimento ha reso più facile estendere la pausa. L'Indice di Paura & Avidità delle Criptovalute è sceso a 9 (“Paura Estrema”), il suo livello più basso in circa 42 mesi, mentre i mercati delle opzioni mostravano i trader che pagavano per la protezione al ribasso e l'interesse aperto nei futures scivolava verso i minimi di diversi mesi—segni che gli investitori stavano coprendosi piuttosto che spingere verso il rischio.

Il mercato delle criptovalute ha assistito a una significativa ripresa questo lunedì, con Bitcoin che ha riconquistato e stabilizzato sopra la soglia psicologica di $70.000. Questo rally segue un periodo volatile in cui il principale asset digitale del mondo è sceso verso $60.000, innescato da pesanti liquidazioni e un ritiro più ampio da asset ad alto rischio. Il recente rimbalzo, che ha visto un aumento di oltre il 12% in una sola sessione alla fine della settimana scorsa, segna un cambiamento decisivo nel sentiment degli investitori mentre i cacciatori di affari sono intervenuti per capitalizzare il profondo ritracciamento.

Il mercato delle criptovalute ha assistito a un significativo risveglio questo lunedì, con Bitcoin che ha recuperato e si è stabilizzato sopra la soglia psicologica di $70.000. Questo rally segue un periodo volatile in cui il principale asset digitale del mondo è sceso verso $60.000, innescato da pesanti liquidazioni e un ritiro più ampio da asset ad alto rischio. Il recente rimbalzo, che ha visto un aumento di oltre il 12% in una singola sessione alla fine della scorsa settimana, segna un cambiamento decisivo nel sentiment degli investitori mentre i cacciatori di affari sono intervenuti per capitalizzare il profondo ritiro.

In un'azione che ha creato onde nel mercato globale delle materie prime, Rio Tinto ha ufficialmente staccato la spina a una storica fusione da 200 miliardi di dollari con Glencore. Il crollo di queste negoziazioni ad alto rischio pone fine a quella che sarebbe stata la più grande consolidazione nella storia mineraria, intesa a creare un titano indiscusso nella corsa per i minerali critici dell'Africa.
Uno Scontro di Valutazione tra Titan
Nonostante settimane di colloqui intensivi, l'accordo si è infranto a causa di un disaccordo fondamentale sul "valore futuro" dell'entità combinata. Glencore, un colosso sia nell'estrazione mineraria che nel trading globale di materie prime, avrebbe rifiutato la struttura proposta, sostenendo che "sottovalutava significativamente" i suoi asset di rame e il suo pipeline di crescita a lungo termine. In particolare, la leadership di Glencore riteneva che i termini non tenessero conto di un "premio di controllo"—un bonus standard pagato quando una società acquisisce un'altra—specialmente poiché Rio Tinto mirava a mantenere sia il ruolo di Presidente che quello di CEO nella nuova gerarchia.

Con l'avvicinarsi del Capodanno Lunare, la Banca Popolare Cinese (PBOC) ha avviato una massiccia strategia di iniezione di capitale per stabilizzare il sistema finanziario nazionale. Di fronte a un'imponente carenza di liquidità di $456 miliardi, la banca centrale sta agendo in modo aggressivo per garantire che il settore bancario del paese rimanga fluido durante uno dei periodi più significativi di domanda di liquidità stagionale al mondo.
Affrontare la Crisi di Liquidità Stagionale
Il principale motore dietro questa improvvisa necessità di capitale è la prossima festività del Capodanno Lunare. Durante questo periodo, la domanda di contante fisico e liquidità digitale aumenta poiché le aziende liquidano i bonus di fine anno e i cittadini partecipano a tradizionali scambi di regali e viaggi. Per prevenire eventuali congestioni nel mercato interbancario, la PBOC sta aumentando proattivamente l'offerta di denaro disponibile per i prestatori commerciali.