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All the fresh liquidity flowing into the market is nothing but fuel for the market makers, who are quietly preparing the next major downside move. Don’t act surprised—this scenario was already projected weeks ago! What we’re witnessing now is part of their calculated setup. Market makers are deliberately pushing altcoins higher, not to reward traders, but to trap them before unleashing a heavy dump across the market. I’m aligning my position with the downside, because why limit yourself to chasing 2–3 altcoins when you can capture the liquidity of the entire market? Remember, this is not just a move—it’s the setup for the bigger play.
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*🇺🇸CPI US (Ago.)🇺🇸*
*Titolo:*
M/M: 0.4% (atteso 0.3%, precedente 0.2%)
Y/Y: 2.9% (atteso 2.9%, precedente 2.7%)
*Core:*
M/M: 0.3% (atteso 0.3%, precedente 0.3%)
Y/Y: 3.1% (atteso 3.1%, precedente 3.1%)
*Titolo:*
M/M: 0.4% (atteso 0.3%, precedente 0.2%)
Y/Y: 2.9% (atteso 2.9%, precedente 2.7%)
*Core:*
M/M: 0.3% (atteso 0.3%, precedente 0.3%)
Y/Y: 3.1% (atteso 3.1%, precedente 3.1%)
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Aggiornamento rapido e importante sul mercato
Bitcoin ha mostrato forza, scambiando all'interno dell'intervallo di 112,300 a 112,800 dollari nelle ultime ventiquattro ore, riflettendo un leggero movimento verso l'alto di circa un percento. Il mercato più ampio rimane misto, con Ethereum che sale modestamente, Solana che avanza di circa tre percento, XRP che vede un forte rally del quattro percento e Dogecoin che salta oltre il sette percento. Gli altcoin stanno chiaramente beneficiando di afflussi speculativi mentre Bitcoin mantiene una dominanza relativamente stabile.
Da una prospettiva tecnica, il mercato sta inclinando verso un bias rialzista con le medie mobili che si allineano a favore degli acquirenti. Le medie a breve termine si aggirano attorno a 111,800 mentre i livelli a lungo termine intorno a 113,200 e 114,600 fungono da punti di riferimento per i trader. Il supporto si sta formando appena sopra 110,800, il che è rinforzato dalla media mobile delle cento ore, mentre la resistenza rimane limitata vicino a 113,000. Una rottura pulita sopra questo livello potrebbe aprire la strada a 115,000 e zone più alte, mentre una caduta al di sotto del supporto a breve termine potrebbe innescare un calo verso 109,000.
Da una prospettiva tecnica, il mercato sta inclinando verso un bias rialzista con le medie mobili che si allineano a favore degli acquirenti. Le medie a breve termine si aggirano attorno a 111,800 mentre i livelli a lungo termine intorno a 113,200 e 114,600 fungono da punti di riferimento per i trader. Il supporto si sta formando appena sopra 110,800, il che è rinforzato dalla media mobile delle cento ore, mentre la resistenza rimane limitata vicino a 113,000. Una rottura pulita sopra questo livello potrebbe aprire la strada a 115,000 e zone più alte, mentre una caduta al di sotto del supporto a breve termine potrebbe innescare un calo verso 109,000.
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Aggiornamento del mercato
Il recente aumento delle altcoin dovrebbe essere affrontato con estrema cautela. Anche se i prezzi di molti token sembrano essere in rialzo, le dinamiche di mercato sottostanti suggeriscono un quadro molto diverso. Quello che stiamo osservando è una classica trappola di liquidità: un rally a breve termine progettato per attirare acquirenti ritardatari mentre i grandi attori riducono silenziosamente le loro posizioni.
Questo tipo di movimento è una strategia ben nota nei mercati altamente leve: spingere i prezzi verso l'alto nel breve termine, creare l'illusione di forza e utilizzare l'entusiasmo dei dettaglianti come liquidità di uscita. Il forte slancio al rialzo nelle altcoin non rappresenta l'inizio di una "altseason" sostenibile. Invece, riflette una fase di distribuzione in cui il rischio viene trasferito da denaro intelligente a partecipanti meno esperti.
Questo tipo di movimento è una strategia ben nota nei mercati altamente leve: spingere i prezzi verso l'alto nel breve termine, creare l'illusione di forza e utilizzare l'entusiasmo dei dettaglianti come liquidità di uscita. Il forte slancio al rialzo nelle altcoin non rappresenta l'inizio di una "altseason" sostenibile. Invece, riflette una fase di distribuzione in cui il rischio viene trasferito da denaro intelligente a partecipanti meno esperti.
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Il rapporto sui lavori di oggi è stato piuttosto debole… ma l'S&P 500 ha appena raggiunto un nuovo massimo storico
Ma come è successo ?
Perché il mercato azionario non si muove sempre con l'economia reale.
I numeri deboli dei lavori hanno reso Wall Street fiduciosa che la Fed taglierà i tassi
Il rapporto non era abbastanza cattivo da causare panico a Wall Street
Tassi più bassi = più carburante per le azioni, anche se le persone comuni si sentono ancora come se le cose fossero difficili.
Riepilogo
Le persone che possiedono azioni e beni potrebbero diventare ancora più ricche.
Le persone che non lo fanno si sentiranno lasciate indietro.
Il mercato già prevede che questo accadrà.
Ma come è successo ?
Perché il mercato azionario non si muove sempre con l'economia reale.
I numeri deboli dei lavori hanno reso Wall Street fiduciosa che la Fed taglierà i tassi
Il rapporto non era abbastanza cattivo da causare panico a Wall Street
Tassi più bassi = più carburante per le azioni, anche se le persone comuni si sentono ancora come se le cose fossero difficili.
Riepilogo
Le persone che possiedono azioni e beni potrebbero diventare ancora più ricche.
Le persone che non lo fanno si sentiranno lasciate indietro.
Il mercato già prevede che questo accadrà.
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$ETH si muove come $BTC ha fatto nel 2021.
Ecco che ci siamo! 🚀
Ecco che ci siamo! 🚀
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Il rapporto sui lavori di oggi è uno dei più importanti finora.
Il presidente della Fed Jerome Powell non sta abbassando i tassi a causa di due cose:
Incertezze riguardo ai dazi.
Un mercato del lavoro forte (molte persone che lavorano)
Ma proprio ora il mercato del lavoro potrebbe essere effettivamente più debole di quanto le persone pensino.
Quindi, se il tasso di disoccupazione supera il 4,3% oggi, la Fed probabilmente abbasserà i tassi di interesse dello 0,50% a settembre, e probabilmente vedremo almeno tre tagli dei tassi quest'anno.
#JobCuts
Il presidente della Fed Jerome Powell non sta abbassando i tassi a causa di due cose:
Incertezze riguardo ai dazi.
Un mercato del lavoro forte (molte persone che lavorano)
Ma proprio ora il mercato del lavoro potrebbe essere effettivamente più debole di quanto le persone pensino.
Quindi, se il tasso di disoccupazione supera il 4,3% oggi, la Fed probabilmente abbasserà i tassi di interesse dello 0,50% a settembre, e probabilmente vedremo almeno tre tagli dei tassi quest'anno.
#JobCuts
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Al Simposio Economico di Jackson Hole del 2025, il Presidente della Federal Reserve Jerome Powell ha indicato che un taglio dei tassi è una possibilità nel prossimo futuro, citando un mercato del lavoro in indebolimento.
Un rapporto sull'occupazione superiore alle aspettative rafforzerebbe probabilmente il recente cambiamento della Federal Reserve verso una posizione più accomodante e aumenterebbe l'urgenza per un taglio dei tassi.
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
Un rapporto sull'occupazione superiore alle aspettative rafforzerebbe probabilmente il recente cambiamento della Federal Reserve verso una posizione più accomodante e aumenterebbe l'urgenza per un taglio dei tassi.
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
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📊 Dati sul lavoro negli Stati Uniti Oggi
Buste paga non agricole (NFP) & Tasso di disoccupazione in calo alle 18:00 IST 🇺🇸
⚡️ Alta volatilità prevista nel settore crypto & nei mercati.
Fai trading in sicurezza, gestisci il rischio! ✅
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
Buste paga non agricole (NFP) & Tasso di disoccupazione in calo alle 18:00 IST 🇺🇸
⚡️ Alta volatilità prevista nel settore crypto & nei mercati.
Fai trading in sicurezza, gestisci il rischio! ✅
#USNonFarmPayrollReport
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FED’S WILLIAMS: TARIFFS LIKELY TO ADD 1.00%-1.50% TO INFLATION THIS YEAR
FED’S WILLIAMS: IT MAY TAKE LONGER TO GAUGE FULL IMPACT OF TARIFFS IN INFLATION DATA
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #
FED’S WILLIAMS: IT MAY TAKE LONGER TO GAUGE FULL IMPACT OF TARIFFS IN INFLATION DATA
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #
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Il CryptoMarket è sotto pressione sia da fattori macro che tecnici, ma ci sono anche segnali
Storicamente, settembre tende ad essere uno dei mesi più deboli per Bitcoin, e questo schema stagionale sta influenzando il sentimento. Bitcoin sta lottando vicino a $110K, con $107K–$108K come zona di supporto critica; se questo regge, potrebbe aprire la strada a un'altra spinta verso $115K–$118K.
Dal lato fondamentale, rimane cautela in attesa dei dati sull'inflazione e sull'occupazione negli Stati Uniti, che potrebbero influenzare la politica della Federal Reserve. Tuttavia, l'aumento della probabilità di un taglio dei tassi entro la fine di quest'anno potrebbe fornire venti favorevoli per gli asset a rischio, inclusa la crittografia. Bitcoin mostra anche un comportamento da bene rifugio, muovendosi più in linea con l'oro, il che rafforza la sua narrativa di investimento a lungo termine. $BTC
Dal lato fondamentale, rimane cautela in attesa dei dati sull'inflazione e sull'occupazione negli Stati Uniti, che potrebbero influenzare la politica della Federal Reserve. Tuttavia, l'aumento della probabilità di un taglio dei tassi entro la fine di quest'anno potrebbe fornire venti favorevoli per gli asset a rischio, inclusa la crittografia. Bitcoin mostra anche un comportamento da bene rifugio, muovendosi più in linea con l'oro, il che rafforza la sua narrativa di investimento a lungo termine. $BTC
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Ethereum update
Ethereum is currently trading around 4,400 USDT, with a market capitalization of roughly 532 billion dollars and a dominance of about 13–14% in the total crypto market. Its 24-hour trading volume ranges between 31 and 61 billion dollars, showing consistent liquidity, while its performance over the past week has seen a mild decline of about 4% despite being slightly up in the last 24 hours. This reflects a short-term consolidation phase within a broader bullish structure.
From a technical perspective, Ethereum is trading comfortably above its 200-day moving average, which keeps the long-term trend firmly bullish. The 4,000 level remains a key support zone where whales and institutions have consistently accumulated, while resistance is found near 4,700 to 4,950, close to its all-time high. The price action suggests that as long as Ethereum holds above 4,000, the bias remains bullish to neutral. Fibonacci retracement levels between 4,400 and 4,550 act as near-term pivots, and a breakout above 4,950 could open the door to a test of 5,500 and beyond.
Fundamentally, Ethereum remains the leading smart contract platform with unmatched adoption in decentralized finance, NFTs, and enterprise use cases. Its transition to proof of stake has reduced inflation and encouraged massive staking inflows, locking up a large portion of supply. The project is steered by a strong development team and community, led by Vitalik Buterin, with a roadmap that includes upcoming upgrades like Fusaka, Pectra, and Glamsterdam. Each step is designed to improve scalability, efficiency, and validator flexibility, further solidifying Ethereum’s role as the backbone of Web3.
On-chain activity strongly supports the bullish narrative. Institutional whales have accumulated billions of dollars’ worth of ETH in recent months, moving significant amounts into staking. Reports suggest that over 22% of the circulating supply has been absorbed by institutions, reducing available liquidity on exchanges. Large withdrawals and staking ratios are increasing, while NVT and MVRV indicators remain at healthy levels, suggesting ETH is fairly valued with room to grow. Active address data is steadier, reflecting less retail churn and more institutional dominance, which aligns with long-term confidence in the asset.
Recent developments have further strengthened sentiment. The announcement of the Fusaka upgrade has attracted attention as it promises lower gas costs and better scalability. Institutional participation is growing rapidly, highlighted by Ether Machine’s 654 million dollar raise and expectations of a Nasdaq debut, as well as Standard Chartered lifting its year-end forecast for ETH to 7,500 dollars and projecting 25,000 by 2028. Peter Thiel and other major investors have publicly signaled their long-term commitment to Ethereum, adding weight to the thesis that ETH could rival Bitcoin not just in market cap, but in global relevance.
Looking ahead, upcoming events like the Fusaka and Pectra upgrades, combined with the continued success of staking and ETF inflows, provide strong potential catalysts. The market sentiment currently stands neutral on the fear and greed index at 51, but underlying signals are more bullish, particularly with institutions quietly accumulating while retail interest remains steady.
In the short term, Ethereum is expected to trade between 4,000 and 4,950, with strong support at the lower end and the possibility of a breakout to new highs if momentum builds. Over the medium term, continued inflows and upgrades could push Ethereum toward 6,000 to 7,500 by early 2026. In the longer horizon of one to three years, if Ethereum executes its roadmap successfully and institutional adoption keeps expanding, targets between 15,000 and 25,000 remain within reach.
For swing traders, the 4,000–4,200 region represents an attractive accumulation zone with upside targets around 4,700 to 4,950, while a stop-loss below 3,900 helps manage downside risk. For long-term investors, a dollar-cost averaging strategy around current levels remains highly favorable, especially considering Ethereum’s unique role in DeFi, staking economics, and its constant evolution. Risks remain tied to regulatory challenges, potential delays in upgrades, and rising competition from alternative blockchains, but the overall outlook for Ethereum remains strongly bullish in both the medium and long term.
$ETH
From a technical perspective, Ethereum is trading comfortably above its 200-day moving average, which keeps the long-term trend firmly bullish. The 4,000 level remains a key support zone where whales and institutions have consistently accumulated, while resistance is found near 4,700 to 4,950, close to its all-time high. The price action suggests that as long as Ethereum holds above 4,000, the bias remains bullish to neutral. Fibonacci retracement levels between 4,400 and 4,550 act as near-term pivots, and a breakout above 4,950 could open the door to a test of 5,500 and beyond.
Fundamentally, Ethereum remains the leading smart contract platform with unmatched adoption in decentralized finance, NFTs, and enterprise use cases. Its transition to proof of stake has reduced inflation and encouraged massive staking inflows, locking up a large portion of supply. The project is steered by a strong development team and community, led by Vitalik Buterin, with a roadmap that includes upcoming upgrades like Fusaka, Pectra, and Glamsterdam. Each step is designed to improve scalability, efficiency, and validator flexibility, further solidifying Ethereum’s role as the backbone of Web3.
On-chain activity strongly supports the bullish narrative. Institutional whales have accumulated billions of dollars’ worth of ETH in recent months, moving significant amounts into staking. Reports suggest that over 22% of the circulating supply has been absorbed by institutions, reducing available liquidity on exchanges. Large withdrawals and staking ratios are increasing, while NVT and MVRV indicators remain at healthy levels, suggesting ETH is fairly valued with room to grow. Active address data is steadier, reflecting less retail churn and more institutional dominance, which aligns with long-term confidence in the asset.
Recent developments have further strengthened sentiment. The announcement of the Fusaka upgrade has attracted attention as it promises lower gas costs and better scalability. Institutional participation is growing rapidly, highlighted by Ether Machine’s 654 million dollar raise and expectations of a Nasdaq debut, as well as Standard Chartered lifting its year-end forecast for ETH to 7,500 dollars and projecting 25,000 by 2028. Peter Thiel and other major investors have publicly signaled their long-term commitment to Ethereum, adding weight to the thesis that ETH could rival Bitcoin not just in market cap, but in global relevance.
Looking ahead, upcoming events like the Fusaka and Pectra upgrades, combined with the continued success of staking and ETF inflows, provide strong potential catalysts. The market sentiment currently stands neutral on the fear and greed index at 51, but underlying signals are more bullish, particularly with institutions quietly accumulating while retail interest remains steady.
In the short term, Ethereum is expected to trade between 4,000 and 4,950, with strong support at the lower end and the possibility of a breakout to new highs if momentum builds. Over the medium term, continued inflows and upgrades could push Ethereum toward 6,000 to 7,500 by early 2026. In the longer horizon of one to three years, if Ethereum executes its roadmap successfully and institutional adoption keeps expanding, targets between 15,000 and 25,000 remain within reach.
For swing traders, the 4,000–4,200 region represents an attractive accumulation zone with upside targets around 4,700 to 4,950, while a stop-loss below 3,900 helps manage downside risk. For long-term investors, a dollar-cost averaging strategy around current levels remains highly favorable, especially considering Ethereum’s unique role in DeFi, staking economics, and its constant evolution. Risks remain tied to regulatory challenges, potential delays in upgrades, and rising competition from alternative blockchains, but the overall outlook for Ethereum remains strongly bullish in both the medium and long term.
$ETH
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Crypto market update
• Bitcoin (BTC) is trading around $111,400, gaining +2.4% intraday after bouncing back from $107,500 lows.$BTC
• Ethereum (ETH) sits near $4,314, showing mild recovery after recent selling pressure.$ETH
• Overall, the global crypto market cap has risen to ~$3.9 trillion, with 24h trading volumes crossing $165 billion.
• Major altcoins remain mixed: XRP down 0.4%, Solana flat, and Dogecoin slipping 2.5%.$SOL
• Support Levels: $110K – $107K
• Resistance Levels: $124K (recent peak), eyeing $140K if momentum continues
• Indicators:
• RSI ~60 → Mild bullish momentum
• MACD → Positive crossover (Buy signal)
• Dormant wallets awake: Two old wallets from 2011 moved 20,000 BTC (~$2B) after 14 years.
• Last month, another 80,000 BTC (~$8.6B) shifted from early-era wallets.
• While no immediate selling has been confirmed, these whale movements raise concerns of potential market pressure if coins hit exchanges.
• Fear & Greed Index: Neutral at 49, showing balanced trader psychology.
• Binance’s index still signals “Fear” at 39, reflecting caution.
• Market is not in panic, but also not euphoric—investors remain watchful after whale wallet movements.
• All eyes on U.S. jobs report later this week. A weaker jobs number could increase expectations of Fed rate cuts, boosting risk assets like Bitcoin.
• Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, adding billions in liquidity and supporting price stability.
• Bitcoin short-term target: Holding above $110K keeps bulls in control; next breakout zone sits at $124K.
• Ethereum: Key support at $4,000, with upside potential toward $4,500–$5,000 if confidence returns.
• Risks: Whale wallet activity, macroeconomic data, and possible corrections from overbought technicals.
#
• Ethereum (ETH) sits near $4,314, showing mild recovery after recent selling pressure.$ETH
• Overall, the global crypto market cap has risen to ~$3.9 trillion, with 24h trading volumes crossing $165 billion.
• Major altcoins remain mixed: XRP down 0.4%, Solana flat, and Dogecoin slipping 2.5%.$SOL
• Support Levels: $110K – $107K
• Resistance Levels: $124K (recent peak), eyeing $140K if momentum continues
• Indicators:
• RSI ~60 → Mild bullish momentum
• MACD → Positive crossover (Buy signal)
• Dormant wallets awake: Two old wallets from 2011 moved 20,000 BTC (~$2B) after 14 years.
• Last month, another 80,000 BTC (~$8.6B) shifted from early-era wallets.
• While no immediate selling has been confirmed, these whale movements raise concerns of potential market pressure if coins hit exchanges.
• Fear & Greed Index: Neutral at 49, showing balanced trader psychology.
• Binance’s index still signals “Fear” at 39, reflecting caution.
• Market is not in panic, but also not euphoric—investors remain watchful after whale wallet movements.
• All eyes on U.S. jobs report later this week. A weaker jobs number could increase expectations of Fed rate cuts, boosting risk assets like Bitcoin.
• Institutional inflows into Bitcoin ETFs remain strong, adding billions in liquidity and supporting price stability.
• Bitcoin short-term target: Holding above $110K keeps bulls in control; next breakout zone sits at $124K.
• Ethereum: Key support at $4,000, with upside potential toward $4,500–$5,000 if confidence returns.
• Risks: Whale wallet activity, macroeconomic data, and possible corrections from overbought technicals.
#
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SEC & CFTC staff just issued a joint statement clarifying that SEC and CFTC-registered exchanges are not prohibited from facilitating the trading of certain spot crypto asset products.
SEC Chair Paul Atkins said: “Market participants should have the freedom to choose where they trade spot crypto assets.”
CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham said: “Under the prior administration, our agencies sent mixed signals about regulation and compliance in digital asset markets, but the message was clear: innovation was not welcome. That chapter is over.”
SEC Chair Paul Atkins said: “Market participants should have the freedom to choose where they trade spot crypto assets.”
CFTC Acting Chair Caroline Pham said: “Under the prior administration, our agencies sent mixed signals about regulation and compliance in digital asset markets, but the message was clear: innovation was not welcome. That chapter is over.”
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Coinbase is launching a new type of financial product that allows investors to buy and sell some of the world's largest technology companies and key crypto assets. This is the first time a U.S.-listed derivative product will offer combined exposure to both traditional equities and cryptocurrencies in a single contract.
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