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January Last Week Alert 🛑📰As we move into the final week of January 2026, a unique "convergence" of events is creating high volatility across currencies, equities, and crypto. Here is what is coming "next week" (and the final days of this week) regarding the Fed, the Yen, and Tariffs: ### 1. The Fed Meeting (January 27–28) The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is the centerpiece of the week. * **The Expectation:** A **"Hawkish Pause."** After three consecutive cuts in late 2025, the Fed is expected to hold the interest rate at **3.5%–3.75%** on Wednesday, Jan 28. * **The Drama:** Chair Jerome Powell is currently under significant political pressure and a DOJ probe regarding internal bank expenditures. Markets are watching to see if he asserts independence or hints at a "neutral rate" of 3% to align with the administration's wishes. * **Data Gap:** Because of the recent government shutdown, the Fed is flying "blind" with missing PCE inflation data, making Powell’s press conference at **2:30 PM ET on Jan 28** extremely unpredictable. ### 2. The Yen Surge & "Coordinated Intervention" The Japanese Yen (JPY) has become the hottest story in forex this week. * **The Move:** USD/JPY plummeted from **159.00 to nearly 153.50** in just 48 hours. * **What’s Happening:** There is heavy speculation that the **New York Fed and the Bank of Japan** are conducting "coordinated intervention" to support the Yen. * **Next Week’s Risk:** If the Fed sounds bullish on Wednesday, the Yen could give back these gains. However, Japan’s Prime Minister Takaichi has warned she will take "all necessary measures" to stop speculative moves before the **February 8 Japanese election**. ### 3. The "Greenland Tariffs" (Effective Feb 1) The trade war has entered a bizarre new chapter centered on the Arctic. * **The Deadline:** President Trump’s threatened **10% tariff** on eight European nations (including Germany, France, and the UK) is set to trigger on **February 1** (this Sunday). * **The Cause:** The administration is using these tariffs as leverage to pressure a deal for the U.S. to "purchase" Greenland from Denmark. * **Market Impact:** European leaders have threatened to halt a major US-EU trade deal in retaliation. This "geopolitical risk premium" is what is currently driving **Gold to record highs** and causing the Euro to struggle. ### 4. Crypto: The "Risk-Off" Liquidation The combination of tariff threats and Fed uncertainty has hit crypto hard. * **Price Levels:** Bitcoin has slipped below **$88,000** as investors flee to safe havens like Gold and Silver. * **The "Clarity" Meeting (Jan 27):** Tomorrow, the SEC and CFTC heads are meeting to discuss the **Digital Asset Market Clarity Act**. Any positive news here could decouple crypto from the falling tech stocks, but for now, the "Trump Trade" is favoring traditional "haven" assets over digital ones. ### 5. US Government Shutdown (Jan 31 Deadline) The week ends with a "funding cliff" this Saturday. * **The Status:** While a $1.2 trillion deal is on the table, it hasn't passed the Senate yet. * **The Impact:** A partial shutdown on **January 31** would further delay economic data, leaving the markets in a state of "informational blackout" heading into February. #SouthKoreaSeizedBTCLoss #FedMeeting #bitcoin #BinanceSquareFamily #WEFDavos2026

January Last Week Alert 🛑📰

As we move into the final week of January 2026, a unique "convergence" of events is creating high volatility across currencies, equities, and crypto.

Here is what is coming "next week" (and the final days of this week) regarding the Fed, the Yen, and Tariffs:

### 1. The Fed Meeting (January 27–28)

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is the centerpiece of the week.

* **The Expectation:** A **"Hawkish Pause."** After three consecutive cuts in late 2025, the Fed is expected to hold the interest rate at **3.5%–3.75%** on Wednesday, Jan 28.
* **The Drama:** Chair Jerome Powell is currently under significant political pressure and a DOJ probe regarding internal bank expenditures. Markets are watching to see if he asserts independence or hints at a "neutral rate" of 3% to align with the administration's wishes.
* **Data Gap:** Because of the recent government shutdown, the Fed is flying "blind" with missing PCE inflation data, making Powell’s press conference at **2:30 PM ET on Jan 28** extremely unpredictable.

### 2. The Yen Surge & "Coordinated Intervention"

The Japanese Yen (JPY) has become the hottest story in forex this week.

* **The Move:** USD/JPY plummeted from **159.00 to nearly 153.50** in just 48 hours.
* **What’s Happening:** There is heavy speculation that the **New York Fed and the Bank of Japan** are conducting "coordinated intervention" to support the Yen.
* **Next Week’s Risk:** If the Fed sounds bullish on Wednesday, the Yen could give back these gains. However, Japan’s Prime Minister Takaichi has warned she will take "all necessary measures" to stop speculative moves before the **February 8 Japanese election**.

### 3. The "Greenland Tariffs" (Effective Feb 1)

The trade war has entered a bizarre new chapter centered on the Arctic.

* **The Deadline:** President Trump’s threatened **10% tariff** on eight European nations (including Germany, France, and the UK) is set to trigger on **February 1** (this Sunday).
* **The Cause:** The administration is using these tariffs as leverage to pressure a deal for the U.S. to "purchase" Greenland from Denmark.
* **Market Impact:** European leaders have threatened to halt a major US-EU trade deal in retaliation. This "geopolitical risk premium" is what is currently driving **Gold to record highs** and causing the Euro to struggle.

### 4. Crypto: The "Risk-Off" Liquidation

The combination of tariff threats and Fed uncertainty has hit crypto hard.

* **Price Levels:** Bitcoin has slipped below **$88,000** as investors flee to safe havens like Gold and Silver.
* **The "Clarity" Meeting (Jan 27):** Tomorrow, the SEC and CFTC heads are meeting to discuss the **Digital Asset Market Clarity Act**. Any positive news here could decouple crypto from the falling tech stocks, but for now, the "Trump Trade" is favoring traditional "haven" assets over digital ones.

### 5. US Government Shutdown (Jan 31 Deadline)

The week ends with a "funding cliff" this Saturday.

* **The Status:** While a $1.2 trillion deal is on the table, it hasn't passed the Senate yet.
* **The Impact:** A partial shutdown on **January 31** would further delay economic data, leaving the markets in a state of "informational blackout" heading into February.

#SouthKoreaSeizedBTCLoss #FedMeeting #bitcoin #BinanceSquareFamily #WEFDavos2026

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January Last Week Alert 🛑📰

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