ScalpingX TG Channel

Global Energy Market Overview for 29 June – 5 July 2026

🛢️ Global oil markets cooled this week as geopolitical risk around the Strait of Hormuz eased. WTI traded around USD 68–71/bbl, while Brent moved back toward USD 70–74/bbl, showing that the market is pricing out part of the previous supply-risk premium.

🌐 Progress in US-Iran talks and improving tanker flows through Hormuz were the main drivers. Sentiment shifted from fear of severe disruption toward expectations that Middle East supply could gradually normalize, though risks remain if negotiations stall.

📉 US inventory data still showed near-term tightness. Commercial crude stocks fell by 3.8 million barrels to 408.4 million barrels, around 7% below the five-year average. This gives prices some support, but not enough to fully offset the fading geopolitical premium.

⛽ OPEC+ remains a key watchpoint as the market expects gradual supply increases into August. Even if higher quotas do not immediately turn into actual output, the policy signal points to improving supply conditions if Hormuz stays stable.

🏭 On demand, China remains the main weak spot. Lower imports and softer refinery activity suggest pressure may reflect demand destruction after a period of high prices. India’s stronger demand helps, but does not fully change the broader picture.

🔥 Natural gas and LNG also de-risked faster than crude oil, with prices pressured by supply recovery expectations and moderate summer demand.

📌 Overall, energy markets are entering a rebalancing phase after the supply shock. Short-term volatility may still come from US inventories and Hormuz headlines, but the medium-term bias leans lower if supply recovers and Asian demand stays weak.

#EnergyMarket
$CL $NATGAS

$COOKIE - Mcap 7.85M$ - 88%/ 94.3K votes Bullish SC02 M15 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 4.22% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 day 21 hours, with the largest recorded price increase at 22.60%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.

$BULLA - Mcap 6.56M$ - 65%/ 4.2K votes Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 0.65% wide. The downtrend has lasted 2 hours 15 minutes, with the largest recorded price decline at 3.98%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.

$PIPPIN - Mcap 20.92M$ - 69%/ 51.9K votes Bullish SC02 M15 - Long order activated, currently not in profit. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is 4.41% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 days 7 hours 30 minutes, with the largest recorded price increase at 40.95%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.

$ES - Mcap 794.27K$ - 67%/ 2.3K votes Bullish SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 3.10% wide. The downtrend has lasted 16 hours, with the largest recorded price decline at 17.28%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.

Global agricultural markets overview for the week of June 29 – July 4, 2026 saw grains rebound after the USDA report, while weather risks and global supply stayed in focus.

🌾 The shortened U.S. holiday week kept liquidity thin, but the USDA Acreage and Grain Stocks report on June 30 still drove clear market moves. After falling early on easing Middle East tensions and favorable crop conditions, grains recovered as corn and wheat stocks came in below expectations.

🌽 Corn was the main highlight, with June 1 stocks at around 5.29 billion bushels, higher year-on-year but below trade forecasts. This supported a price rebound after bearish positioning and large new-crop supply expectations, though high planted acreage means further upside still depends on weather and export demand.

🫘 Soybeans were less supportive as acreage and stocks both came in above expectations, leaving the short-term tone neutral to slightly negative. Vegetable oils and biofuel demand remain supportive, but strong South American supply continues to compete with U.S. exports.

🌱 Wheat also rebounded after lower-than-expected U.S. acreage and stocks, but the Black Sea supply outlook remains a cap on stronger gains. Russia and Ukraine are still competitive in global exports, so wheat may struggle to break higher without fresh weather risks.

☀️ Weather is now the main catalyst, especially the July corn pollination period in the U.S. Midwest. Persistent hot and dry conditions could lift yield-risk pricing, while better rainfall and stable crop ratings may bring supply pressure back. Europe’s heatwave is also worth watching for wheat.

🚢 Globally, U.S. export demand is steady but not strong enough to drive a breakout, while Brazil and Argentina keep pressure on prices with competitive supply. Next week, Crop Progress updates and the July 10 WASDE report will likely guide direction, keeping volatility high.

#AgriMarkets
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$SLX – Liquidation Map (7D) – Current Price ~0.3436 📍 Price is currently around 0.3436, sitting in a transition zone after the lower long-liq cluster has been mostly absorbed. This is a sensitive area, as short-liq starts to build above, while some long-liq clusters remain close below. 🟢 Above the current level, short-liq starts to appear around 0.3596–0.3722, then becomes denser near 0.383–0.3938. The most notable zone is 0.4271–0.4433, especially around 0.4379, where short liquidity stands out and could become a price magnet if upside momentum is confirmed. 🔴 Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 0.3398–0.3344, followed by 0.329–0.3236. Further below, the 0.3182–0.3092 zone has more scattered liquidity, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand, though not as heavily as the upside side. ⚖️ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 0.3398–0.3596. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 0.3659–0.3722, then 0.383–0.3938. On the other hand, losing 0.3398 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 0.3344–0.329. 🛡️ Upside liquidity is clearly more dominant, but the larger clusters are still relatively far from the current price. Chasing sharp candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 0.3596 above or 0.3398 below, with tight risk control to reduce liquidation noise.

Global equity markets for the week of June 29 – July 4, 2026 saw a clear rotation after weaker-than-expected U.S. labor data.

📌 The holiday-shortened week, with U.S. markets closed on July 3, concentrated volatility into the July 2 session. The June jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls rising by only 57,000, far below expectations of around 114,000–115,000, while unemployment held at 4.2% and wage growth stayed at 3.5% YoY.

📊 Market reaction followed a “bad news is good news” pattern, as softer labor data reduced pressure on the Fed to stay overly hawkish. Short-end yields and the U.S. dollar eased, supporting risk sentiment, while gold gained on expectations of a less restrictive policy path.

🔄 The key theme was divergence across equity groups. The Dow Jones climbed to 52,900 and reached a new record high, while the S&P 500 held a positive base. The Nasdaq, however, came under pressure as chip, AI and mega-cap tech names saw profit-taking after a strong prior rally.

🏦 Capital did not leave equities entirely, but rotated into value and cyclical sectors such as financials, industrials, consumer names and parts of healthcare. With more than two-thirds of S&P 500 stocks advancing despite limited upside in the headline index, market breadth showed signs of improvement.

🌍 Europe traded positively as easing rate expectations and stable oil prices reduced inflation concerns. Asia was more mixed, with Japan pressured by tech profit-taking, while Hong Kong still managed to hold gains.

⚠️ Near term, the market bias remains constructive but selective. The U.S. CPI release on July 14 and Q2 earnings season will be key tests for whether the rotation into value and cyclicals can broaden further, or whether inflation risks and high growth-stock valuations return as the main pressure points.

#GlobalEquities

$SEI – Liquidation Map (7D) – Current Price ~0.0495 📍 Price is currently around 0.0495, sitting in a transition zone after the long-liq cluster below has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as short-liq is building fairly close above, while several long-liq clusters have already formed below. 🟢 Above the current level, short-liq starts to appear around 0.0502–0.0507, then gets denser near 0.0507–0.0517. The most notable zone is 0.0507–0.0512, where short liquidity stands out and could become a price magnet if upside momentum is confirmed. 🔴 Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 0.049–0.0485, followed by 0.048–0.0475. Further below, the 0.047–0.046 and 0.0455–0.0445 zones still hold larger liquidity clusters, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly. ⚖️ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 0.049–0.0502. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 0.0507–0.0512, then 0.0517–0.0527. On the other hand, losing 0.049 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 0.0485–0.048. 🛡️ Upside liquidity is closer and clearer in the short term, especially around 0.0507–0.0512. Chasing sharp candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 0.0502 above or 0.049 below, with tight risk control to reduce liquidation noise. #LiquidationMap

$GALA - Mcap 113.65M$ - 85%/ 109.8K votes Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 0.98% wide. The downtrend has lasted 6 hours 14 minutes, with the largest recorded price decline at 7.41%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.

$NOM - Mcap 5.92M$ - 80%/ 5.4K votes Bullish SC02 M15 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + meets positive simplification with a previously profitable Long order, the current support zone is around 7.36% wide. The uptrend has lasted 1 day 23 hours, with the largest recorded price increase at 54.18%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.

Global metals market overview for the week of 29 June – 4 July 2026 shows a clear split between base metals and precious metals.

🌐 Base metals such as copper, aluminium, zinc and nickel mostly moved in a narrow range as the market balanced tighter supply expectations, falling inventories and uneven industrial demand. Precious metals performed better, led by gold and silver.

⚡ The main catalyst was weaker-than-expected US June jobs data, which raised expectations for a more dovish Fed. As yields and the US dollar eased, gold moved above the 4,100 USD/oz area, while silver climbed toward the 60–62 USD/oz range.

🟠 Copper has not fully broken out in the short term as prices remain high and China’s demand outlook is still mixed. However, the longer-term setup remains supported by tight mine supply, lower LME inventories and disruption risks in key producing regions.

🏗️ Aluminium cooled after its earlier rally, but low physical inventories and supply risks continue to provide support. Nickel and lead stayed weaker due to oversupply pressure, while tin remained relatively firm on its structural deficit story.

🔌 A key medium-term theme is rising metals demand from AI, data centers and power grid upgrades. Copper and aluminium are the clearest beneficiaries as investment in electricity infrastructure, renewables and electric vehicles continues to expand.

📉 Iron ore and steel remained under more pressure from new supply and weak Chinese property demand. This highlights the gap between non-ferrous metals with stronger supply-demand support and ferrous metals that still lack a clear growth catalyst.

🔎 In the near term, markets will watch US inflation data, Fed signals, Middle East negotiations, US copper tariff decisions and China’s industrial data. The longer-term outlook for copper, aluminium, tin, gold and silver remains constructive, but volatility may stay high.

#Metals
$XAU $XAG $COPPER

$KAITO – Liquidation Map (7D) – Current Price ~0.625 📍 Price is currently around 0.625, sitting in a transition zone after the long-liq cluster below has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as short-liq starts to appear close above, while several long-liq clusters have already built up below. 🟢 Above the current level, short-liq becomes clearer around 0.63–0.635, then gets denser near 0.64–0.65. The most notable zone is 0.64–0.645, where short liquidity stands out and could become a price magnet if upside momentum is confirmed. 🔴 Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 0.611–0.604, followed by 0.599–0.589. Further below, the 0.566–0.546 zone still holds larger liquidity clusters, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly. ⚖️ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 0.611–0.63. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 0.635–0.64, then 0.645–0.65. On the other hand, losing 0.611 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 0.604–0.599. 🛡️ Upside liquidity is closer in the short term, but larger downside clusters remain in the lower zones. Chasing sharp candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 0.63 above or 0.611 below, with tight risk control to reduce liquidation noise. #LiquidationMap

$BTC - Mcap 1.25T$ - 80%/ 6.6M votes Bullish SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is around 0.28% wide. The uptrend has lasted 15 hours, with the largest recorded price increase at 1.98%. If price loses this support zone, the trend will likely reverse downward.

$CAP - Mcap 28.94M$ - 83%/ 617 votes Bullish SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 2.67% wide. The downtrend has lasted 18 hours 50 minutes, with the largest recorded price decline at 18.69%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.

Global Forex Market Overview for the week of June 29 – July 4 highlights a clear USD reversal after weaker-than-expected US labor data.

🌐 The Forex market saw strong volatility last week as the USD started on a firm note, but weakened sharply toward the end of the week after US employment data showed clearer signs of cooling. DXY ended the week around 100.85–100.90, reflecting renewed selling pressure on the dollar, although the index has not fully broken below its key support area.

📉 The main catalyst was the US June NFP report, which showed only 57,000 new jobs, well below expectations of around 110,000. The weak reading reduced market expectations for an overly hawkish Fed stance and reinforced the view that the US labor market is slowing faster than expected.

🏦 The Fed’s message remained focused on bringing inflation back to the 2% target, but markets did not receive a strong enough hawkish signal to support the USD after the NFP miss. This created a clear tug-of-war between sticky inflation and a weakening labor market.

💶 EUR/USD recovered toward 1.144 as the dollar weakened and Eurozone inflation cooled more than expected. GBP/USD also rebounded to the 1.335+ area, although the pound still faced some pressure from domestic political uncertainty in the UK and softer Q2 economic survey data.

🇯🇵 USD/JPY was the most notable mover, rising to the 162.8 area before reversing sharply toward 161. Intervention risk from Japan remains elevated as the yen weakened too quickly, making the 160–163 zone a sensitive short-term area.

📊 Looking ahead, markets will focus on US inflation data, further signals from the Fed, and the USD’s reaction around the DXY 100–101.5 range. If CPI/PPI comes in hotter than expected, the USD could rebound; if US data continues to weaken, EUR/USD may move toward 1.15 while USD/JPY remains vulnerable to further correction.

#Forex
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$PENGU – Liquidation Map (7D) – Current Price ~0.0068 📍 Price is currently around 0.0068, sitting in a transition zone after the long-liq cluster below has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as short-liq starts to thicken close above, while several long-liq clusters have already built up below. 🟢 Above the current level, short-liq becomes clearer around 0.0069–0.00697, then extends toward 0.00705–0.00712. The most notable zone is 0.0069–0.00697, where short liquidity stands out near price and could become the first liquidity magnet if upside momentum is confirmed. 🔴 Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 0.00672–0.00663, followed by 0.00656–0.00649. Further below, the 0.00639–0.00621 and 0.00614–0.006 zones still hold larger liquidity clusters, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly. ⚖️ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 0.00672–0.0069. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 0.00697–0.00705, then 0.00712. On the other hand, losing 0.00672 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 0.00663–0.00656. 🛡️ Upside liquidity is closer and clearer in the short term, but larger downside clusters remain in the lower zones. Chasing sharp candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 0.0069 above or 0.00672 below, with tight risk control to reduce liquidation noise. #LiquidationMap

$ALCH - Mcap 49.43M$ - 78%/ 28.5K votes Bullish SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 0.75% wide. The downtrend has lasted 6 hours 22 minutes, with the largest recorded price decline at 22.25%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.

$AERGO - Mcap 12.21M$ - 72%/ 72.4K votes Bullish SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is around 1.74% wide. The downtrend has lasted 22 hours 50 minutes, with the largest recorded price decline at 17.28%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend will likely reverse upward.

$PENDLE – Liquidation Map (7D) – Current Price ~1.494 📍 Price is currently around 1.494, sitting in a transition zone after the long-liq cluster below has sharply declined. This is a sensitive area, as short-liq starts to appear close above, while several long-liq clusters have already built up below. 🟢 Above the current level, short-liq becomes clearer around 1.51–1.53, then gets denser near 1.54–1.56. The most notable zone is 1.55–1.56, where short liquidity stands out and could become a price magnet if upside momentum is confirmed. 🔴 Below, the nearest long-liq area sits around 1.478–1.468, followed by 1.458–1.438. Further below, the 1.428–1.398 zone still holds larger liquidity clusters, so losing the current buffer could allow downside pressure to expand quickly. ⚖️ The preferred scenario is to wait for confirmation around 1.478–1.51. A stable breakout higher could open the path toward 1.52–1.53, then 1.54–1.56. On the other hand, losing 1.478 would increase the risk of a pullback toward 1.468–1.458. 🛡️ Upside liquidity is clearer in the short term, especially around 1.55–1.56, but the lower zone is still close enough to trigger noisy sweep moves. Chasing sharp candles may carry higher risk, so it is safer to wait for a clear reaction near 1.51 above or 1.478 below, with tight risk control to reduce liquidation noise.