Crypto_Paykash
Crypto enthusiast | Exploring blockchain and digital assets | Content creator | Writer | CMC KOL.
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$HYPE It’s starting to look more likely that price breaks below $38.85. The bigger picture is still unclear though this move could be a B wave, an A wave, or even the start of a wave 1. Because of that, I’m keeping a neutral bias for now and letting the market reveal its direction.
What I’m watching for is a clean corrective structure to the downside. Typically, the first leg down revisits the prior structural low or high in this case, around $34.50.
From there, I’d expect a bounce toward the 50–60% Fibonacci retracement of that drop, followed by another leg down of similar size. That could potentially bring price into the $30–27 range.
That zone is where things get interesting. We’ll need to see if proper reversal signals show up only then does it make sense to start allocating again.
For now, patience is key. I’m staying on the sidelines with spot entries until we either get a clear corrective structure or a confirmed shift in trend. Realistically, this setup may take a few months to fully develop.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
What I’m watching for is a clean corrective structure to the downside. Typically, the first leg down revisits the prior structural low or high in this case, around $34.50.
From there, I’d expect a bounce toward the 50–60% Fibonacci retracement of that drop, followed by another leg down of similar size. That could potentially bring price into the $30–27 range.
That zone is where things get interesting. We’ll need to see if proper reversal signals show up only then does it make sense to start allocating again.
For now, patience is key. I’m staying on the sidelines with spot entries until we either get a clear corrective structure or a confirmed shift in trend. Realistically, this setup may take a few months to fully develop.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
🚨 Update: Large holders are moving size in Ethereum
On-chain data from Lookonchain shows two wallets tied to Galaxy Digital have transferred around 45,000 $ETH (roughly $104M) to centralized exchanges over the past 15 hours.
Moves like this typically point to increasing sell-side pressure, as funds sent to exchanges are often positioned for potential selling.
#OpenAI据称正在研发AI智能手机
On-chain data from Lookonchain shows two wallets tied to Galaxy Digital have transferred around 45,000 $ETH (roughly $104M) to centralized exchanges over the past 15 hours.
Moves like this typically point to increasing sell-side pressure, as funds sent to exchanges are often positioned for potential selling.
#OpenAI据称正在研发AI智能手机
Bitcoin (native)
Signs of weakness are starting to creep into this move.
Price has broken below both the trendline support and the $77.3K liquidity zone, which were key levels holding this structure together.
At the same time, the Coinbase Premium has flipped red for consecutive sessions something we haven’t seen in about three weeks, back when $BTC was around $67K. That shift suggests U.S. spot demand is starting to cool off.
This rally has largely been driven by that demand, with the trendline acting as its backbone. Now that it’s been lost, the structure looks a lot more fragile.
With Federal Open Market Committee meeting coming up in the next 48 hours, this could be early signs of derisking. Volatility is likely, and both sides could get caught in sharp wicks around the announcement.
That said, the trend is starting to look like it’s in its later phase. If price loses the $74.5K–$75.5K range, it would likely confirm a broader shift in momentum.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
Signs of weakness are starting to creep into this move.
Price has broken below both the trendline support and the $77.3K liquidity zone, which were key levels holding this structure together.
At the same time, the Coinbase Premium has flipped red for consecutive sessions something we haven’t seen in about three weeks, back when $BTC was around $67K. That shift suggests U.S. spot demand is starting to cool off.
This rally has largely been driven by that demand, with the trendline acting as its backbone. Now that it’s been lost, the structure looks a lot more fragile.
With Federal Open Market Committee meeting coming up in the next 48 hours, this could be early signs of derisking. Volatility is likely, and both sides could get caught in sharp wicks around the announcement.
That said, the trend is starting to look like it’s in its later phase. If price loses the $74.5K–$75.5K range, it would likely confirm a broader shift in momentum.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
$ETH .D looks like the strength that was building here is starting to fade and it’s happening right at support, not later in the move.
Ideally, the 100 SMA retest should’ve given a solid bounce, with resistance showing around 11.35%. Instead, the bounce couldn’t even hold as a proper retest, let alone continue higher. That’s a sign of weakness.
If this continues, ETH dominance could start to roll over.
There’s also a potential head-and-shoulders forming here, which would add further bearish confirmation if it plays out.
#MarketRebound
Ideally, the 100 SMA retest should’ve given a solid bounce, with resistance showing around 11.35%. Instead, the bounce couldn’t even hold as a proper retest, let alone continue higher. That’s a sign of weakness.
If this continues, ETH dominance could start to roll over.
There’s also a potential head-and-shoulders forming here, which would add further bearish confirmation if it plays out.
#MarketRebound
$ASTER price action here looks very controlled, especially by larger wallets.
Each time price pushes up, it feels like a breakout but those moves are quickly sold into. It’s less about continuation and more about creating liquidity for distribution, before price gets pushed back toward the range lows.
At the same time, retail has been stepping in and absorbing that supply more aggressively since March. That’s what’s made this range so effective it slowly pulled in optimism and held it there.
I mentioned before that losing the $0.70 range was key. Without reclaiming that level, most of the upside moves look more like distribution than real strength and the chart has been respecting that.
It’s also clear $0.70 has been used as a trigger point. Push price into it, get the reaction, and sell into the liquidity.
#MarketRebound
Each time price pushes up, it feels like a breakout but those moves are quickly sold into. It’s less about continuation and more about creating liquidity for distribution, before price gets pushed back toward the range lows.
At the same time, retail has been stepping in and absorbing that supply more aggressively since March. That’s what’s made this range so effective it slowly pulled in optimism and held it there.
I mentioned before that losing the $0.70 range was key. Without reclaiming that level, most of the upside moves look more like distribution than real strength and the chart has been respecting that.
It’s also clear $0.70 has been used as a trigger point. Push price into it, get the reaction, and sell into the liquidity.
#MarketRebound
⚠️ ALERT: $BTC has now fully retraced every “Hormuz reopening” rally four separate times this month.
April 8–13 A two-week ceasefire was announced, including reopening the strait. Soon after, Trump ordered a naval blockade and talks in Islamabad broke down.
Price moved from $72,750 to $70,600 (-$2,150).
April 17 Iran’s foreign minister said the strait was “completely open,” but later walked that back, tying it to the U.S. lifting its blockade on Iranian ports.
Price moved from $78,300 to $74,300 (-$4,000).
April 21–22 Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely, but Iran reportedly had no intention of negotiating with the U.S.
Price moved from $79,000 to $77,500 (-$1,500).
April 27 Reports surfaced that Iran is preparing a new proposal to reopen the strait, though nothing has been officially confirmed.
BTC spiked to $79K on the headline but has already slipped back to around $77.6K without any new catalyst.
At this point, Bitcoin is fading these moves on its own and that kind of price action may be the clearest signal yet on how the market is viewing these “reopening” headlines.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
April 8–13 A two-week ceasefire was announced, including reopening the strait. Soon after, Trump ordered a naval blockade and talks in Islamabad broke down.
Price moved from $72,750 to $70,600 (-$2,150).
April 17 Iran’s foreign minister said the strait was “completely open,” but later walked that back, tying it to the U.S. lifting its blockade on Iranian ports.
Price moved from $78,300 to $74,300 (-$4,000).
April 21–22 Trump extended the ceasefire indefinitely, but Iran reportedly had no intention of negotiating with the U.S.
Price moved from $79,000 to $77,500 (-$1,500).
April 27 Reports surfaced that Iran is preparing a new proposal to reopen the strait, though nothing has been officially confirmed.
BTC spiked to $79K on the headline but has already slipped back to around $77.6K without any new catalyst.
At this point, Bitcoin is fading these moves on its own and that kind of price action may be the clearest signal yet on how the market is viewing these “reopening” headlines.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
$DOGE took a heavy hit during the October crash, dropping about 62%, and the weakness didn’t stop there.
As fear spread across the market, price kept bleeding and even pushed below the initial crash low to form a new lower low.
Now, for the first time in around 200 days, Doge has tapped the 100-day SMA again.
That first reaction off this level is usually worth paying attention to.
#MarketRebound
As fear spread across the market, price kept bleeding and even pushed below the initial crash low to form a new lower low.
Now, for the first time in around 200 days, Doge has tapped the 100-day SMA again.
That first reaction off this level is usually worth paying attention to.
#MarketRebound
$BTC is sitting at a pretty important spot in this uptrend.
Right now, price is resting on two key support levels the trendline that’s been guiding the move since $65K, and the $77.3K liquidity zone.
That trendline has basically held the entire structure together, so it’s something I’m watching closely.
Every strong push up so far has come from price tapping liquidity right along that trendline, which makes this area even more significant.
If this level holds, the overall structure stays intact and the uptrend can continue to build. But if it breaks, that would be the first real loss of trend support since the move started and it could open the door for a deeper pullback into lower liquidity zones.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
Right now, price is resting on two key support levels the trendline that’s been guiding the move since $65K, and the $77.3K liquidity zone.
That trendline has basically held the entire structure together, so it’s something I’m watching closely.
Every strong push up so far has come from price tapping liquidity right along that trendline, which makes this area even more significant.
If this level holds, the overall structure stays intact and the uptrend can continue to build. But if it breaks, that would be the first real loss of trend support since the move started and it could open the door for a deeper pullback into lower liquidity zones.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
🚨 Russia is making a move on XRP 🚨
A new bill is being pushed to classify XRP as property and potentially allow its use in cross-border trade.
Big players are starting to pay closer attention to $XRP.
The shift in global finance might already be underway 🚀
#ShootingIncidentAtWhiteHouseCorrespondentsDinner
A new bill is being pushed to classify XRP as property and potentially allow its use in cross-border trade.
Big players are starting to pay closer attention to $XRP.
The shift in global finance might already be underway 🚀
#ShootingIncidentAtWhiteHouseCorrespondentsDinner
🚨 Update: The Clarity Act markup has been pushed back to mid-May after the April window closed without progress.
Sen. Thom Tillis’ request for more time, along with no markup notice before the deadline, has effectively ruled out any movement this month. According to Eleanor Terrett, the bill is now expected to be taken up in the second week of May.
#OpenAILaunchesGPT-5.5
Sen. Thom Tillis’ request for more time, along with no markup notice before the deadline, has effectively ruled out any movement this month. According to Eleanor Terrett, the bill is now expected to be taken up in the second week of May.
#OpenAILaunchesGPT-5.5
🇺🇸 ETF flow update: On April 25, spot ETFs for $BTC , ETH, and XRP recorded net inflows, while SOL ETFs saw a slight outflow.
BTC brought in $14.4M, $ETH led with $23.4M, and XRP added $6.44M. Meanwhile, SOL posted a minor outflow of $1.1M.
#AaveAnnouncesDeFiUnitedReliefFund
BTC brought in $14.4M, $ETH led with $23.4M, and XRP added $6.44M. Meanwhile, SOL posted a minor outflow of $1.1M.
#AaveAnnouncesDeFiUnitedReliefFund
$ETH keeps getting rejected each time it tests the Bear Market Resistance Band, which is currently around $2,450.
Looking back, Ethereum hasn’t been able to sustain moves above this level during past bear markets not in 2018, and not in 2022, aside from a brief fakeout before dropping back below.
The only time ETH managed to break above and hold that zone was after the cycle had already bottomed.
If BTC manages to reclaim $80K, ETH could follow a similar pattern to the last cycle pushing above the band toward the $2,600 area before facing a more decisive test.
#KelpDAOExploitFreeze
Looking back, Ethereum hasn’t been able to sustain moves above this level during past bear markets not in 2018, and not in 2022, aside from a brief fakeout before dropping back below.
The only time ETH managed to break above and hold that zone was after the cycle had already bottomed.
If BTC manages to reclaim $80K, ETH could follow a similar pattern to the last cycle pushing above the band toward the $2,600 area before facing a more decisive test.
#KelpDAOExploitFreeze
$BTC is sitting just below a heavy cluster of short positions stacked above the $79.5K local high, with a dense pocket around $79.9K.
That area looks like a potential pain point for bears, with months of positioning concentrated into a tight liquidation zone.
If the current support holds on this retest, there’s a strong chance market makers push price into that region to trigger those positions.
As shorts get squeezed, forced covering could add momentum to the move, increasing the likelihood of a break above $80K.
Liquidity that close to price especially after building up for months rarely goes untouched.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
That area looks like a potential pain point for bears, with months of positioning concentrated into a tight liquidation zone.
If the current support holds on this retest, there’s a strong chance market makers push price into that region to trigger those positions.
As shorts get squeezed, forced covering could add momentum to the move, increasing the likelihood of a break above $80K.
Liquidity that close to price especially after building up for months rarely goes untouched.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
🚨 Spot $BTC ETFs have pulled in over $2 billion in the past 8 days, highlighting a sustained wave of institutional demand and continued strong inflow momentum.
#MarketRebound
#MarketRebound
🔥 Bullish signal: ARK Invest reports that Bitcoin held by long-term conviction buyers jumped 69% in Q1, rising from 2.13M to 3.60M $BTC. That’s a level not seen since 2020 despite prices falling about 22% during the same period.
#StrategyBTCPurchase
#StrategyBTCPurchase
🇺🇸 ETF FLOW UPDATE (Apr 23):
Spot ETFs tracking BTC, $SOL , and $XRP recorded net inflows, while ETH spot ETFs saw capital moving out.
BTC: +$223.21M
ETH: -$75.94M
SOL: +$7.33M
XRP: +$3.89M
#JustinSunSuesWorldLibertyFinancial
Spot ETFs tracking BTC, $SOL , and $XRP recorded net inflows, while ETH spot ETFs saw capital moving out.
BTC: +$223.21M
ETH: -$75.94M
SOL: +$7.33M
XRP: +$3.89M
#JustinSunSuesWorldLibertyFinancial
$LTC is now tapping the 100-day SMA for the first time in about 5 months.
I expect some initial positive reaction around this level, but after that, we may start to see early signs of weakness those are the kind of signals that can actually be traded.
Worth noting, LTC has been stuck in a consolidation range for roughly the past 80 days, with volume continuing to come in waves rather than showing consistent strength.
#KelpDAOExploitFreeze
I expect some initial positive reaction around this level, but after that, we may start to see early signs of weakness those are the kind of signals that can actually be traded.
Worth noting, LTC has been stuck in a consolidation range for roughly the past 80 days, with volume continuing to come in waves rather than showing consistent strength.
#KelpDAOExploitFreeze
🔥 NEW: $SOL Anatoly Yakovenko has deployed an immutable version of Percolator and is inviting developers to try and break it for rewards.
His message is clear: move away from constant changes and lean back into open-source, immutable software.
#MarketRebound
His message is clear: move away from constant changes and lean back into open-source, immutable software.
#MarketRebound
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