I have been warning you for the last 45 days that a big dump was coming and now it’s playing out exactly. Bitcoin has already dumped around $20K and is now trading near 112K, right at the major resistance zone that has triggered every big correction since 2018.
A small bounce to 115K–116K is possible, but after that I expect another leg down toward 100K, and potentially lower to 90K. I’m still holding my 50% short position. If anything changes or I close my position, I’ll update you. Remember I mentioned earlier that if BTC went back to 125K–128K, I would add more shorts and that plan hasn’t changed.
Till Monday, I expect some volatility, but Monday’s price action will give a clearer direction.
🔸 Weekly: BTC touched the long-term trendline again → clear rejection happened. 👉 Until we get a weekly close above 125K, the risk of a major pullback stays high.
🔸 Daily: Price is inside the 110K–125K supply zone. Structure is weak. If price breaks and resists below 110K, then 100K is the next target.
📊 My Trade:
✅ First target 105K hit Holding 50% shorts, expecting a bounce to 115K, then lower.
For the last 40 days I’ve been telling you guys I’m bearish on $BTC. We already dropped almost 8K twice, but every time Bitcoin reclaimed the levels again. Right now it’s trading around 18K to 119k but nothing has changed for me. I’m still bearish.
I’ve said many times that the 115K to 124K region is a short zone, not a long zone. If you’re still holding longs, I’d strongly suggest you flip to shorts because the chart is flashing multiple top signals.
Don’t get trapped by hype like “Bitcoin to 1 million by the end of this year.” That’s just noise. The structure is weak, liquidity is being engineered, and the bigger downside move is still ahead.
Tonight is not just another event. It’s a trigger point for what comes next, but it doesn’t change the bigger plan from the Sunday analysis.
$BTC is still moving toward the same resistance zones. The upside into 78K–82K and possibly 85K–86K remains valid, and that’s where I’m focused on building shorts. Nothing changes.
Now combine that with FOMC.
Dot plot shows the path ahead. More cuts expected means short term bullish reaction. Fewer or delayed cuts means bearish pressure.
Fed Chair tone is the real driver. Hawkish tone can kill momentum fast. Dovish tone can fuel a temporary pump.
Fed dissent shows internal cracks. More disagreement can push markets up short term. Strong agreement keeps pressure intact.
Key point
Even if FOMC is bullish and pushes price higher, it fits the plan. It helps price move into our short zones faster.
This is a volatility event, not a trend change.
Bigger picture stays the same
Relief move up Liquidity grab at resistance Then continuation down
Execution
Do not chase the first move Let volatility settle Wait for levels Then act
$LYN played out clean. Breakout from compression and first target smashed with 50%+ pump. Now key is holding above breakout for continuation, otherwise expect pullback.
Crypto Skull Signal
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Жоғары (өспелі)
$LYN compressing at support with a descending trendline break attempt. If this holds, momentum can flip fast and squeeze price toward the 0.08–0.11 zone. {future}(LYNUSDT)