Qatari outlet Al Jazeera reports that Tel Aviv is gearing up for a full-scale return to military operations — actively striking targets in Lebanon right now to avoid distractions ahead of a larger campaign in the coming months.
Meanwhile, Iranian media also point to escalation — but argue the real pressure point won’t be the ayatollah regime, it’ll be the US budget under oil at $150–200.
And at the same time? The S&P 500 just printed a new all-time high after strong Big Tech earnings.
$BTC alao holding strong with $ETH and $BNB also holding above supportst.
In my previous post, I told you I was watching $MEGA - now we’ve got the confirmation.
It broke the trendline and is oversold on the 15m and higher timeframes, which sets up a potential bounce. Also notice the high negative funding which is good for longs.
FED MAY TURN HAWKISH - AND CRYPTO WON’T LIKE IT 😱😱
Let’s quickly break down yesterday 👇🏻
The Fed held rates steady - no surprise. The statement was actually fairly soft (even with oil near $100), but the real signal came from what Jerome Powell said after.
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Half a year ago, back in August 2025, Powell shifted tone - moving away from aggressive inflation fighting toward balancing inflation and the labor market.
That basically meant: 👉 potential rate cuts 👉 support for economic activity
This worked as a compromise with Donald Trump, who has been pushing for cheap money.
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But now - the tone is changing again.
Powell hinted that as early as the next meeting (summer), the Fed could pivot back to tightening due to rising inflation risks.
So while Trump talks about replacing Powell and pushing for lower rates, the macro reality is pointing the other way.
– inflation back at ~3.3% – PCE jumping to 0.7% vs usual ~0.3% – oil at elevated levels
And if the Fed actually turns hawkish in June, liquidity tightens, and crypto will feel it first.
🙋♂️ My take:
A surprise shift from the Fed could trigger a broader risk-off move - and send crypto into a weaker phase through the summer. So I keep accumulating shorts 👇
Market pulled back a bit, so both positions are slightly down, but I still see strength in these coins. They’re not heavily correlated with BTC right now.
Mubarak is already starting to show signs of a reversal and buyers volumes on Jasmy is steady, so I’m holding. Take-profits remain unchanged.
Stops:
– Mubarak below 0.01299 – JASMY below 0.0055
Staying in both positions - still expecting a move higher from here. 🚀
We sat in this trade almost all day, and now it finally pushed into solid profit.
Looks like negative funding is doing its job - too many shorts, and price is squeezing up on that liquidity. Funding is still negative, so the setup hasn’t changed.
Took partial profits, but still holding the position - expecting continuation to the upside.