crypto Trader PK

Here’s a current snapshot of Bitcoin ($BTC) and how its ~40% drop compares with historical bear markets — along with broader crypto market news from today and recent days:

📉 Bitcoin’s Recent Price Action

Bitcoin fell below $80,000, sliding ~6.5% as of January 31, 2026, marking continued weakness after the 2025 highs. Analysts link the drop partly to tighter monetary policy expectations with Kevin named as incoming Federal Reserve chair, which may reduce liquidity in the financial system and weigh on risk assets like BTC and ETH. Ether also slid sharply.

FT reports a dramatic decline to around $76,500 — the lowest since the 2025 tariff shock — and notes that some investors are rotating into traditional safe-haven assets like gold.

📊 How This Drop Compares Historically

Bitcoin’s current ~40% drop from its 2025 top is much smaller than past full cycle bear market lows, which often saw deeper losses from the peak:

2011: ~-92%

2015: ~-86%

2018: ~-84%

2020: ~-75%

2022: ~-77% (peak to trough)

Analysts note that this cycle’s drawdown so far is shallower, suggesting the market hasn’t reached a historical “bear market bottom” yet, and that deeper corrections have typically occurred later in the cycle.

Some on-chain indicators now show BTC as “more undervalued” than in past bear bottoms, despite the price drop, which could imply the current correction might be nearing an inflection point — though these indicators aren’t definitive.

🪙 Broader Market Context

Spot ETFs and institutional participation continue to shape the 2025–2026 cycle, possibly dampening volatility compared to earlier eras.

Whales and large traders have recently taken long positions as some see value at lower price levels.

Bitcoin’s historical pattern shows that even after steep drawdowns, recovery and new all-time highs have followed years later, though timing varies significantly from cycle to cycle.

🧠 Key Takeaway

While a ~40% drawdown may feel significant, from a historical perspective of full cycle bear markets that often see declines of 70–90%, the current downturn is relatively modest so far. However, analysts caution that the bear phase may not be over, and deeper corrections are not out of the question before a sustainable bottom forms.

If you want more specific price data, cycle predictions, or on-chain metric explanations related to this drawdown, let me know!
#viralpost $BTC
$C98