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$XAUT mylast analysis, after the breakdown below 4100, we were expecting a reversal, and yesterday the market delivered it beautifully. A few hours before the close, during the late New York session, Gold made a strong one-sided bullish move. Many traders who entered short positions at lower levels got trapped, and as their stop losses were triggered, the market accelerated higher in what was essentially a large stop-loss hunt. At the same time, one of the minimum upside targets I had mentioned, 4173, was also broken during the session. Overall, we witnessed a very strong bullish move. However, the most important question now is whether Gold has actually changed its direction or if the broader bearish trend is still intact. Let's discuss that in detail because understanding the overall market psychology is crucial before taking any trades. There is no doubt that yesterday's move was a classic liquidity sweep and reversal. To be honest, such a move was expected because Gold has been showing continuous weakness for several weeks. With the important 4100 support level breaking down, it was obvious that many traders would panic and jump into short positions. Markets often move against the majority, and yesterday's rally appeared to be a perfect example of that. The strong upside move was likely designed to trap those aggressive sellers who entered after the breakdown. The current market situation is interesting because most traders are now afraid to buy. Considering how aggressively Gold has fallen over the past few weeks, the majority of participants still prefer selling and expect further downside. However, since a major liquidity sweep has already taken place below an important support level, another immediate continuation lower may not be easy. In my view, the market makers will now focus on trapping the remaining sellers sitting at lower levels, along with fresh intraday sellers who continue entering the market. We saw something similar around May 28, when Gold experienced a strong bullish move, but heavy bearish pressure prevented it from sustaining and eventually pushed prices sharply lower again. This time, however, I believe many traders will once again lean toward selling and expect further downside, but instead of being rewarded, they may end up trapped. That would allow Gold to continue higher and potentially target the stop losses of sellers who entered below the 4400 region. Once those liquidity pools are cleared, the market can then decide whether it wants to continue higher or resume the larger downtrend. For today's intraday plan, I prefer being patient and focusing only on small scalps for now. After such a strong move, the market rarely continues straight higher without first creating confusion. Traders who missed yesterday's rally are likely buying today under the assumption that any pullback is simply a retracement. The market often uses these situations to encourage both buyers and sellers to build positions. Since Gold has already formed a lower-low structure during the morning session, sellers are also being given reasons to participate. According to my analysis, I do not want to chase larger bullish targets unless Gold can deliver a strong breakout above 4208. Until that happens, I expect a zigzag and choppy selling structure where sellers keep entering and traders buying solely because of yesterday's rally repeatedly face stop-loss hits. Eventually, many of them may lose confidence and conclude that the trend remains bearish and that sellers are still in control. Once the crowd fully accepts that bearish narrative, the market could produce another strong liquidity-hunt move to the upside. From a broader perspective, I still believe there is room for Gold to move toward 4278. I mentioned this level in yesterday's analysis as well. Before any larger directional decision is made, the market may need to hunt the stop losses of traders who entered short positions below 4420. After that, we can reassess the situation based on fresh price action and market psychology. As for the important levels and zones, I have already marked them on the chart, so make sure to draw them on your own charts as reference points. To summarize, my current expectation is for a zigzag corrective move, and I see the 4132-4146 area as a key support zone from where a strong bullish reaction could emerge. Such a move has the potential to push Gold back above 4200. If Gold manages to break and hold above 4208 convincingly, then I will directly target the 4278 region. Looking at the weekly volume, participation remains strong, which is why I believe it makes more sense to aim for larger targets rather than settling for small moves. When market volume is high, traders should adapt accordingly…be patient, wait for confirmation, execute with discipline, and hold positions with confidence while managing risk properly. My plan for today remains simple, and I hope this detailed psychological market analysis along with the key levels provides value and helps you prepare for trading. Good luck for the last trading day of the week, and I hope you close the week in profit. Also, I really love to hear your market view make sure to share your analysis in the comments.
#trade Esmu bullish uz $XAUT , līdz 4326.85 tiek izņemts, iespējams, Ņujorkas sesijas laikā. Tāpēc, pirkšanas limitpasūtījums @4330.90 Take profit: 4345.15 .. tas tagad ir aktivizējies sha. Bet tas ir stratēģiska zona, pamatojoties uz manu stratēģiju.
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