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🟡 Bitcoin price wobbles ahead of Fed’s rate decision
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC) dipped as low as $59,500 on Binance ahead of tomorrow’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. Market participants are bracing for a hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve (Fed), with expectations set for unchanged interest rates.
The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a mere 4.4% of economists predict a rate cut—the first in over a decade—while a dominant 95.6% anticipate rates to hold steady between 525-550 basis points.
According to The Kobeissi Letter, current market data indicates a 36% probability that there will be no interest rate cuts this year. Four months ago, the likelihood of maintaining current rates was only about 3%.
Expectations have also shifted to just one reduction this year. Previously, the market anticipated six rate cuts. Additionally, the probability of experiencing two or more rate cuts has diminished to 31%.
🔺 Stagflation risk
Amidst this financial climate, the US grapples with stagflation risks as inflation persists and economic growth slows.
The first quarter of 2024 saw GDP growth decelerate to 1.6%, falling short of the 2.2% forecast and down from the previous quarter’s 3.4%. Concurrently, the US Core PCE inflation index climbed from 2.0% to 3.7%.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that recent data does not make the Fed more confident, suggesting a longer timeline to regain economic stability. He expressed belief in the adequacy of current policies to navigate the risks at hand, hinting at sustained high-interest rates without increases.
Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrored these economic uncertainties, dropping below $62,000 earlier in the week due to renewed stagflation worries.
A brief rally above $64,000 occurred with the launch of spot Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs in Hong Kong yesterday, but the momentum was short-lived as investor caution set in ahead of the Fed’s key decision.
$BTC #BTC #Bitcoin
金链观察:
等加息落地这波，BTC在观望里晃，资金估计也在挑避险出口。我反而更看黄金——伊朗用美元卖油的口子一开，油价风险溢价往下走，金价这边稳得多。你是先盯比特币方向，还是跟我一起守黄金这条线？
🚨Final Call for You! Warning
I told you clearly and explicitly two days ago that a drop was coming. Today, $BTC fell to around $61,000.
If you think this is enough, you’re wrong. I’m still expecting a big candle, it should drop to at least $54,000.
Of course, this is my trading style and my opinion.#BTC
I told you clearly and explicitly two days ago that a drop was coming. Today, $BTC fell to around $61,000.
If you think this is enough, you’re wrong. I’m still expecting a big candle, it should drop to at least $54,000.
Of course, this is my trading style and my opinion.#BTC
Yasdaga:
Maybe..
🚨 MARKET CRASH WARNING OR FINAL SHAKEOUT BEFORE RALLY? 📉🔥
I’ve been watching this structure for weeks, and my view remains the same: $BTC could face another sharp correction before the next major move.
A potential drop toward the $55,000 zone could trigger a major liquidity sweep, forcing overleveraged positions out of the market and clearing excess risk from altcoins.
However, no prediction is guaranteed — the market can always surprise us. Trade with a plan, manage risk, and always do your own research.
Sometimes the biggest opportunities appear after the biggest fears. 🚀
#bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #altcoins
I’ve been watching this structure for weeks, and my view remains the same: $BTC could face another sharp correction before the next major move.
A potential drop toward the $55,000 zone could trigger a major liquidity sweep, forcing overleveraged positions out of the market and clearing excess risk from altcoins.
However, no prediction is guaranteed — the market can always surprise us. Trade with a plan, manage risk, and always do your own research.
Sometimes the biggest opportunities appear after the biggest fears. 🚀
#bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #altcoins
Vortex Tradar:
$BTC is doing well with market ups and downs. The people who think it will go up called bulls are still in charge. If its price drops a bit it might be a chance for it to reset before going up again.
BITCOIN FUNDING RATES INTO US OPEN
Looking now at the Bitcoin funding rates heading into the US open in around 7 minutes, we can see general negative funding across the board.
The important part here is that this is fresh. $BTC
We went positive the other day, so all of this negative funding showing up now is fresh negative funding. That means fresh short positions are entering the market.
But more important than the fresh short positions is all that juicy liquidity I was telling you about yesterday.
All of that liquidity that has been building up over the weekend is about to go back.
I do not think anybody should be longing this. I would not be longing this at all. I think longing this is an incredibly bad idea, and I would actively encourage against it.
The setup is there.
The setup is $57,000.
And I think it is going to happen today.
I believe that because I am about to get on a plane, and Bitcoin always does the biggest moves at the most inconvenient times.
So it is probably going to be today.
#BTC
Haha.
Looking now at the Bitcoin funding rates heading into the US open in around 7 minutes, we can see general negative funding across the board.
The important part here is that this is fresh. $BTC
We went positive the other day, so all of this negative funding showing up now is fresh negative funding. That means fresh short positions are entering the market.
But more important than the fresh short positions is all that juicy liquidity I was telling you about yesterday.
All of that liquidity that has been building up over the weekend is about to go back.
I do not think anybody should be longing this. I would not be longing this at all. I think longing this is an incredibly bad idea, and I would actively encourage against it.
The setup is there.
The setup is $57,000.
And I think it is going to happen today.
I believe that because I am about to get on a plane, and Bitcoin always does the biggest moves at the most inconvenient times.
So it is probably going to be today.
#BTC
Haha.
Samsoonmashi:
please follow me
$BTC Facing Heavy Selling Pressure 📉
Trade Setup (Short)
Entry: 62,400 - 62,700
SL: 63,200
TP1: 61,500
TP2: 60,800
The trend remains bearish on the lower timeframe with lower highs and lower lows. Unless BTC reclaims the 63K zone, sellers still have control and another downside move remains possible. #BTC
Trade Setup (Short)
Entry: 62,400 - 62,700
SL: 63,200
TP1: 61,500
TP2: 60,800
The trend remains bearish on the lower timeframe with lower highs and lower lows. Unless BTC reclaims the 63K zone, sellers still have control and another downside move remains possible. #BTC
Carlita Infante:
tell about sol
@Bitcoin_master
$BTC at $62,213 right now is not in a comfortable place, and the 45-minute chart makes that very clear.
Price ran cleanly from $62,400 all the way to $65,400 between June 19 and 22, that was a solid push, bulls had control, volume confirmed it. But the moment it touched that $65,200 zone, sellers came in fast and hard, and the candles since then have been almost entirely red with barely any recovery attempts, that's not a dip, that's distribution.
Honestly? I think $62,000 is the last real line in the sand right now. Verified support sits at $62,202, with the next major floor at $60,980 if that level gives way. Price already wicked below $62,000 once and recovered, but the buying looks thin and unconvincing.
On the fundamentals side, let's be real, Bitcoin just got rejected cleanly at bear-flag resistance, confirming the pattern is still active, and the Fear and Greed Index is sitting at 23, deep in Extreme Fear territory.
My honest take is that BTC needs a clean reclaim of $63,500 with volume before anything bullish makes sense. Until then, the path of least resistance is still lower.
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#BTC - $ETH - $BNB
Price ran cleanly from $62,400 all the way to $65,400 between June 19 and 22, that was a solid push, bulls had control, volume confirmed it. But the moment it touched that $65,200 zone, sellers came in fast and hard, and the candles since then have been almost entirely red with barely any recovery attempts, that's not a dip, that's distribution.
Honestly? I think $62,000 is the last real line in the sand right now. Verified support sits at $62,202, with the next major floor at $60,980 if that level gives way. Price already wicked below $62,000 once and recovered, but the buying looks thin and unconvincing.
On the fundamentals side, let's be real, Bitcoin just got rejected cleanly at bear-flag resistance, confirming the pattern is still active, and the Fear and Greed Index is sitting at 23, deep in Extreme Fear territory.
My honest take is that BTC needs a clean reclaim of $63,500 with volume before anything bullish makes sense. Until then, the path of least resistance is still lower.
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#BTC - $ETH - $BNB
🚨 Bitcoin Liquidation Map Signals a
Potential Short Squeeze!
The latest BTC liquidation heatmap shows a massive cluster of short liquidations building above the current price around $62.4K.
📊 Key Takeaways: • Heavy short liquidity sits between $64K–$67K • Market makers often target high-liquidity zones • A breakout above resistance could trigger cascading liquidations • Increased volatility may follow if shorts start getting squeezed
Traders should keep a close eye on price action near these levels. Liquidity attracts price, and the next major move could be driven by liquidation hunting rather than fundamentals.
⚡ Watch the liquidity, not the noise.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading $BTC
Potential Short Squeeze!
The latest BTC liquidation heatmap shows a massive cluster of short liquidations building above the current price around $62.4K.
📊 Key Takeaways: • Heavy short liquidity sits between $64K–$67K • Market makers often target high-liquidity zones • A breakout above resistance could trigger cascading liquidations • Increased volatility may follow if shorts start getting squeezed
Traders should keep a close eye on price action near these levels. Liquidity attracts price, and the next major move could be driven by liquidation hunting rather than fundamentals.
⚡ Watch the liquidity, not the noise.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Trading $BTC
KNOTMAINPRO:
市值对比确实唬人，不过BTC今天-3.23%刚急拉完，短线波动明显放大，我宁可等站稳61870支撑再动，不猜顶底🤔 你是打算等回踩还是直接追这波？
🚨 $BTC Sentiment Alert — Crowd Is Extremely Bullish!
98% of traders are voting UP on the 5-minute BTC prediction. When the crowd becomes this one-sided, volatility often follows.
High bullish sentiment can fuel a breakout, but it can also create the perfect setup for a quick shakeout if everyone is positioned the same way.
Stay focused on price action, not emotions. The market rewards discipline, not the majority opinion.
What do you think? Will BTC follow the crowd and push higher, or surprise everyone with a move lower? 👀
#BTC #Crypto
98% of traders are voting UP on the 5-minute BTC prediction. When the crowd becomes this one-sided, volatility often follows.
High bullish sentiment can fuel a breakout, but it can also create the perfect setup for a quick shakeout if everyone is positioned the same way.
Stay focused on price action, not emotions. The market rewards discipline, not the majority opinion.
What do you think? Will BTC follow the crowd and push higher, or surprise everyone with a move lower? 👀
#BTC #Crypto
🚨 BREAKING: US Lifts Iran Oil Sanctions — BTC Drops 2.2%
Geopolitics just hit crypto HARD. Here’s what happened:
📉 US issued 60-day license letting Iran sell oil in USD
💰 ~$12B in frozen Iranian assets now unlocked
🛢️ WTI crude crashed below $73/barrel (lowest since March)
₿ BTC fell to ~$62,560 as risk-off sentiment spread
🥇 Gold & silver also tanking on reduced war premium
The crypto market is pricing in PEACE — not uncertainty. Less geopolitical tension = less safe-haven demand for Bitcoin.
But here’s the real question:
🤔 Is this a BUY THE DIP opportunity, or are we heading lower if oil keeps falling?
Drop your take below! 👇
🔔 Follow for real-time crypto insights & market-moving news
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoNews #CryptoTrading
Geopolitics just hit crypto HARD. Here’s what happened:
📉 US issued 60-day license letting Iran sell oil in USD
💰 ~$12B in frozen Iranian assets now unlocked
🛢️ WTI crude crashed below $73/barrel (lowest since March)
₿ BTC fell to ~$62,560 as risk-off sentiment spread
🥇 Gold & silver also tanking on reduced war premium
The crypto market is pricing in PEACE — not uncertainty. Less geopolitical tension = less safe-haven demand for Bitcoin.
But here’s the real question:
🤔 Is this a BUY THE DIP opportunity, or are we heading lower if oil keeps falling?
Drop your take below! 👇
🔔 Follow for real-time crypto insights & market-moving news
#BTC #Bitcoin #Crypto #CryptoNews #CryptoTrading
$BTC IS APPROACHING A CRITICAL INFLECTION POINT ON THE LOWER TIMEFRAMES ⚡
The current market structure suggests a liquidity sweep is imminent as we approach the final hours of the consolidation phase. Order flow on the 1H chart indicates a tightening range, often a precursor to a sharp expansion in volatility.
With the current window closing in seven hours, the probability of a decisive break of structure increases significantly. We are looking for a clean reclaim of the range high to confirm the next directional bias.
Are you positioned for the breakout or waiting for the retest?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #MarketStructure #Volatility #Trading #Crypto
⚡
The current market structure suggests a liquidity sweep is imminent as we approach the final hours of the consolidation phase. Order flow on the 1H chart indicates a tightening range, often a precursor to a sharp expansion in volatility.
With the current window closing in seven hours, the probability of a decisive break of structure increases significantly. We are looking for a clean reclaim of the range high to confirm the next directional bias.
Are you positioned for the breakout or waiting for the retest?
Not financial advice. Always manage your risk.
#BTC #MarketStructure #Volatility #Trading #Crypto
⚡
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