cftc

The big question buzzing in crypto communities right now isn’t if regulation will affect the market…
It’s WHEN will the Clarity Act pass?
And what will it do to crypto markets when it finally does?
The Clarity Act is a proposed legislative framework aimed at giving clear regulatory definitions to digital assets, ICOs, exchanges, and marketmakers in the U.S. Unlike vague bills of the past, this Act could be the first that:
✔ Defines digital assets as securities vs commodities
✔ Grants explicit authority to regulators (SEC/CFTC)
✔ Sets standards for crypto licensing
✔ Clarifies tax treatment + investor protection
🔄 Right now, there is no official timestamp for a vote or passage. Drafts are circulating in committee, but it needs:
• Senate review
• House vote
• Executive approval
That means every macro event matters — inflation data, elections, recession signals, and institutional adoption all affect how soon regulators act.
🧠 What Traders Should Know:
📌 Regulatory clarity doesn’t always mean bearish — it can bring institutional flow.
📌 Uncertainty kills volatility — clarity brings direction.
📌 The market often prices in expected regulation before a bill passes.
📌 Clear status accelerates institutional capital inflows.
💡 Most analysts say:
If macro conditions stabilize and political focus shifts to tech policy, the Clarity Act could move toward a vote by late 2026 — but timing remains uncertain.
Regulation is not a rhetorical rumor anymore. It’s real — and traders should price expected clarity into positions now.
👉 Follow me for updates on regulatory signals that traders can actually trade from, not just fear!
#WhenWillClarityActPass #CryptoRegulation #CFTC $BTC
$ETH

#PredictionMarketsCFTCBacking No more "gray area." No more state-level bans.
Chairman Michael Selig just confirmed: Prediction markets are regulated derivatives, NOT gambling. 🏛️
Why this matters for your bag:
Institutional Money: The big players finally have the green light to enter $POLY and $KALSHI.
Mass Adoption: This isn't just for degens anymore—it’s now "U.S. Regulated Infrastructure." 🇺🇸
Volume Explosion: We just saw a $1.2B day for the Super Bowl. Imagine what happens when every major event is tradeable.
The "Wild West" era is ending. The "Institutional Era" starts now.
Are you long on Prediction Markets? Let me know below! 👇@Binance BiBi

The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) is making waves in the world of event contracts and prediction platforms. Chairman Michael Selig recently emphasized that these markets fall under federal regulation as legitimate derivatives—not gambling—and the agency is actively defending its exclusive jurisdiction against state challenges.
In recent statements, filings (including amicus briefs in ongoing court cases), and public comments, Selig has made it clear: the CFTC has long overseen these tools, which help hedge risks, provide market insights, and aggregate public predictions on future events.
What this could mean for the space (including platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi):
- Clearer Path for Growth — With federal backing, institutional investors and traditional finance players may feel more comfortable participating, potentially driving more liquidity.
- Reduced State-Level Uncertainty — The pushback against patchwork state bans or restrictions could pave the way for broader, nationwide access under consistent rules.
- Potential Volume Surge — We've already seen massive trading days (think high-stakes events like elections or major sports). Clearer federal clarity could open the floodgates for everyday events to become tradable.
The shift feels like moving from regulatory uncertainty toward a more structured, "institutional-friendly" phase for prediction markets.
What do you think—are you bullish on this sector's future? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
#PredictionMarkets #CFTC #CryptoNews #Polymarket #Kalshi #Derivatives

📅 February 19 - United States | The White House once again brought the crypto industry and the banking sector face to face. In a third closed-door meeting—described by participants as “constructive”—progress was made on the technical and political framework for dealing with yields in stablecoins, one of the last remaining issues to finalize a crypto market structure law.

📖The meeting, which began at 9 a.m. The meeting, which lasted several hours, focused on reconciling two opposing positions: banks argue that allowing direct yields erodes deposits and puts community banks at risk; crypto players maintain that prohibiting such yields would stifle innovation and legitimate use cases.
In practice, the discussion revolves around technical differences (stablecoins as means of payment versus financial products?) and policy differences (how to prevent circumvention of rules through third parties).
The White House has held these sessions with the goal of finding a balance that protects consumers and maintains US competitiveness, but a source familiar with the matter said the intention was to keep participants "until a deal is struck," and that so far they have not succeeded.
On the legislative front, the negotiation directly impacts the draft that divides jurisdiction between the SEC and the CFTC and which still contemplates several amendments: an amendment from the Senate Banking Committee would allow exchanges to offer yield if the user performs certain actions (for example, selling their stablecoins), but would prevent simply holding the currency from generating a return.
Banks, for their part, proposed very broad prohibitive principles against any profit linked to stablecoins, while crypto groups presented more flexible frameworks that include post-enactment studies to measure the effects on bank deposits.
The political context complicates progress: the conflict of interest surrounding those linked to the president continues to influence votes; the Agriculture Committee approved a version without Democratic support due to these tensions.
Even so, voices like Ripple's hope that pressure from the White House will push for a solution before April, and prediction markets have shown fluctuations regarding the likelihood of approval.

Topic Opinion:
If consumer protection is prioritized and anti-evasion safeguards are incorporated, an agreement that allows for responsible innovation is possible.
💬 Do you believe the White House will be able to forge a technical consensus without being swayed by politics?

Leave your comment...
#Stablecoins #yield #SEC #CFTC #CryptoNews $XRP $USDC $USD1

Sometimes darkness can show you the light
We can live in the light
Sometimes darkness can show you the light
We can live in the light
Disturbed - The Light
If you're tired of SEC uncertainty, endless lawsuits, and regulatory FUD — keep an eye on one acronym: CLARITY Act (H.R. 3633). The ice is breaking - White House passed it in July 2025 (294–134), and now the White House + SEC are pushing hard for Senate action.
Why it's a game-changer:
1.Clear division of powers, CFTC takes spot of "digital commodities," SEC handles securities/investment contracts.
2.Stablecoin legalization + rules for yield/rewards.
3.Green light for banks to custody crypto directly, slashing enforcement risks.
Current status (Feb 19, 2026):
Main roadblock: banks vs crypto on stablecoin yield. White House mediated meetings — latest one productive but no deal yet. Deadline for compromise is March 1.
SEC Chair Paul Atkins (Feb 11–12 hearings) said: "I support the CLARITY Act — agency ready to implement immediately upon enactment."
Treasury Sec Scott Bessent (Feb 13): "Pass it this spring to give great comfort to the market."
Prediction markets: Polymarket ~70–77% (spiked to 90% briefly today), Kalshi ~71–85% on passage by June/spring.
If compromise by March 1 and Senate markup/vote in March–April — expect a massive boost like after GENIUS Act in 2025. Could spark 20–50%+ rally in $BTC /$ETH in the following quarter (regulatory risk gone = institutions flood in). But if dragged to summer — bureaucracy wins, especially with midterms looming.
Poll in comments: When do you think it passes?
1️⃣ March — Moon soon! 🌕
2️⃣ Dragged to summer — but it will pass
3️⃣ Pushed to 2027... 😩
#WhenWillCLARITYActPass #CryptoRegulationBattle #SEC #CFTC #Stablecoins

Рабочая группа по рынкам прогнозов, созданная The Digital Chamber, будет отстаивать позицию отрасли. Организация хочет, чтобы основным регулятором оставалась CFTC.
The Digital Chamber объявила о запуске нового подразделения. Оно сосредоточится на поддержке рынков прогнозов и на выработке понятных правил для этого сегмента в США.
Во вторник в X организация представила Prediction Markets Working Group. Она также рассказала о плане работы на несколько лет вперёд. В The Digital Chamber называют рынки прогнозов «неправильно понимаемым сегментом финансов».
Первым шагом стало письмо председателю CFTC Майку Селигу. В нём организация поддержала его позицию о сохранении федерального надзора за рынками прогнозов. Также прозвучал призыв отказаться от давления через иски и штрафы.
«В письме мы отметили недавние заявления председателя Селига о том, что CFTC готовит отдельные правила и разъяснения для этого быстрорастущего сегмента финансовой и цифровой сферы», — говорится в заявлении. «Слишком долго участники рынка работали в условиях неопределённости. Полномочия федеральных и штатных регуляторов часто пересекались и оставались неясными», — добавили в The Digital Chamber.
В дальнейшем рабочая группа планирует продолжить диалог с CFTC, разработать базовые принципы политики, подготовить предложения по регулированию, публиковать исследования и формировать коалицию из участников индустрии и профильных организаций.
Также группа намерена участвовать в судебных процессах через подачу заключений в качестве «друга суда». Цель таких материалов — разъяснить судам позицию о том, что исторически именно CFTC обладала исключительными полномочиями по регулированию этого сектора.
Рынки прогнозов переходят в суды
Давление со стороны регуляторов штатов усиливается.
Во вторник Совет по контролю за азартными играми штата Невада подал гражданский иск против Kalshi. Это одна из крупнейших платформ рынков прогнозов. Ведомство требует через суд запретить компании предлагать в штате то, что оно называет нелицензированными ставками.
Kalshi и её конкурент Polymarket уже сталкивались с претензиями в других штатах. Регуляторы пытаются запретить им контракты на спортивные события. По мнению властей, такие продукты по сути являются азартными играми без лицензии.
На прошлой неделе Polymarket подала федеральный иск против штата Массачусетс. Платформа хочет заранее заблокировать возможные санкции. Компания настаивает, что надзор за этим сектором должна осуществлять CFTC, а не власти отдельных штатов.
Председатель CFTC придерживается той же позиции. Он призвал штаты уважать полномочия комиссии. В противном случае споры будут решаться в суде.
«Рынки прогнозов — не новинка. CFTC регулирует их уже более двадцати лет», — подчеркнул Селиг в видео, опубликованном в X в понедельник.
Во вторник губернатор Юты Спенсер Кокс ответил Селигу. Он заявил, что готов к судебному спору с CFTC. По его словам, рынки прогнозов — это форма азартных игр, которая «разрушает жизни» американцев.
«Майк, я ценю попытку говорить это с серьёзным лицом, но не припомню, чтобы CFTC регулировала “деривативный рынок” подборов Леброна Джеймса. Те рынки прогнозов, которые вы так горячо защищаете, это азартные игры. И точка», — сказал Кокс.
#CFTC #Kalshi #Polymarket #BinanceSquare #Write2Earn
$BTC