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Grayscale has shared a bold view on where Bitcoin could go in 2026. Many people expect a weak market in that year. Grayscale does not agree. The firm believes Bitcoin can reach a new record price in the first half of 2026.
Their main reason is money risk. Grayscale thinks the value of regular money will keep falling. The United States has large debt. This can weaken trust in the dollar. When this happens people look for things that cannot be printed easily. Bitcoin fits this role. So do gold silver and sometimes Ether.
Grayscale says this trend is not short term. As long as money keeps losing value people will want assets that hold value over time. Bitcoin is seen as one of those assets. This is why Grayscale believes current Bitcoin prices are still low compared to what they could be.
Another reason for their positive view is rules. Grayscale expects clearer crypto laws in the coming year. Clear rules often make big investors feel safer. When large funds and firms enter the market prices usually rise. Grayscale thinks this will help Bitcoin move higher in 2026.
The firm also talked about the idea that the old four year cycle may be ending. In the past Bitcoin followed a pattern of boom and bust every four years. Grayscale believes the market is changing. More long term holders and bigger investors may smooth out these sharp cycles. This could allow prices to grow in a more steady way.
Some investors are worried about large crypto holding companies selling their Bitcoin. There is fear that forced selling could crash the market. Grayscale downplayed this risk. They said most of these companies are not using extreme debt. Because of this they are less likely to be forced into sudden selling.
Grayscale also said these large holders are now part of the crypto world for good. They do not expect them to drive huge buying or huge selling in 2026. In their view the market can absorb their actions without major damage.
Still not everyone is calm. Traders remain careful. Many are protecting themselves against price drops. This shows that fear has not fully gone away. Short term moves could stay rough even if the long term view is positive.
At the time of the outlook Bitcoin was trading near eighty six thousand dollars. The market was watching key economic news closely. Interest rates inflation and government policy could all affect price moves in the short run.
In the end Grayscale believes the big picture favors Bitcoin. Falling trust in money clearer rules and long term demand could push prices to a new record by early 2026. While risks remain Grayscale thinks Bitcoin is still undervalued today.
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#Grayscale #bitcoin Grayscale analysts believe that Bitcoin price can reach a new all-time high in the first half of 2026, even though current conditions feel uncomfortable. Bitcoin price has just dumped to $86,000, sentiment is deeply negative, and fear has stretched into the longest fear streak on record.
However, Grayscale latest research argues that institutional demand and improving US regulatory clarity are quietly reshaping the mid-long term outlook for Bitcoin price action.At the moment, Bitcoin price looks weak on the surface. Oversold indicators are flashing at levels last seen at the exact bottom of the 2019 bear market. It doesn’t guarantee an immediate rebound, but it does show us that the market is stretched. Grayscale views this phase as transitional, especially when viewed on higher Bitcoin time frames.According to Grayscale analysts, our four-year Bitcoin price cycle may no longer apply in the same way. Spot ETPs and growing institutional exposure have changed liquidity behavior, allowing trends to develop more gradually. This helps explain why Bitcoin price could make new highs in 2026 without the explosive, euphoric blow-offs seen in earlier cycles.