halving
5.3M views
1,645 Discussing
ရေပန်းစားသော
နောက်ဆုံး
А что если пик биткоина уже был?
#note
Читая ленту, всё чаще натыкаюсь на прогнозы в духе: «вот-вот биткоин пойдёт вверх». В конце августа я случайно увидел в X (бывший Twitter) пост одного парня, который довольно уверенно называл дату пика текущего цикла — 6 октября 2025 года. Тогда я не придал этому значения и пролистал дальше.
А теперь возникает вопрос: а что если он был прав?
Совпадение с исторической моделью выглядит слишком точным. Биткоин обновил максимум в диапазоне $126 198–126 279 как раз 6–7 октября 2025 года. Это произошло примерно через 18 месяцев (≈530 дней) после халвинга 20 апреля 2024 года. Ровно тот же временной лаг мы видели в циклах 2017 и 2021 годов. Исторически пики формируются через 520–550 дней после халвинга — и мы попали практически в центр этого диапазона.
Техника тоже подавала сигналы. На момент пика RSI был около 72,8 — зона явной перекупленности. Классический индикатор того, что импульс выдыхается и рынок готов к коррекции.
После роста к $126k биткоин перешёл в снижение. Уже к середине ноября цена опустилась примерно до $92k (−27%), а к началу декабря — до $85 461, что составляет около −32% за два месяца.
Дополнительный тревожный фон:
– в ноябре пошли заметные оттоки из spot-ETF;
– глубина стаканов сократилась, ликвидность стала заметно слабее, чем в октябре;
– 30-дневная волатильность выросла более чем на 40% всего за две недели.
И ещё один важный момент — старые держатели. После октябрьского пика адреса с возрастом более 7 лет продали свыше 400 000 BTC только за ноябрь. Исторически именно такие продажи часто совпадают с завершением циклов.
Я не утверждаю, что «всё кончено» и дальше только вниз. Но игнорировать такое количество совпадений тоже сложно. Возможно, мы уже прошли пик этого цикла — и сейчас рынок просто переваривает произошедшее.
#Bitcoin #MarketCycle #BTCAnalysis #Halving
Читая ленту, всё чаще натыкаюсь на прогнозы в духе: «вот-вот биткоин пойдёт вверх». В конце августа я случайно увидел в X (бывший Twitter) пост одного парня, который довольно уверенно называл дату пика текущего цикла — 6 октября 2025 года. Тогда я не придал этому значения и пролистал дальше.
А теперь возникает вопрос: а что если он был прав?
Совпадение с исторической моделью выглядит слишком точным. Биткоин обновил максимум в диапазоне $126 198–126 279 как раз 6–7 октября 2025 года. Это произошло примерно через 18 месяцев (≈530 дней) после халвинга 20 апреля 2024 года. Ровно тот же временной лаг мы видели в циклах 2017 и 2021 годов. Исторически пики формируются через 520–550 дней после халвинга — и мы попали практически в центр этого диапазона.
Техника тоже подавала сигналы. На момент пика RSI был около 72,8 — зона явной перекупленности. Классический индикатор того, что импульс выдыхается и рынок готов к коррекции.
После роста к $126k биткоин перешёл в снижение. Уже к середине ноября цена опустилась примерно до $92k (−27%), а к началу декабря — до $85 461, что составляет около −32% за два месяца.
Дополнительный тревожный фон:
– в ноябре пошли заметные оттоки из spot-ETF;
– глубина стаканов сократилась, ликвидность стала заметно слабее, чем в октябре;
– 30-дневная волатильность выросла более чем на 40% всего за две недели.
И ещё один важный момент — старые держатели. После октябрьского пика адреса с возрастом более 7 лет продали свыше 400 000 BTC только за ноябрь. Исторически именно такие продажи часто совпадают с завершением циклов.
Я не утверждаю, что «всё кончено» и дальше только вниз. Но игнорировать такое количество совпадений тоже сложно. Возможно, мы уже прошли пик этого цикла — и сейчас рынок просто переваривает произошедшее.
#Bitcoin #MarketCycle #BTCAnalysis #Halving
Brainv01:
вплане ??? так то он и был! эт наивные только могут еще что-то длать
$TAO has completed its first halving, cutting mining rewards by 50%. This reduces token emission and strengthens the long-term supply scarcity narrative, often seen as a bullish signal.
At the same time, Europe’s first Staked $TAO ETP has been launched, triggering a strong price reaction and highlighting growing institutional interest.
⚠️ Short-term volatility may continue, but the long-term outlook around AI utility + limited supply remains strong
#TAO #Bittensor #AICrypto #CryptoNews #Halving
At the same time, Europe’s first Staked $TAO ETP has been launched, triggering a strong price reaction and highlighting growing institutional interest.
⚠️ Short-term volatility may continue, but the long-term outlook around AI utility + limited supply remains strong
#TAO #Bittensor #AICrypto #CryptoNews #Halving
$TAO Completes First Halving; Grayscale Trust Live
Deflationary era begins. Bittensor cuts emissions by 50% just as Grayscale and CME Group roll out institutional products for the AI network.
What's Happening:
Completed first halving, reducing daily issuance to 3,600 TAOGrayscale Bittensor Trust (GTAO) now available to investorsCME Group launches reference rates on Dec 29Subnets grew 97% since early 2025 to 128 active markets
Why It Matters: Halving + Institutional Access = Supply Shock. With emissions cut in half and institutional demand rails opening up via Grayscale and CME, the supply-demand dynamics are shifting violently in favor of holders.
Technical View: $TAO is volatile, down 9% to $229. The halving is a "sell the news" event short term, but the deflationary mechanics are a long-term driver. Accumulation zone is $200-$220.
🎯 Key Levels:
Support: $220.00 | Resistance: $250.00 24h Range: $225.00 - $240.00
💡 Scarcity is the fuel, AI is the engine
What's your take? Drop a 🔥 for bullish, ❄️ for bearish 👇
#Bittensor #TAO #AI #Halving #Grayscale
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
What's Happening:
Completed first halving, reducing daily issuance to 3,600 TAOGrayscale Bittensor Trust (GTAO) now available to investorsCME Group launches reference rates on Dec 29Subnets grew 97% since early 2025 to 128 active markets
Why It Matters: Halving + Institutional Access = Supply Shock. With emissions cut in half and institutional demand rails opening up via Grayscale and CME, the supply-demand dynamics are shifting violently in favor of holders.
Technical View: $TAO is volatile, down 9% to $229. The halving is a "sell the news" event short term, but the deflationary mechanics are a long-term driver. Accumulation zone is $200-$220.
🎯 Key Levels:
Support: $220.00 | Resistance: $250.00 24h Range: $225.00 - $240.00
💡 Scarcity is the fuel, AI is the engine
What's your take? Drop a 🔥 for bullish, ❄️ for bearish 👇
#Bittensor #TAO #AI #Halving #Grayscale
Disclaimer: This content is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always do your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
$BTC: The Endgame is Nearing 🤯
Bitcoin’s historical patterns reveal a compelling narrative: each cycle peaks closer to the halving event. We’re currently in the late stages of this cycle, with potential for significant upside before the April 2024 halving. 📈 Previous cycles saw tops occurring 13-15 months *after* the halving, suggesting the major peak is still ahead. This isn’t just hype; it’s a recurring pattern. Expect volatility, but the long-term trajectory remains bullish. Smart money is accumulating. Don't get left behind. 🚀
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #BTC 🎯
Bitcoin’s historical patterns reveal a compelling narrative: each cycle peaks closer to the halving event. We’re currently in the late stages of this cycle, with potential for significant upside before the April 2024 halving. 📈 Previous cycles saw tops occurring 13-15 months *after* the halving, suggesting the major peak is still ahead. This isn’t just hype; it’s a recurring pattern. Expect volatility, but the long-term trajectory remains bullish. Smart money is accumulating. Don't get left behind. 🚀
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #BTC 🎯
BREAKING: THE STRATEGIC IMPACT OF REWARD REDUCTION CYCLES ON CRYPTO MARKETS
GLOBAL — Historical market cycles consistently prove that programmed reward reductions, such as the Ethereum Classic ($ETC
) "Fifthening," serve as a critical foundation for significant price appreciation. By systematically decreasing the issuance of new tokens, these events fundamentally alter the supply-and-demand equilibrium. $ETH
$YFI
Key economic outcomes of these scarcity-driven cycles include:
Heightened Token Scarcity: Each reduction event lowers the annual inflation rate, making the existing supply more valuable over time 📉.
Bullish Price Correlation: Historically, the periods surrounding reward reductions attract massive capital inflows as investors anticipate a supply shock 🚀.
Mining Infrastructure Evolution: Lower rewards incentivize a shift toward high-efficiency hardware, ensuring a more robust and secure network 🏗️.
Long-Term Asset Maturity: Fixed monetary policies provide a level of predictability that traditional fiat currencies lack, fostering institutional confidence 💎.
Strategic Market Accumulation: Smart money typically begins accumulating assets well in advance of these cycles, driving liquidity and trading volume higher 📈.
By enforcing strict algorithmic scarcity, these network events ensure that decentralized assets remain resilient against external economic pressures and inflationary risks.
#EthereumClassic #Halving #CryptoEconomics #MarketGrowth
GLOBAL — Historical market cycles consistently prove that programmed reward reductions, such as the Ethereum Classic ($ETC
) "Fifthening," serve as a critical foundation for significant price appreciation. By systematically decreasing the issuance of new tokens, these events fundamentally alter the supply-and-demand equilibrium. $ETH
$YFI
Key economic outcomes of these scarcity-driven cycles include:
Heightened Token Scarcity: Each reduction event lowers the annual inflation rate, making the existing supply more valuable over time 📉.
Bullish Price Correlation: Historically, the periods surrounding reward reductions attract massive capital inflows as investors anticipate a supply shock 🚀.
Mining Infrastructure Evolution: Lower rewards incentivize a shift toward high-efficiency hardware, ensuring a more robust and secure network 🏗️.
Long-Term Asset Maturity: Fixed monetary policies provide a level of predictability that traditional fiat currencies lack, fostering institutional confidence 💎.
Strategic Market Accumulation: Smart money typically begins accumulating assets well in advance of these cycles, driving liquidity and trading volume higher 📈.
By enforcing strict algorithmic scarcity, these network events ensure that decentralized assets remain resilient against external economic pressures and inflationary risks.
#EthereumClassic #Halving #CryptoEconomics #MarketGrowth
Is the $BTC Four-Year Cycle Officially Broken? 🤯
Historically, Bitcoin has danced to the rhythm of its halving – a four-year cycle of scarcity, rallies, and corrections. But something’s different this time. The April 2024 halving hasn’t triggered the usual post-halving surge. In fact, Bitcoin is currently on track to *close* the first post-halving year down around 7%.
What’s changing? New fundamentals are rewriting the playbook. Data from CryptoQuant reveals a stabilizing force, with exchange reserves accumulating a massive 140k $BTC in Q4 alone. 📈 Add to that the game-changing impact of ETF launches, and you have a recipe for a more mature, less volatile Bitcoin.
Forget the 64% drops of 2022 or the 73% crashes of 2018. This cycle feels less about hype and more about sustained growth – potentially signaling a Bitcoin “supercycle.” Is the old four-year pattern fading into history?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #Supercycle 🚀
Historically, Bitcoin has danced to the rhythm of its halving – a four-year cycle of scarcity, rallies, and corrections. But something’s different this time. The April 2024 halving hasn’t triggered the usual post-halving surge. In fact, Bitcoin is currently on track to *close* the first post-halving year down around 7%.
What’s changing? New fundamentals are rewriting the playbook. Data from CryptoQuant reveals a stabilizing force, with exchange reserves accumulating a massive 140k $BTC in Q4 alone. 📈 Add to that the game-changing impact of ETF launches, and you have a recipe for a more mature, less volatile Bitcoin.
Forget the 64% drops of 2022 or the 73% crashes of 2018. This cycle feels less about hype and more about sustained growth – potentially signaling a Bitcoin “supercycle.” Is the old four-year pattern fading into history?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #Supercycle 🚀
Is the $BTC Four-Year Cycle Officially Broken? 🤯
Historically, Bitcoin has danced to the rhythm of its halving – a predictable four-year boom and bust. But something’s different this time. The April 2024 halving hasn’t triggered the usual post-halving rally. In fact, Bitcoin is currently on track to *close* the first post-halving year down around 7%.
What’s changed? New fundamentals are rewriting the playbook. Data from CryptoQuant reveals a stabilizing force, with exchange reserves accumulating a massive 140k $BTC in Q4 alone. 📈 Add to that the game-changing impact of ETF launches, and you have a recipe for a more mature, less volatile $BTC .Forget the 64% corrections of 2022 or the 73% drops of 2018. This cycle feels less about hype and more about sustained growth – potentially signaling a Bitcoin “supercycle.” Is the old four-year pattern fading into history?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #Supercycle 🚀
Historically, Bitcoin has danced to the rhythm of its halving – a predictable four-year boom and bust. But something’s different this time. The April 2024 halving hasn’t triggered the usual post-halving rally. In fact, Bitcoin is currently on track to *close* the first post-halving year down around 7%.
What’s changed? New fundamentals are rewriting the playbook. Data from CryptoQuant reveals a stabilizing force, with exchange reserves accumulating a massive 140k $BTC in Q4 alone. 📈 Add to that the game-changing impact of ETF launches, and you have a recipe for a more mature, less volatile $BTC .Forget the 64% corrections of 2022 or the 73% drops of 2018. This cycle feels less about hype and more about sustained growth – potentially signaling a Bitcoin “supercycle.” Is the old four-year pattern fading into history?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #Supercycle 🚀
$BTC BITCOIN fin 2025
En décembre 2025, le Bitcoin traverse une phase de consolidation après une année exceptionnelle marquée par de nouveaux sommets historiques. Le prix évolue sans direction claire, ce qui correspond à une pause naturelle du marché après une forte euphorie.
📊 Situation actuelle (18 décembre 2025)
Prix : ~ 86 300 $
Capitalisation : ~ 1 730 milliards $
Volume 24h : > 45 milliards $
Recul d’environ 31 % depuis l’ATH à 126 198 $
Cette baisse n’est pas un crash, mais une respiration du marché.
🔎 Pourquoi cette consolidation ?
Prises de bénéfices après les fortes hausses de 2025
Retour de BTC dormants augmentant temporairement l’offre
Absence de nouveaux catalyseurs immédiats, les bonnes nouvelles étant déjà intégrées
📉 Sentiment du marché $BTC
L’indicateur Fear & Greed est en zone de peur
Historiquement, ces phases ont souvent offert des opportunités aux investisseurs patients
Le court terme reste incertain et volatil
⚠️ Risques à court terme
Cassure possible des supports autour de 85 000 $
Influence des facteurs macroéconomiques (taux, économie mondiale)
Forte volatilité toujours présente
🚀 Perspectives 2026 $BTC
Offre limitée à 21 millions de BTC
Adoption institutionnelle toujours en croissance
Effet différé du halving 2024, souvent favorable sur le cycle suivant
👉 Beaucoup d’analystes restent optimistes pour 2026, sous réserve d’un contexte macro favorable.
le plus important:
La correction actuelle est saine
Le marché est en phase de digestion
Le long terme reste soutenu par des fondamentaux solides
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTC☀ #Crypto #bitcoin #Halving
En décembre 2025, le Bitcoin traverse une phase de consolidation après une année exceptionnelle marquée par de nouveaux sommets historiques. Le prix évolue sans direction claire, ce qui correspond à une pause naturelle du marché après une forte euphorie.
📊 Situation actuelle (18 décembre 2025)
Prix : ~ 86 300 $
Capitalisation : ~ 1 730 milliards $
Volume 24h : > 45 milliards $
Recul d’environ 31 % depuis l’ATH à 126 198 $
Cette baisse n’est pas un crash, mais une respiration du marché.
🔎 Pourquoi cette consolidation ?
Prises de bénéfices après les fortes hausses de 2025
Retour de BTC dormants augmentant temporairement l’offre
Absence de nouveaux catalyseurs immédiats, les bonnes nouvelles étant déjà intégrées
📉 Sentiment du marché $BTC
L’indicateur Fear & Greed est en zone de peur
Historiquement, ces phases ont souvent offert des opportunités aux investisseurs patients
Le court terme reste incertain et volatil
⚠️ Risques à court terme
Cassure possible des supports autour de 85 000 $
Influence des facteurs macroéconomiques (taux, économie mondiale)
Forte volatilité toujours présente
🚀 Perspectives 2026 $BTC
Offre limitée à 21 millions de BTC
Adoption institutionnelle toujours en croissance
Effet différé du halving 2024, souvent favorable sur le cycle suivant
👉 Beaucoup d’analystes restent optimistes pour 2026, sous réserve d’un contexte macro favorable.
le plus important:
La correction actuelle est saine
Le marché est en phase de digestion
Le long terme reste soutenu par des fondamentaux solides
#WriteToEarnUpgrade #BTC☀ #Crypto #bitcoin #Halving
Barney Woiwode lEmI:
Bonjour, Je trouve que le btc évolue dans une direction très claire depuis 2 mois: la baisse ! De 126000 à 85000, vous ne voyez pas une direction ? ça s'appelle un marché baissier.
2026: The Bitcoin Endgame is Closer Than You Think 🚀
Is this just wishful thinking, or are we witnessing the calm before the storm? The narrative of “repeat after me” suggests a growing conviction – a belief that the next major cycle will deliver unprecedented gains. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the alignment of factors like the halving, increasing institutional adoption, and evolving macroeconomic conditions paints a potentially explosive picture for $BTC. Don't underestimate the power of collective belief in this space. ⏳ It’s not about *if*, but *when*.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #BullRun 📈
Is this just wishful thinking, or are we witnessing the calm before the storm? The narrative of “repeat after me” suggests a growing conviction – a belief that the next major cycle will deliver unprecedented gains. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the alignment of factors like the halving, increasing institutional adoption, and evolving macroeconomic conditions paints a potentially explosive picture for $BTC. Don't underestimate the power of collective belief in this space. ⏳ It’s not about *if*, but *when*.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #BullRun 📈
2026: The Bitcoin Endgame is Closer Than You Think 🚀
Is this just wishful thinking, or are we witnessing the calm before the storm? The narrative of “repeat after me” suggests a growing conviction – a belief that the next major cycle will deliver unprecedented gains. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the alignment of factors like the halving, institutional adoption, and increasing mainstream awareness paints a compelling picture. Don't underestimate the power of collective belief in $BTC. It’s not just about the tech; it’s about the narrative. ⏳
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #BullRun 📈
Is this just wishful thinking, or are we witnessing the calm before the storm? The narrative of “repeat after me” suggests a growing conviction – a belief that the next major cycle will deliver unprecedented gains. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the alignment of factors like the halving, institutional adoption, and increasing mainstream awareness paints a compelling picture. Don't underestimate the power of collective belief in $BTC. It’s not just about the tech; it’s about the narrative. ⏳
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Halving #BullRun 📈
🚨 $TAO sous pression après son premier#Halving : correction ou opportunité cachée ?
📉 Contexte immédiat : une baisse marquée
- Prix actuel (17 décembre 2025) : entre 246 et 267 USD, en recul de près de -17 % sur le mois.
- Effet "Sell the News" : le halving du 14-15 décembre, réduisant les émissions quotidiennes de 7 200 à 3 600 TAO, a déclenché une vague de prises de profits.
- Performance relative : TAO sous-performe le marché crypto global (-16 % sur 7 jours vs -6 % pour l’ensemble du marché).
🔎 Facteurs clés de la baisse
- Anticipation excessive : comme pour Bitcoin, l’événement était largement intégré dans les prix avant le halving.
- Pression vendeuse : les investisseurs ont capitalisé sur l’hype pré-halving.
- Marché global fragile : correction généralisée des cryptos, volumes en baisse (~18 % pour TAO).
- Sentiment négatif : indices de peur extrême, cassure de supports techniques.
🌐 Perspectives long terme : un potentiel intact
- Inflation réduite : passage de ~26 % à ~13 %, ce qui renforce la rareté du token.
- Développements fondamentaux : croissance des subnets, adoption croissante de l’IA décentralisée, intérêt institutionnel (Grayscale Trust).
- Narratif bullish : comme pour Bitcoin, les halvings sont historiquement des catalyseurs de cycles haussiers à moyen/long terme.
💡 Message pour les investisseurs
À court terme, $TAO subit la classique "déception post-événement" et la faiblesse du marché global. Mais à long terme, la réduction de l’offre et l’expansion de l’écosystème Bittensor pourraient transformer cette correction en fenêtre d’accumulation stratégique.
#DYOR*
📉 Contexte immédiat : une baisse marquée
- Prix actuel (17 décembre 2025) : entre 246 et 267 USD, en recul de près de -17 % sur le mois.
- Effet "Sell the News" : le halving du 14-15 décembre, réduisant les émissions quotidiennes de 7 200 à 3 600 TAO, a déclenché une vague de prises de profits.
- Performance relative : TAO sous-performe le marché crypto global (-16 % sur 7 jours vs -6 % pour l’ensemble du marché).
🔎 Facteurs clés de la baisse
- Anticipation excessive : comme pour Bitcoin, l’événement était largement intégré dans les prix avant le halving.
- Pression vendeuse : les investisseurs ont capitalisé sur l’hype pré-halving.
- Marché global fragile : correction généralisée des cryptos, volumes en baisse (~18 % pour TAO).
- Sentiment négatif : indices de peur extrême, cassure de supports techniques.
🌐 Perspectives long terme : un potentiel intact
- Inflation réduite : passage de ~26 % à ~13 %, ce qui renforce la rareté du token.
- Développements fondamentaux : croissance des subnets, adoption croissante de l’IA décentralisée, intérêt institutionnel (Grayscale Trust).
- Narratif bullish : comme pour Bitcoin, les halvings sont historiquement des catalyseurs de cycles haussiers à moyen/long terme.
💡 Message pour les investisseurs
À court terme, $TAO subit la classique "déception post-événement" et la faiblesse du marché global. Mais à long terme, la réduction de l’offre et l’expansion de l’écosystème Bittensor pourraient transformer cette correction en fenêtre d’accumulation stratégique.
#DYOR*
⏳ Bitcoin Halving is approaching — aur history repeat hone ke signals de rahi hai.
📊 Past Halving Insight:
Halving se pehle → market slow & boring
Halving ke baad → explosive moves 🚀
Retail wait karta hai…
Smart money pehle accumulate karta hai.
🧠 Current Market Reality:
✔ Fear still high
✔ Volume low
✔ Perfect accumulation zone forming
📈 My View:
This is not the time to panic.
This is the time to prepare.
⚠️ Reminder:
Big profits are made in silence,
not when everyone is screaming “BUY”.
💬 Question for you:
Are you accumulating or waiting for confirmation?
👇 Comment below
#Bitcoin #Halving #Binance #CryptoTrends #BTC #SmartMoney
📊 Past Halving Insight:
Halving se pehle → market slow & boring
Halving ke baad → explosive moves 🚀
Retail wait karta hai…
Smart money pehle accumulate karta hai.
🧠 Current Market Reality:
✔ Fear still high
✔ Volume low
✔ Perfect accumulation zone forming
📈 My View:
This is not the time to panic.
This is the time to prepare.
⚠️ Reminder:
Big profits are made in silence,
not when everyone is screaming “BUY”.
💬 Question for you:
Are you accumulating or waiting for confirmation?
👇 Comment below
#Bitcoin #Halving #Binance #CryptoTrends #BTC #SmartMoney
BITCOIN’S FOUR-YEAR CYCLE IS BREAKING — AND THAT CHANGES EVERYTHING
For more than a decade, Bitcoin investors lived by one rule:
“Buy after the halving. Sell the top. Repeat every four years.”
That rule may be dying.
According to Bitwise, one of the largest crypto asset managers, Bitcoin is on track to break its traditional four-year cycle as early as 2026 — and the implications are massive.
---
⏳ The Old Bitcoin Playbook
Historically, Bitcoin followed a clean rhythm:
🔁 Halving every four years
📈 Explosive bull market
📉 Brutal bear market
💤 Long accumulation phase
This pattern shaped every strategy, from retail DCA to whale-sized macro trades. Timing mattered more than fundamentals. The calendar was the strategy.
---
🧨 Why Bitwise Says the Cycle Is Failing
Bitwise argues that Bitcoin’s market structure has fundamentally changed:
1️⃣ ETFs Changed the Flow
Spot Bitcoin ETFs introduced:
Daily institutional inflows & outflows
Passive, long-term capital
Less emotional, less speculative buying
This smooths volatility and disrupts sharp cycle peaks.
2️⃣ Institutions Changed the Behavior
Bitcoin is no longer just a retail-driven asset:
Pension funds
Asset managers
Corporate treasuries
These players don’t trade halving hype — they allocate based on:
Liquidity
Risk-adjusted returns
Macro conditions
3️⃣ Liquidity Is Now Macro-Driven
Bitcoin increasingly trades like:
A macro asset
A liquidity-sensitive risk instrument
A digital commodity
Global rates, dollar strength, and monetary policy now matter as much as halvings.
---
🔄 What Replaces the 4-Year Cycle?
Bitwise expects a new Bitcoin rhythm:
✅ Longer expansions
❌ Fewer clean blow-off tops
🕰️ Messier timing
📉 Extended consolidation instead of deep crashes
Bitcoin may still be volatile — but not clockwork predictable.
---
⚠️ Why This Matters (A LOT)
If the four-year cycle breaks:
❌ Waiting for “the perfect top” becomes dangerous
❌ Timing exits purely on past cycles may fail
❌ Bear markets may be shallower but longer
Instead, success shifts toward:
📊 Risk management
🧠 Adaptive positioning
🕰️ Patience over precision
The old strategy of “sell everything at the cycle peak” may leave traders underexposed to long, grinding uptrends.
---
🌍 A Bigger Signal: Bitcoin Is Growing Up
This thesis marks a deeper transition:
From retail speculation → institutional allocation
From hype-driven cycles → macro-sensitive trends
From reflexive booms → structural adoption
Bitcoin isn’t losing relevance — it’s outgrowing its training wheels.
---
🧩 The Bottom Line
🟠 Bitcoin’s four-year cycle may not vanish overnight
🟠 But its predictive power is clearly weakening
🟠 2026 could mark the moment the old rules finally stop working
Bitcoin isn’t ending its cycles because it’s failing.
It’s ending them because it’s becoming something bigger.
📌 Adapt — or trade yesterday’s market.$BTC $ETH
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #Halving #InstitutionalAdoption #Bitwise 🚀
“Buy after the halving. Sell the top. Repeat every four years.”
That rule may be dying.
According to Bitwise, one of the largest crypto asset managers, Bitcoin is on track to break its traditional four-year cycle as early as 2026 — and the implications are massive.
---
⏳ The Old Bitcoin Playbook
Historically, Bitcoin followed a clean rhythm:
🔁 Halving every four years
📈 Explosive bull market
📉 Brutal bear market
💤 Long accumulation phase
This pattern shaped every strategy, from retail DCA to whale-sized macro trades. Timing mattered more than fundamentals. The calendar was the strategy.
---
🧨 Why Bitwise Says the Cycle Is Failing
Bitwise argues that Bitcoin’s market structure has fundamentally changed:
1️⃣ ETFs Changed the Flow
Spot Bitcoin ETFs introduced:
Daily institutional inflows & outflows
Passive, long-term capital
Less emotional, less speculative buying
This smooths volatility and disrupts sharp cycle peaks.
2️⃣ Institutions Changed the Behavior
Bitcoin is no longer just a retail-driven asset:
Pension funds
Asset managers
Corporate treasuries
These players don’t trade halving hype — they allocate based on:
Liquidity
Risk-adjusted returns
Macro conditions
3️⃣ Liquidity Is Now Macro-Driven
Bitcoin increasingly trades like:
A macro asset
A liquidity-sensitive risk instrument
A digital commodity
Global rates, dollar strength, and monetary policy now matter as much as halvings.
---
🔄 What Replaces the 4-Year Cycle?
Bitwise expects a new Bitcoin rhythm:
✅ Longer expansions
❌ Fewer clean blow-off tops
🕰️ Messier timing
📉 Extended consolidation instead of deep crashes
Bitcoin may still be volatile — but not clockwork predictable.
---
⚠️ Why This Matters (A LOT)
If the four-year cycle breaks:
❌ Waiting for “the perfect top” becomes dangerous
❌ Timing exits purely on past cycles may fail
❌ Bear markets may be shallower but longer
Instead, success shifts toward:
📊 Risk management
🧠 Adaptive positioning
🕰️ Patience over precision
The old strategy of “sell everything at the cycle peak” may leave traders underexposed to long, grinding uptrends.
---
🌍 A Bigger Signal: Bitcoin Is Growing Up
This thesis marks a deeper transition:
From retail speculation → institutional allocation
From hype-driven cycles → macro-sensitive trends
From reflexive booms → structural adoption
Bitcoin isn’t losing relevance — it’s outgrowing its training wheels.
---
🧩 The Bottom Line
🟠 Bitcoin’s four-year cycle may not vanish overnight
🟠 But its predictive power is clearly weakening
🟠 2026 could mark the moment the old rules finally stop working
Bitcoin isn’t ending its cycles because it’s failing.
It’s ending them because it’s becoming something bigger.
📌 Adapt — or trade yesterday’s market.$BTC $ETH
#Bitcoin #CryptoMarkets #Halving #InstitutionalAdoption #Bitwise 🚀
BTC to $200K?! 🤯
Buckle up, folks! Analysts are going wild with $BTC price predictions. The halving and mass adoption are fueling the fire! 🔥
Some say $BTC could hit an average of $210,645 by 2026, with peaks soaring to $230,618! Even the cautious estimates see at least $196,000 in five years.
The future's unwritten, but one thing's clear: $BTC 's value could explode thanks to insane demand and tech breakthroughs. Keep your eyes peeled – the crypto world is full of surprises!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #Halving
🚀
Buckle up, folks! Analysts are going wild with $BTC price predictions. The halving and mass adoption are fueling the fire! 🔥
Some say $BTC could hit an average of $210,645 by 2026, with peaks soaring to $230,618! Even the cautious estimates see at least $196,000 in five years.
The future's unwritten, but one thing's clear: $BTC 's value could explode thanks to insane demand and tech breakthroughs. Keep your eyes peeled – the crypto world is full of surprises!
#Bitcoin #Crypto #BTC #Halving
🚀
TAO HALVING SHOCKWAVE HITS 🚨
Entry: 485.00 🟩
Target 1: 500.00 🎯
Target 2: 520.00 🎯
Stop Loss: 470.00 🛑
Bittensor just slashed TAO emissions by 50%! Daily issuance cut to 3,600 TAO. This is the first halving since launch.
Supply shock is real. Validator and miner selling pressure CRUMBLES. New TAO becomes scarce, igniting demand. Subnets MUST innovate or die. Quality over quantity reigns.
AI + Crypto narrative is EXPLODING. Bittensor has the story: decentralized AI, competitive subnets, value-driven rewards. This isn't just a supply event, it's a VALUE catalyst.
Don't sleep on this. The market needs time to digest, but long-term fundamentals are now undeniable.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk.
#TAO #Bittensor #AIcrypto #Halving 🔥
Entry: 485.00 🟩
Target 1: 500.00 🎯
Target 2: 520.00 🎯
Stop Loss: 470.00 🛑
Bittensor just slashed TAO emissions by 50%! Daily issuance cut to 3,600 TAO. This is the first halving since launch.
Supply shock is real. Validator and miner selling pressure CRUMBLES. New TAO becomes scarce, igniting demand. Subnets MUST innovate or die. Quality over quantity reigns.
AI + Crypto narrative is EXPLODING. Bittensor has the story: decentralized AI, competitive subnets, value-driven rewards. This isn't just a supply event, it's a VALUE catalyst.
Don't sleep on this. The market needs time to digest, but long-term fundamentals are now undeniable.
Disclaimer: Trading involves risk.
#TAO #Bittensor #AIcrypto #Halving 🔥
⏰ BITCOIN$BTC HALVING: Only 177 Days Left. ARE YOU READY?
Body:
The countdown has officially begun. Less than 6 months until the Bitcoin Halving.
✂️ Supply shock incoming. History tells us this is the ultimate catalyst for parabolic moves.
Are you accumulating before the demand surge hits? Or waiting for FOMO to kick in?
This isn't just a calendar event; it's a fundamental supply squeeze. Don't get caught sleeping.
What's your target post-Halving? #bitcoin #Halving $BTC #CryptoTrading #BullRun
Both posts are designed to be:
Short & Punchy: Easy to read and digest quickly.
* Trending: AI, Meme Coins, and the Bitcoin Halving are constant hot topics.
* Engaging: They ask direct questions to encourage comments and debate.
* Visually Appealing: With emojis and bold text to stand out.
Body:
The countdown has officially begun. Less than 6 months until the Bitcoin Halving.
✂️ Supply shock incoming. History tells us this is the ultimate catalyst for parabolic moves.
Are you accumulating before the demand surge hits? Or waiting for FOMO to kick in?
This isn't just a calendar event; it's a fundamental supply squeeze. Don't get caught sleeping.
What's your target post-Halving? #bitcoin #Halving $BTC #CryptoTrading #BullRun
Both posts are designed to be:
Short & Punchy: Easy to read and digest quickly.
* Trending: AI, Meme Coins, and the Bitcoin Halving are constant hot topics.
* Engaging: They ask direct questions to encourage comments and debate.
* Visually Appealing: With emojis and bold text to stand out.
🌐 Bittensor (TAO) : Le Halving est acté !
L'évènement a été déclenché par l'atteinte d’un seuil d'émission, et non par une date.
La preuve en Chiffres :
Le Halving a eu lieu lorsque l'offre en circulation (circulating supply) a dépassé 10 500 000 jetons.
▪️Offre Circulante Atteinte : 10 500 203 jetons.
▪️Conséquence : La récompense par bloc est passée de 1 TAO à 0.5 TAO.
▪️Date : Autour du 14 décembre (UTC).
L'offre est Réduite : L’émission quotidienne de nouveaux $TAO est désormais divisée par deux (passée de 7200 à 3600 $TAO par jour).
#Bittensor #TAO #Halving
La preuve en Chiffres :
Le Halving a eu lieu lorsque l'offre en circulation (circulating supply) a dépassé 10 500 000 jetons.
▪️Offre Circulante Atteinte : 10 500 203 jetons.
▪️Conséquence : La récompense par bloc est passée de 1 TAO à 0.5 TAO.
▪️Date : Autour du 14 décembre (UTC).
L'offre est Réduite : L’émission quotidienne de nouveaux $TAO est désormais divisée par deux (passée de 7200 à 3600 $TAO par jour).
#Bittensor #TAO #Halving
🧠⚡️ Bittensor увійшов у нову еру — HALVING завершено
Перше в історії TAO-halving офіційно відбулося:
🔻 емісія зменшена з 7 200 → 3 600 TAO/день
Що це означає?
• ⛓️ Дефіцит → сильніша економіка токена
• 🧩 Фокус не на емісії, а на реальній AI-утиліті
• 🚀 Перевірка зрілості децентралізованого AI
Тепер виживають не всі —
виграють ті, хто будує й використовує мережу.
$TAO = не просто токен.
$TAO = інфраструктура для майбутнього AI.
#TAO #bittensor #Halving #DecentralizedAI #CryptoNarratives
Перше в історії TAO-halving офіційно відбулося:
🔻 емісія зменшена з 7 200 → 3 600 TAO/день
Що це означає?
• ⛓️ Дефіцит → сильніша економіка токена
• 🧩 Фокус не на емісії, а на реальній AI-утиліті
• 🚀 Перевірка зрілості децентралізованого AI
Тепер виживають не всі —
виграють ті, хто будує й використовує мережу.
$TAO = не просто токен.
$TAO = інфраструктура для майбутнього AI.
#TAO #bittensor #Halving #DecentralizedAI #CryptoNarratives
KillamKilla:
Був сильний поштовх в кінці жовтня, коли тілтки стало відомо про халвінг. Але зараз він майже вдвічі просів від тих рівнів. Холдимо. Чекаємо. Віримо.
နောက်ထပ်အကြောင်းအရာများကို စူးစမ်းလေ့လာရန် အကောင့်ဝင်ပါ