marketsentimenttoday

Рынок периодически реализует то, что ещё недавно выглядело слишком радикально. Прошлая неделя по ETH — как раз из этой категории. Уровни в районе 2500 визуально воспринимались как привлекательные (при том, что в модели закладывались и 2200, и даже психологические 2000), но даже этот диапазон оказался не финалом. Мемы про Виталика, свечи и «дырявые носки» всё ещё гуляют по рынку — ирония как индикатор стадии, не более.
Гораздо важнее другое: куда рынок может двигаться дальше и какие зоны сейчас действительно имеют значение. Часть участников начинает подбирать ETH, считая цену интересной, часть продолжает наращивать шорты по инерции, а кто-то занимает выжидательную позицию. Разберём основные варианты.
Сценарий 1 — откуп для распределения
Краткосрочно ETH может показать попытку силы и вернуться в область 2500 для закрытия дисбаланса. Такой рост логично рассматривать как технический, с последующим откатом и риском повторного снижения в сторону зоны около $2000.
Сценарий 2 — консолидация
Более сбалансированный вариант: остановка движения и формирование диапазона 2200–2500. Такой боковик даст рынку время перераспределить позиции и станет базой для следующего импульса.
Сценарий 3 — восстановление структуры
Пока выглядит наименее вероятным, но именно он способен изменить общий настрой. Закрепление выше 2400 и постепенное развитие восходящего движения вернёт ETH в фазу восстановления.

$ETH
#ETH #прогноз #MarketSentimentToday #TradingCommunity #TradingSignals

Ethereum faces renewed selling pressure today as investors weigh whether to buy the dip or continue liquidating holdings after the crypto market crash. The dip comes as onchain activity ETH selling by Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin and Trend Research, fueling bearish sentiment.

It faces increased bearish pressure after falling below $2,700. Veteran trader Peter Brandt warns of further drop in Ethereum price due to ongoing selling, low liquidity, and outflows from spot Ethereum ETFs.

WHAT REALLY HAPPENED?

Ethereum creator Vitalik Buterin continues to sell his ETH holdings. He sold 493 ETH worth $1.16 million ( LookOnChain Reported on February 3 on X). This comes following a 211.84 ETH selloff for 500,000 USDC.

On-chain data revealed that Buterin also converted more than 5,000 ETH to WETH. He is likely preparing to sell these tokens to support the Ethereum ecosystem. While the transfer isn’t larger, the timing of selling his ETH holdings amid the Crypto market crash sparked panic

VITALIK BUTERIN WITHDRAWS 16,384 ETH !!!

A few days after warning of a potential crypto industry decline due to speculation and lack of real-world use, Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin withdrew 16,384 ETH.

In an X post on January 30, Buterin confirmed that the withdrawn ETH would be used to meet two goals. He plans an aggressive roadmap for Ethereum to maintain its performance and scalability, without compromising robustness, sustainability, and decentralization.

He further said these funds will help the Ethereum Foundation ensure long-term sustainability and protect Ethereum’s core mission. This includes supporting the “core blockchain layer and users’ ability to access and use the chain with self-sovereignty, security, and privacy.”

Buterin is also exploring secure decentralized staking options, which would enable greater allocation of staking rewards toward these long-term goals.

Such withdrawals may contribute to short-term bearish sentiment or increased selling pressure, particularly during periods of market weakness.

VETERAN TRADER PETER BRANDT WARNS ETHEREUM PRICE CRASH

Peter Brandt shared a 24-hour Ethereum price chart highlighting a symmetrical triangle pattern formation. He claims that the price has breakdown and flashes a classic bearish signal, indicating further downside risk.
Peter Brandt shared another chart depicting a right-angled broadening pattern for the Crypto Total Market Cap. It has fallen to the key support of $2.82 trillion after the crypto market crash.

SUPPORT ZONE:

The next support zone is $2,000-$2,200. In fact, it is the next major support zone. This is where spot ETFs and DATs have accumulated their most ETH. The level is most likely to provide short-term support for a potential rebound.

COINGRASS DATA:

The CoinGlass data indicates a buy-the-dip sentiment in the derivatives market in the last few hours. Total ETH futures open interest fell over 10% to $34.89 billion in the past 24 hours. Four-hour $ETH futures open interest on CME and Binance declined by more than 0.30% and 0.40%, respectively.

Conclusion:
It is very crucial for $ETH to hold the support zone for a possible short term rebound. So, ETH price needs to reclaim the 200-week moving average at $2,451 for upside move.

However, these are based on my own personal research work, knowledge and observation in the market and market movers.
Trade and invest Wisely as the price of crypto assets can move quickly in opposite direction especially during a volatile market such as this.
DYOR - NFA.
#HotTrends #TrendingTopic #BinanceSquareTalks #MarketSentimentToday

Is This the Bottom or Just Another Pause?

The market has been red for days now.
Not one big crash. Not a dramatic headline. Just a slow, steady bleed that makes you question every green candle that shows up.
And that’s usually where the real doubt starts.
People aren’t asking “how high can this go?” anymore.
They’re asking something much harder:
Is this the bottom… or is this just another stop on the way down?
What the Downtrend Feels Like
When markets fall in a straight line, emotions change fast. First it’s patience. Then it’s frustration. Then it’s silence.
Volume dries up. Fewer posts. Fewer bold predictions. Everyone starts waiting for someone else to move first.
From experience, this phase is where two things usually happen:
Late sellers finally give up their positions
Early buyers quietly start testing the water

You can’t see it on a single candle. You feel it in the pace of the market.

The Trap of “Perfect Timing”
Most people want the exact bottom. The perfect entry. The screenshot trade.
But the truth is, bottoms don’t usually come with announcements. They form in messy, boring price action. Sideways moves. Fake bounces. Another dip. Then another.
That’s why I’m not asking “Is this the bottom?”
I’m asking “Is this a zone where risk starts to make sense?”

What I’m Watching Instead of Predictions
I’m paying attention to small things:
How price reacts when it hits the same level twice
Whether selling pressure gets weaker on each drop
If volume starts to rise without a big price move
Those little shifts often show up before the chart looks “bullish” again.

Buying vs. Waiting
There’s a big difference between:
Buying because price is down
and
Buying because the market is changing behavior
Right now, I’m leaning toward small, patient entries, not big bets. If I’m wrong, my risk is controlled. If I’m right, I’m already in when confidence starts to return.

The Real Question
So I’ll throw this back to you:
Do you think this is the phase where smart money starts building positions — or are we still in the part where the market needs one more shakeout?

Curious to hear how others are reading this market 👇
#crypto #bitcoin #MarketSentimentToday #tradingpsychology #Web3

Fear in the Market, but Smart Money Is Watching the Dip
On February 3, 2026, the crypto market is showing early signs of stabilization after a sharp decline. While overall sentiment remains cautious, several indicators suggest that institutional investors are quietly preparing for potential opportunities.
Bitcoin Price Action
Bitcoin (BTC) has rebounded slightly and is trading near the $77,000–$78,000 range after recent selling pressure. Despite this short-term recovery, market participants remain uncertain about the next major move, as volatility is still elevated.
Options data and on-chain activity indicate hesitation among traders, signaling that the market has not yet confirmed a strong bullish trend.
Institutional Activity: ARK Invest Buys the Dip
One of the most notable developments today is ARK Invest’s purchase of over $70 million worth of crypto-related stocks, including companies like Coinbase. This move suggests that long-term institutional players still believe in the future growth of the crypto sector, even during periods of market fear.
Historically, such accumulation during market weakness has often preceded longer-term recoveries.
Altcoins Show Mild Recovery
Major altcoins such as BNB, ADA, and AVAX have also shown modest rebounds as liquidation pressure eased. However, the Fear & Greed Index remains in the “Extreme Fear” zone, indicating that retail sentiment is still fragile.
This environment typically favors patient investors rather than aggressive short-term traders.
Macro Factors Influencing Crypto
Global macroeconomic conditions continue to influence crypto markets. Asian equities and gold have shown signs of recovery, while Bitcoin has underperformed compared to traditional safe-haven assets.
Investors are closely watching central bank policies, interest rate expectations, and US dollar strength, which remain key drivers for crypto in the coming weeks.
Growing Interest in Early-Stage Crypto Projects
Interestingly, market volatility has renewed interest in early-stage crypto presales and emerging blockchain projects. Many investors are shifting focus from short-term price action to long-term innovation, looking for undervalued opportunities during market downturns.#MarketUpdate
#CryptoFear
#ExtremeFear
#MarketSentimentToday
#CryptoVolatility
#bearmarket
#BuyTheDip

Snowball ($雪球 ) represents a distinct class of crypto assets where value accrual is structurally embedded into trading activity itself, rather than dependent on external catalysts, emissions schedules, or speculative narratives.
From a professional investment perspective, Snowball should be analyzed as a market instrument, not a traditional token.
1. Transaction-Based Value Accrual Model
Snowball operates on a fee-based transaction architecture where each trade contributes to two core processes:
Permanent supply contraction (burns)Market-side demand reinforcement (buybacks)
This creates a closed-loop system in which:
Liquidity events generate deflation.Deflation increases scarcity.Scarcity increases the marginal impact of incremental demand.
Importantly, this model decouples value growth from pure price appreciation and ties it instead to activity density.
In high-volume environments, Snowball becomes progressively harder to price down due to:
shrinking float,and automated demand absorption.
2. Supply Dynamics and Float Compression
Unlike static-supply assets, Snowball’s effective circulating supply is dynamic and contracting.
Key implications:
Float compression increases slippage asymmetrically (upside > downside).Large market orders increasingly impact price as supply tightens.Over time, price discovery becomes more sensitive to marginal inflows.
This is particularly relevant for institutional or whale-sized orders, where:
early positioning benefits from higher liquidity,later positioning benefits from higher convexity.
Snowball transitions naturally from a liquidity-driven market to a scarcity-driven market.
3. Buyback Mechanism as Volatility Regulator
The buyback function acts as a non-discretionary market participant:
It absorbs sell pressure algorithmically.It activates proportionally to transaction volume.It provides passive support without manual intervention.
From a market microstructure perspective:
This reduces tail-risk during drawdowns.Dampens cascading sell-offs.Encourages mean-reversion behavior during consolidations.
While not eliminating volatility, it reshapes its distribution — fewer extreme downside events, higher probability of controlled expansions.
4. Trader–Holder Incentive Alignment
A critical weakness in most crypto markets is adversarial incentive design:
traders extract value from holders,holders depend on new entrants.
Snowball partially resolves this conflict:
Traders generate burns and buybacks.Holders benefit from both processes.Increased turnover does not equate to dilution.
This alignment improves market longevity and reduces dependency on constant capital inflows.
5. Comparative Market Efficiency
Relative to zero-tax or emission-heavy assets:
Zero-tax assets maximize turnover but suffer from:
weak directional persistence,prolonged sideways regimes,higher breakdown risk during sentiment shifts.
Emission-based assets inflate supply faster than demand.
Snowball’s design biases the system toward:
controlled liquidity,progressive scarcity,and structural price support.
From an efficiency standpoint, Snowball converts speculative energy into supply reduction, an uncommon but powerful design choice.
6. Consensus Formation as a Risk Mitigator
Snowball’s holder growth reflects distributed consensus formation rather than concentrated ownership expansion.
This matters because:
distributed ownership reduces systemic sell risk,consensus-driven markets recover faster from volatility,price stability improves as supply decentralizes.
Consensus here is not marketing-driven — it is transactionally reinforced.
7. Scenario-Based Outlook (Non-Promissory)
From a probabilistic standpoint:
Low-volume regimes:
Price consolidates, burns continue at a slower rate, downside remains bounded.
Moderate sustained volume:
Supply compression accelerates, directional trends become more persistent.
High-volume expansion:
Float reduction and buybacks amplify upside convexity significantly.
The system favors time + activity, not timing alone.
Conclusion
Snowball is best understood as a self-reinforcing market structure rather than a speculative bet.
Its design transforms:
trading into deflation,volume into scarcity,and consensus into stability.
For professional investors seeking asymmetric exposure with structural downside mitigation and long-term convexity, Snowball offers a configuration that is rare in the current crypto landscape.
#MarketSentimentToday #ChinaCrypto #snowball雪球 #Market_Update $雪球