ratecutexpectations

let's break down today's big #US inflation news in super simple terms:
Inflation is basically how fast prices are rising for everyday stuff like food, gas, rent, and clothes.
Today, the government reported that US inflation for November dropped to 2.7% over the last year. Experts were expecting it to go up to around 3.1%, so this lower number was a nice surprise!
Why does this matter?
..Lower inflation is good news for your wallet – prices aren't rising as fast.
..It makes the Federal Reserve (the big bank that controls interest rates) more likely to cut rates soon (maybe starting in January 2026). Lower rates mean cheaper loans for houses, cars, etc., and it often boosts stocks and crypto.

Markets are loving it right now – things are pumping
#CPIWatch
#CryptoRally
#Fed
#RateCutExpectations

The Federal Reserve (the "Fed") is like America's money boss. They control interest rates – basically, how expensive it is to borrow money.
Right now (December 2025), they just cut rates a bit for the third time this year, down to about 3.5%–3.75%. Lower rates make loans cheaper, so people and businesses borrow more, spend more, and the economy grows faster.
This is great for stocks and crypto because money flows into riskier stuff like that! Kevin Hassett is President Trump's top economic advisor (and a strong candidate to become THE NEXT #Fed BOSS). He recently said "there's plenty of room to cut rates even more".
#TRUMP agrees and wants lower rates to keep the economy booming.Why does this matter? Cheaper borrowing = easier to buy homes, cars, start businesses, or invest. But if rates go too low too fast, prices (inflation) could rise again.
#CPIWatch
#USJobsData
#RateCutExpectations
$TRUMP

🚨 US Unemployment Hits a 4-Year High — A Major Warning Signal

The latest US unemployment data just came in at 4.6%, slightly above expectations (4.5%) and the highest level since September 2021.

This is a serious development for the Federal Reserve.

📉 What the data is telling us:

The US labor market is now weaker than at any point in the last four years

Hiring momentum is slowing

Economic growth is losing strength

At the same time, inflation remains near 3%, still well above the Fed’s 2% target.

⚠️ This is the Fed’s worst possible setup — stagflation.
Slowing growth + rising unemployment + sticky inflation.

There are no easy options:

🔹 If the Fed keeps rates high:
A weakening labor market combined with restrictive rates increases the risk of recession and faster job losses.

🔹 If the Fed cuts rates too soon:
Inflation could reaccelerate — a mistake we’ve already seen after aggressive easing in 2020, which led to the 2021 inflation surge and forced sharp tightening in 2022.

This is why today’s unemployment data matters so much.

The Fed had broadly planned to avoid rate cuts in January, but this unexpected labor market weakness puts that stance under pressure.

📊 Ignore the data → recession risk rises
📊 React too fast → inflation risk returns

📚 A historical reminder:
In the 1970s, the US faced a similar mix of rising unemployment, high inflation, and stagnant growth. The Fed eventually crushed inflation with extreme rate hikes, but markets suffered — the S&P 500 delivered near-zero returns for a decade.

Today’s situation isn’t as extreme, but the risk pattern is familiar.

💡 What comes next?

Supporting growth first could trigger a short-term rally followed by a sharp correction

Fighting inflation first could cause a deeper downturn before a strong recovery #BTC

The Fed is unlikely to repeat 1970s-style tightening. More policy easing may come later.
#TrumpTariffs #RateCutExpectations

🚨 BREAKING: US LABOR MARKET CRACKING 🚨

🇺🇸 US economy added 64,000 jobs in November
➡️ Above estimate: 50,000

📉 Unemployment rate jumps to 4.6%
➡️ Highest since September 2021

⚠️ What this means:
• Labor market is clearly weakening
• FED rate cut expectations 🔥
• Crypto & risk assets volatility incoming

📊 Smart money is watching closely…
This data can flip markets FAST 👀

Follow for real-time macro + crypto updates 🚀
Not financial advice $PTB
$AVAAI
$FORM
#USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs #Fed #FedWatch #RateCutExpectations

the #BankofJapan (BOJ) planning to raise interest rates soon. Here's what it all means in easy words:

What are interest rates?
Central banks (like #BoJ in Japan or Fed in USA) set a "base" interest rate. It's like the cost of borrowing money.

.Low rates = Cheap to borrow → People spend more → Good for stocks and crypto (more money flowing into #bitcoin ).

.High rates = Borrowing gets expensive → People save more, spend less → Can hurt stocks/crypto prices short-term.

Japan's story (BOJ)

Japan kept rates super low (even negative!) for like 30 years to fight slow growth and no inflation. But now:

.Prices are rising steadily (inflation >2%).
Wages are going up.

.Yen (Japanese money) is weak.

So, BOJ is slowly raising rates to "normalize" things.

.Current rate: 0.50%In a couple days (Dec 18-19 meeting), almost everyone expects them to bump it to 0.75% – the highest in 30 years!

Past hikes in Japan often made risky things like crypto dip a bit, because less cheap money floating around globally.

Why care if you're into crypto/stocks?

.BOJ hike → Might make yen stronger → Less "free money" for betting on Bitcoin/stocks → Possible short dip.

Bottom line: These rate changes are like the big bosses tweaking how easy/hard it is to spend and invest. BOJ tightening a tiny bit could cause some bumps, but it's gradual. Don't panic-sell – markets always bounce!
What do you think will happen to BTC? Drop your thoughts!
#RateCutExpectations
#Rates

The US Federal Reserve (the "Fed") just cut interest rates a little bit last week (on Dec 10) — now they're at 3.5% to 3.75%. This makes borrowing money cheaper, which can help the economy and things like stocks/crypto.
Their next big meeting is at the end of January 2026.

Right now, smart money on prediction sites (like Kalshi and CME FedWatch) is betting:

.About 75-79% chance the Fed says "no change" — they keep rates the same.

.Only 20-25% chance they cut rates again.

Why? The economy is okay, inflation is cooling but not gone, and jobs are slowing a bit. The Fed wants to wait and see more data before cutting more.In short: No big rate cut expected in January — probably a "pause" to watch how things go. This could mean less wild swings in markets for now!

What is kalshi? And How it works👇

Kalshi is like a "smart betting" app/website where you can trade on what you think will happen in the real world — but it's legal and regulated in the US (not gambling).How it works:
They create "yes or no" questions about future events. Examples:Will the Fed cut interest rates next month?

.Will Bitcoin hit $100k this year?

.Who wins the Super Bowl?

.Even fun stuff like Oscar winners or weather!

.
You buy "Yes" shares if you think it'll happen, or "No" if you don't.

.Shares cost between 1¢ and 99¢ (the price shows the crowd's probability — like 79¢ means 79% chance).

.If you're right when the event ends, your share becomes worth $1 (big profit!). If wrong, it's worth $0.

It's super popular for finance stuff like interest rates because traders' money shows better odds than just polls.Think stock market meets predictions!

#Kalshi
#Fed
#USJobsData
#CPIWatch
#RateCutExpectations

Alert :

Many experts thought japan increases rates soon for sure in a result $BTC drops horrible way

Predictions around $63K or below

#BTC #Japan #RateCutExpectations

White House Economic Advisor Hassett says ‘Stronger data could support 50 bps cut.’

#RateCutExpectations

🚨 More than 1% Rate cuts expectations in 2026 😱📈🚀
#TRUMP #RateCutExpectations #news #BREAKING

🚨 More than 1% Rate cuts expectations in 2026 😱📈🚀 $TRUMP

#TRUMP #RateCutExpectations #news #BREAKING

🤯 TRUMP DEMANDS 1% RATES & FED CHAIR CONSULTATION

​President Trump has ignited a firestorm by publicly stating that the next Federal Reserve Chair should consult with him on interest rate policy and that he wants the benchmark rate driven down to 1% or lower by next year.

​This unprecedented level of public guidance has immediately put the spotlight on the long-standing tradition of the Federal Reserve's independence.

​What the President Said:

​1% Rate Target: Trump is pushing for a drastic cut from the current target range (which is around 3.50% - 3.75% following a recent cut) down to 1% or below within the next year.

​A "Consultative" Fed Chair: He insists the new Chair, whom he will nominate to replace the current Chair whose term expires in May, should view him as a "smart voice" whose views must be heard on policy decisions.

​Why This is a Huge Deal:

​The Federal Reserve is designed to be independent of the political cycle, allowing it to make difficult, long-term decisions—like raising rates to fight inflation—without fear of short-term political backlash.

​Threat to Independence: Critics argue that this demand for consultation and a specific rate target undermines the Fed's independence, which is seen as crucial for maintaining domestic and global confidence in the U.S. dollar and economic stability.

​The Candidates: President Trump has narrowed his focus to candidates he believes are aligned with his low-rate view, with former Fed Governor Kevin Warsh and National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett being the leading contenders.

​The market and policymakers will be closely watching the nomination process to see who is selected and how they address the tension between the White House's demands and the Fed's mandate to maintain stable prices and maximum employment.

​What do you think? Is a 1% interest rate achievable or desirable, and should the Fed Chair consult with the President?

#FedChair
#RateCutExpectations
#BinanceAlphaAlert

$LONG $BEAT $LIGHT

🚨 Trump Pushes for 1% Rates & Fed Chair Consultation 💥

President Trump is calling for the next Federal Reserve Chair to consult with him on interest rate policy and is aiming to drive the benchmark rate down to 1% or lower within a year.

Key Points:

1% Target: A sharp cut from the current 3.50%–3.75% range.

Consultative Chair: Trump wants the incoming Fed Chair to consider his views a “smart voice” in policy decisions.

Market Implications: Moves like this challenge the Fed’s independence, which is critical for confidence in the U.S. dollar and economic stability.

Candidates in Focus: Kevin Warsh and Kevin Hassett are leading contenders aligned with a low-rate vision.

Traders will be watching closely — a low-rate push could shift market sentiment for $LONG , $BEAT , and $LIGHT

#FedChair #RateCutExpectations #MacroMoves

Hello
$BTC
$ETH
#POWEL
#RateCutExpectations

Hello #POWEL

#RateCutExpectations

🚨BREAKING:

🇺🇸 PRESIDENT TRUMP JUST SAID INTEREST RATES SHOULD BE 1% OR LOWER IN 2026.

#Fed
#TrumpCryptoSupport
#RateCutExpectations
#cryptouniverseofficial
#OnChainAnalysis

$BTC

When Powel When? ? ?
#RateCutExpectations

They’re LYING to you, rate cuts are actually BAD…
Well, in the short term they are.
The biggest crashes in history didn’t happen before the Fed pivot.
They happened after it.
1970s?
Fed cuts → stocks nuked.
2000 dot-com?
Fed cuts → -51%.
2008?
Fed cuts → -58%.
Even the early 2020s saw the same pattern.
Every major decline came after the Fed switched from hiking to cutting.
Why?
Because the Fed doesn’t cut rates when “everything is great.”
They cut when something is breaking.
Liquidity, credit markets, the economy… and eventually equities.
Don’t be surprised if the market does the exact opposite of what everyone on your feed expects.
But here’s the thing, after those drops, markets always recover and eventually push to new all time highs. So don’t panic.
If you’re a long-term investor, you’re gonna be fine. Just make sure you have a solid safety net in place.
I’ll keep breaking this down for you in real time. You don’t have to navigate this alone, just pay attention.
I warned you about October’s crash days before it even happened and I’ll do it again, because this is what I’m good at.
Many people are going to wish they followed me sooner.
#RateCutExpectations

💥BREAKING:

🇺🇸 FED'S GOOLSBEE SAYS HE'S PROJECTING MORE RATE CUTS THAN THE MEDIAN FOR 2026.#USJobsData #RateCutExpectations

#TRUMP #RateCutExpectations #binance #BTC
Please cut it, please, please, please.. Jerome, Jery. just small cut. Do it for me...
Come on who's your daddy Jery?