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🔥 The "Fed Pivot" wasn't bullish; it was a warning. The market interpreted signals for potential rate cuts as positive, but deeper numbers suggest a cautious outlook. Understanding these underlying trends is crucial for navigating the current market environment.

⚠️ 1. The economy is splitting in two. Recent jobs reports indicate small businesses are losing jobs, while large corporations are adding them. This suggests the retail economy is struggling, potentially diminishing liquidity for altcoins. Expect strength in BTC and ETH, with small caps remaining weak.

🎈 2. Inflation won't easily return to 2%. The Federal Reserve faces challenges in lowering inflation without significant economic disruption. Consequently, 3% might effectively become the new inflation target. This perception suggests less belief in aggressive future rate cuts, prolonging tight liquidity.

🪙 3. What this means for crypto. We appear to be entering a stagflation phase characterized by rising costs and slowing economic growth. In this environment, cash loses purchasing power, and traditional stocks and small altcoins carry increased risk. Bitcoin may emerge as a relatively safer asset.

🧠 My simple strategy. I am not buying into the pump fueled by rate cut optimism, viewing it as potentially false hype. Prioritize safety and avoid excessive leverage. Consider accumulating Bitcoin during dips and temporarily steer clear of highly speculative altcoins. This period calls for smart traders to focus on survival.

Information is for market updates, not investment advice.

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