The Fed delivered the expected 25 bps cut, but everything changed after the headline.
Hereâs what really moved the markets:
đĽ 1. Fed Begins T-Bill Purchases on December 12
Starting with $40B per month, and Powell confirmed these elevated purchases will continue for âa few more months.â
This is not QE, but it is fresh liquidity returning to the system â especially after:
đ 2. QT Officially Ended on December 1
QT is done. Liquidity is coming back.
This combination alone is a massive shift from the last 2 years.
đ 3. Powell: Economic Growth Will Rise in 2026
This quietly implies ISM > 50 in 2025 â historically one of the strongest signals for major altseason cycles.
â 4. Rate Hikes Off the Table
Powell was clear:
âĄď¸ No hikes.
âĄď¸ Market should expect a pause or future cuts, nothing more.
This removes the biggest macro risk.
đ 5. Inflation Rising, Labor Market Weak
Powell admitted inflation is firming again, but the labor market is softening fast.
Thatâs the exact setup where the Fed usually cuts further.
âď¸ 6. Policy Rate Now âNeutralâ
Powell said rates are in the neutral zone, meaning:
⢠No aggressive cutting cycle yet
⢠No more tightening
⢠Data-dependent from here
This is why the tone leaned mildly hawkish, despite liquidity boosts.
đ BOTTOM LINE
This FOMC was hawkish on rates, but bullish on liquidity.
QT is done.
T-bill buying is starting.
Rate hikes are dead.
Growth outlook improving.
Altseason signals strengthening.
The macro tide is turning â slowly, but decisively. đ$BTC $ETH 
