🚨 FOMC DEC 2025: WHY BITCOIN DIDN’T PUMP🚨
(And what actually matters next)
The Fed did exactly what the market expected:
➡️ 25 bps rate cut (rates now 3.50%–3.75%)
➡️ 3rd cut of 2025
And that’s precisely why BTC didn’t explode.
📉 BTC price action says it all
• Pre-FOMC: ~$90K
• Spike: ~$94K
• Post-FOMC: Back near ~$90K
No follow-through. No surprise.
Here’s why 👇
🔹 The cut was fully priced in
CME FedWatch showed ~90% probability before the meeting.
Expected moves don’t create sustained pumps.
🔹 No promise of a rate-cut cycle (KEY POINT)
The Fed avoided committing to continued easing.
• ~80% chance of no cut next meeting
• Only ~20% chance of another 25 bps cut
That kills the “guaranteed easing” narrative.
🔹 Liquidity ≠ QE
Yes, the Fed announced $40B in T-bill purchases + repo ops.
Powell was clear: technical liquidity management, not stimulus.
🚫 No QE. No liquidity flood.
🔹 Macro remains mixed
• Unemployment: 4.4%
• Job growth slowing
• Inflation still above target
The Fed is cautious, not dovish.
🔑 What this means for crypto
Bitcoin doesn’t rip on confirmations.
It rips on surprise dovish pivots or real liquidity injections.
This FOMC delivered neither.
📌 Bottom line:
This meeting was a confirmation, not a trigger.
Until a liquidity shock or policy pivot appears, BTC ranges — it doesn’t explode.
Patience > leverage.
📊 What’s your BTC bias for the next FOMC?
