📉 Current Market Tone

$BTC

BTC
BTC
88,165.26
+3.03%

has slid below key resistance levels, trading in the mid‑$80K to $90K range amid broad crypto weakness and macro headwinds. Recent declines include drops below $88K and $86K.

Technical indicators show bearish momentum, with some analysts pointing to a loss of key supports and potential for further short‑term downside.

📊 Supply & Sentiment Dynamics

A supply crunch off exchanges suggests accumulation by long‑term holders, which could support price floors if selling pressure eases.

Institutional interest remains notable (e.g., large Bitcoin purchases by Strategy/MicroStrategy totaling nearly $1 billion recently), even as broader sentiment stays cautious.

🧠 Macro & Fundamental Drivers

Federal Reserve rate expectations have shifted: hopes for early rate cuts have dampened, pressuring risk assets like BTC.

📈 Outlook & Forecasts

Short‑term: Mixed signals—bearish risks persist if BTC fails to hold key support zones (~$85K–$88K), but accumulation and reduced exchange supply could stabilize prices.

Medium/long‑term: Some forecasts (from broader 2025 outlooks) still project Bitcoin targets above $100K to $120K+ if macro conditions improve and institutional flows resume.

📌 Key Levels to Watch

Support: ~$83K–$85K range

Resistance: ~$94K–$101K and higher trend levels

Break below major supports could extend correction; reclaiming resistance can reignite bullish sentiment.

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