The ADA/USDT 1-hour chart is clearly reflecting sustained selling pressure and weak short-term momentum. Cardano is currently trading near $0.386, after a steady decline from the $0.45–$0.47 region. This prolonged downtrend has placed ADA in a sensitive zone where the next move could define its near-term direction.
Market Overview: From Distribution to Continuous Decline
Earlier, ADA was trading in a tight consolidation range near $0.46, showing signs of distribution rather than accumulation. Once sellers took control, the price began a consistent downward move, breaking multiple support levels with little resistance. The drop accelerated as ADA lost the $0.42 and $0.40 levels, pushing price into the current $0.38–$0.39 range.
This type of price action often signals bearish sentiment combined with weak buying interest across the market.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Several technical zones now play a critical role:
Major Support: $0.37 – $0.38
This is the current demand zone. Buyers are attempting to defend this level, but the support remains fragile.Immediate Resistance: $0.39 – $0.40
A break above this zone is necessary for any short-term relief rally.Strong Resistance: $0.42 – $0.44
This area previously acted as strong support and is now a major selling zone.
Volume Analysis: Gradual Selling, No Strong Capitulation Yet
Volume spikes during earlier sell-offs indicate active distribution, but recent volume remains relatively moderate. This suggests that while selling pressure is consistent, there has not yet been a full capitulation move. In many cases, markets either consolidate at support or experience one final flush before stabilizing.
An increase in volume near support could signal accumulation or a potential trend shift.
Trend Structure: Clearly Bearish in the Short Term
On the 1-hour timeframe, ADA continues to form lower highs and lower lows, confirming a strong bearish structure. Until price reclaims $0.40 and holds above it, the probability of sustained upside remains limited.
Any bounce from current levels should be treated cautiously unless supported by strong volume.
Possible Scenarios Ahead
Short-Term Relief Bounce:
If $0.37 support holds, ADA could see a bounce toward $0.40–$0.41.Further Downside Risk:
A clear breakdown below $0.37 could open the door to $0.35 or even lower.Sideways Consolidation:
ADA may trade sideways between $0.37 and $0.39, forming a base before the next move.
Final Thoughts
Cardano is currently trading in a high-pressure zone where patience is critical. Prolonged downtrends often exhaust sellers eventually, but trying to predict the exact bottom can be risky.
Traders should closely watch price behavior around the $0.37–$0.38 support area, along with volume confirmation. Whether this zone holds or breaks will likely determine ADA’s next short-term trend.
