📌 Market Context & Asset Comparison
🔹 Bitcoin (BTC)
Experienced a recent sharp sell-off, with BTC down sharply from earlier 2025 peaks (once above ~$126k) and volatility continuing.
Crypto market pressure and forced liquidations have weighed on price.
Institutional forecasts are mixed — one major bank model suggests possible upside to ~$170k over the next 6–12 months based on a gold-relative valuation model.
🔸 Gold (XAU)
Gold is up strongly in 2025, historically outperforming almost all asset classes this year, including BTC in many measurements.
Central banks, safe-haven buying, and geopolitical concerns are supporting gold’s rally.
Some forecasts put gold continuing higher in coming years, albeit with slower gains.
📈 Relative Performance in 2025
Gold has been one of the top performing major assets in 2025, often outpacing Bitcoin in annual returns.
Bitcoin’s performance this year has been much more volatile, with significant drawdowns and mixed sentiment.
📊 Key Takeaways Right Now
BTC: highly volatile, currently below recent highs; sentiment weak but with some long-term bullish models.
Gold: strong safe-haven performance, still near record levels, and broadly outperforming BTC in 2025.
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