I believe the $BTC price is on 60k or below is a gift 🎁
ပို့စ်
Cas Abbé
·
--
WARNING $BTC DEATH CROSS IS FLASHING NOW: THINGS TO WATCH
Every cycle has that one headline designed to scare everyone into smashing the sell button. This time, it’s the Bitcoin Death Cross.
I’ve been in this market long enough to know one thing: the Death Cross deserves respect, but it doesn’t deserve blind panic.
A Death Cross happens when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. It tells me momentum has weakened. That’s it. It does not guarantee Bitcoin is about to fall off a cliff. It’s a lagging indicator, meaning price has usually been falling for weeks before the signal even appears.
History is where things get interesting.
In 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin printed major Death Crosses during brutal bear markets. Each one came before another painful leg lower but those same signals also appeared surprisingly close to the final stages of those bear markets. Investors who sold the fear often watched Bitcoin recover months later while they waited for confirmation.
That’s why I never trade a Death Cross by itself.
The market loves simple narratives. Retail hears Death Cross and thinks, Sell everything. Smart money asks a different question: Where is liquidity? Are buyers defending key support? What are ETF flows doing? Is on-chain demand improving or getting worse?
That’s the difference!
Another thing most people ignore is that Death Crosses produce plenty of fake-outs. Bitcoin has printed them before, only to recover shortly after and continue higher. Since moving averages react to past price action, they’re often late to the party. By the time everyone is talking about the Death Cross, a large part of the move may already be behind us.
So what am I watching now?
I’m watching whether Bitcoin can reclaim major resistance after the crossover. I’m watching volume on any bounce. I’m watching ETF flows because institutions have become one of the biggest drivers of price. If money keeps flowing in while retail panics, that’s information I don’t ignore. Recent periods have shown that strong ETF demand can offset bearish technical setups, even while the Death Cross remains on the chart.
Here’s the savage truth
The market doesn’t pay people for spotting a Death Cross. Everyone can see it.
The market pays people who understand what happens after everyone else reacts to it.
That’s why I refuse to make emotional decisions based on one indicator. I want confirmation. I want price action. I want volume. I want liquidity. I want the market to prove its next move instead of predicting it from a single crossover.
A Death Cross is a warning light on the dashboard not an explosion under the hood.
Stay alert
Stay patient
And remember: the market is built to transfer Bitcoin from impatient hands to disciplined ones.
#BTC #BTC走势分析
I’ve been in this market long enough to know one thing: the Death Cross deserves respect, but it doesn’t deserve blind panic.
A Death Cross happens when the 50-day moving average falls below the 200-day moving average. It tells me momentum has weakened. That’s it. It does not guarantee Bitcoin is about to fall off a cliff. It’s a lagging indicator, meaning price has usually been falling for weeks before the signal even appears.
History is where things get interesting.
In 2014, 2018, and 2022, Bitcoin printed major Death Crosses during brutal bear markets. Each one came before another painful leg lower but those same signals also appeared surprisingly close to the final stages of those bear markets. Investors who sold the fear often watched Bitcoin recover months later while they waited for confirmation.
That’s why I never trade a Death Cross by itself.
The market loves simple narratives. Retail hears Death Cross and thinks, Sell everything. Smart money asks a different question: Where is liquidity? Are buyers defending key support? What are ETF flows doing? Is on-chain demand improving or getting worse?
That’s the difference!
Another thing most people ignore is that Death Crosses produce plenty of fake-outs. Bitcoin has printed them before, only to recover shortly after and continue higher. Since moving averages react to past price action, they’re often late to the party. By the time everyone is talking about the Death Cross, a large part of the move may already be behind us.
So what am I watching now?
I’m watching whether Bitcoin can reclaim major resistance after the crossover. I’m watching volume on any bounce. I’m watching ETF flows because institutions have become one of the biggest drivers of price. If money keeps flowing in while retail panics, that’s information I don’t ignore. Recent periods have shown that strong ETF demand can offset bearish technical setups, even while the Death Cross remains on the chart.
Here’s the savage truth
The market doesn’t pay people for spotting a Death Cross. Everyone can see it.
The market pays people who understand what happens after everyone else reacts to it.
That’s why I refuse to make emotional decisions based on one indicator. I want confirmation. I want price action. I want volume. I want liquidity. I want the market to prove its next move instead of predicting it from a single crossover.
A Death Cross is a warning light on the dashboard not an explosion under the hood.
Stay alert
Stay patient
And remember: the market is built to transfer Bitcoin from impatient hands to disciplined ones.
#BTC #BTC走势分析