Monetary Policy & Inflation

Fed Updates:

No new statements in the past 24 hours

Most recent cut (10/12/2025): -25 bps to 3.5–3.75%, dovish policy stance

Impact: Long-term bullish for crypto (increased liquidity)

U.S. Inflation Data (released 18/12):

November CPI: 2.7% YoY (forecast 3.1%) – below expectations

Core CPI: 2.6%

Shelter: +3.0%, Energy: +4.2%

Impact: Bullish – increases the likelihood of Fed rate cuts (58% probability for March 2026), supporting risk-on sentiment

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