โ๏ธ RIVER/USDT | IMMEDIATE BIAS: SHORT > LONG
๐ฏ WHY SHORT HAS THE EDGE:
โ FOR SHORT:
Price at 3.889 โ just below 24H high (4.059)
+20.93% pump today โ high probability of profit-taking
Volume MA(5) < MA(10) โ momentum fading despite price rise (bearish divergence)
Clear resistance at 4.059 โ good risk/reouth if entering near high
Healthy USDT volume (73.54M) โ real liquidity for exits
๐ด AGAINST LONG (at current price):
Chasing pump near daily high
Volume declining while price rising (warning sign)
Poor risk/reward entering here$RIVER
๐ PREFERRED TRADE: SHORT
Entry: 3.980โ4.040 โฌ๏ธ
SL: 4.120
TP1: 3.600
TP2: 3.400
TP3: 3.200
Confirmation: 1H bearish rejection candle at 4.000+
๐ LONG ONLY IF (much better entry):
Entry: 3.400โ3.600 โฌ๏ธ (wait for ~10% pullback)
SL: 3.300
TP: 4.059 โ 4.315
Better R:R but requires patience
๐ง VERDICT:
SHORT has better immediate edge for a swing trade.
Volume decline during pump is a red flag for continuation.
Action:
Set limit short at 3.990โ4.030
Watch 1H close for rejection
If no rejection โ stand aside
Do not enter at current 3.889
โ ๏ธ Note: This is a solid token with good liquidity. Trade with normal 2% risk.$RIVER
