🚨The Fed's First Move: Markets Bet on a Hold🚨

New data from CME's FedWatch Tool is setting the tone for 2025's first major Fed decision.

📊 January Rate Probabilities:

•77.9% → Rates Hold Steady

•22.1% → 25bps Rate Cut

With nearly an 80% chance priced in for no cut, the macro environment suggests continued higher-for-longer pressure. Historically, this sustains headwinds for risk assets, including Bitcoin and altcoins.

The Watchpoint: All eyes are on any shift in this probability. A growing expectation for a cut could be the catalyst for a sharp risk-on rally. For now, the market is positioning for patience.