🚨 Crypto Risk Alert: Next Week Matters 🚨
Most traders are missing a major signal coming from the bond market.
🇯🇵 Japan’s 10Y yield has just pushed above its 2008 crisis level after the BOJ lifted rates to the highest point in almost 30 years.
Here’s the key detail 👇
Crypto doesn’t sell off immediately after BOJ moves.
The damage usually shows up one week later.
📉 Historical pattern: • Jan 2025 BOJ hike → BTC fell 7% the next week
• Mar 2025 BOJ hike → BTC fell 10% the next week
• Jul 2025 BOJ hike → BTC dropped 20% the next week
That’s why the next week is critical.
Another sharp downside move is possible — and that could form a local bottom.
⚠️ Local bottom ≠ cycle bottom.
Bitcoin is still following the 4-year cycle structure.
A relief bounce can happen.
A rapid new ATH is unlikely.
🧠 The usual sequence: • Japan yields rise → risk assets get sold
• Stocks, crypto, bonds all feel pressure
• US yields climb → debt stress increases
• Central banks are forced to intervene
They always do.
What comes next? • Policy pivots
• Liquidity injections
• QE 🖨️
📌 Short term: high yields = pressure + volatility
📌 Medium/long term: easing returns → liquidity flows → crypto benefits
Patience is the edge.
Deep resets create generational opportunities.
$BTC #USNonFarmPayrollReport #TrumpTariffs
