🛢️ ENERGY SHOCKS DON’T STAY IN ENERGY

Oil supply disruptions rarely remain isolated events. When geopolitical enforcement tightens physical flows, the impact spreads through inflation expectations, rates, and risk assets.

What markets will watch next:

• Whether disruptions are repeated or one-off

• How quickly alternative supply fills the gap

• Crude price reaction vs headline intensity

Why this matters for macro

Sustained energy pressure raises transport and production costs, which can slow disinflation and complicate central bank decisions. That’s where oil becomes a policy variable, not just a commodity.

For crypto and risk assets:

Higher energy prices can tighten financial conditions short term, increasing volatility. Longer term, persistent geopolitical stress keeps scarcity and alternative assets in focus.

Key takeaway:

Energy is no longer just traded — it’s weaponized.

Markets price that risk faster than politics can explain it.

#OilMarkets #Energy #Geopolitics #Macro #Inflation #GlobalMarkets #CryptoMacro