🇷🇺 RUSSIA'S WAR ECONOMY: Stressed, Not Broken
While headlines signal pressure, Moscow shows no signs of backing down.
Here’s the real breakdown:
📉 ECONOMIC BACKDROP:
· Inflation climbing
· Budget deficit widening — fueled by relentless military spending
· Oil & gas revenue declining under sanctions and price caps
· Growth slowing sharply
Yet — analysts say the situation remains manageable, not yet catastrophic.
⏳ WAR SUSTAINABILITY:
Current consensus suggests Russia can fund the conflict for another 3–5 years, even under current sanctions. Some argue longer.
Why?
· Deep foreign reserves & alternative trade channels
· Domestic production ramping for wartime needs
· Energy exports continue — especially to non-Western buyers
🛢️ KEY SUPPORT: OIL FLOWS
As long as Russia sells oil — even at a discount — cash keeps flowing.
Alternative buyers (China, India, Türkiye) help buffer Western bans.
⚠️ BOTTOM LINE:
Economic pain ≠ political withdrawal.
Putin’s regime is built to endure sanctions.
The war of attrition is far from over — and markets should price in prolonged instability.
#Russia #Ukraine #WarEconomy #Geopolitics #Oil
