🇺🇸 75% chance Americans receive stimulus checks in 2026.

Worth watching, but still very early. These probabilities usually reflect political and economic pressure, not a confirmed policy path. If growth slows or markets tighten, stimulus discussions come back fast - especially in an election-sensitive cycle.

For markets, the signal isn’t the checks themselves, it’s the liquidity mindset behind them. More fiscal support usually means more money chasing assets, even if implementation takes time.