BREAKING: šŗšø TRUMP TARIFFS š”
The market is betting on risk: Polymarket gives 72% against šŗšø Trump's tariffs
According to Polymarket, market participants estimate the probability that āļø the US Supreme Court will declare Donald Trump's tariff policy illegal at ~72%.
What it is:
a collective risk assessment by traders;
a quick indicator of expectations regarding the court outcome;
a signal of high uncertainty surrounding trade policy.
What it is not:
a court decision;
a legal forecast;
a guarantee of the outcome.
Why it matters for markets.
Tariffs = inflationary factor. Their removal reduces pressure on prices and supply chains.
Less inflation risk ā more room for a softer Fed policy.
Risk-on sentiment. Stocks and crypto typically react positively to reduced trade tensions.
Context and nuances
Prediction markets react faster than official comments, but can be volatile.
The 72% probability reflects the current balance of bets, which changes with new news.
Even in the event of a negative decision on tariffs, implementation and appeals could delay the effect.
This is not a verdict, but a market signal: participants are betting on an increased chance of a legal review of tariffs. For the macroeconomy, this is moderately positive ā reducing inflation risks and supporting risk-on sentiment ā but official legal steps remain decisive.
ATTENTION SIGNAL ALERT āØļøš„³
$BEAT š
SHORT PLAN āØļø
PATTERN MUST BE WORKING OUT āØļø
LOW VOLUME š
ENTRY SHORT WITH SL NEAR ENTRY POINT
FIRST PROFIT TARGET $3++ OPEN
#TRUMP #TrumpBitcoinEmpire #TrumpTariffs #USChinaDeal #USJobsData
