ARB/USDT Technical Analysis — Smart Money Is Selling the Hype
Most traders are asking the wrong question:
“Is ARB cheap?”
The real question: cheap compared to what structure?
Market Structure & Smart Money Context
On the 2H timeframe, ARB remains in a clear bearish structure. Multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) to the downside confirm sellers still dominate. Every bounce so far has been corrective, not impulsive.
The recent rejection from the Premium Zone (0.220–0.235) was a textbook smart money sell, harvesting liquidity before price continued lower.
Takeaway:
👉 Institutions are distributing, not accumulating, at highs.
Key Zones to Watch
Premium / Sell Zone: 0.220 – 0.235
Equilibrium: ~0.200
Discount / Buy Zone: 0.170 – 0.178
Price is currently below equilibrium, favoring continuation or a deeper sweep into the discount zone before any meaningful reversal.
Trade Scenarios (High-Probability Setups)
🔴 SELL Scenario (Trend Continuation)
Entry: 0.205 – 0.215
Stop Loss: 0.232
TP1: 0.185
TP2: 0.172
Bias: Bearish continuation
Aligns with dominant structure; excellent R:R if price revisits the supply zone.
🟢 BUY Scenario (Counter-Trend / Accumulation)
Entry: 0.170 – 0.175
Stop Loss: 0.162
TP1: 0.190
TP2: 0.205
TP3: 0.220
⚠️ Confirmation is key — wait for strong rejection or bullish displacement.
Final Thoughts
Retail traders are chasing hope, while smart money waits for discounts.
If ARB fails to reclaim equilibrium decisively, lower prices are likely.
⏳ Patience is not optional — it’s the edge.
👉 Follow for Smart Money concepts, real trade setups, and unbiased market structure analysis.
Trade less. Think more.
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