🤑 The Fed's balance sheet increased by $17,659,000,000 in one week!
▪️Miran, Fed Chair:
- I advocate for faster rate cuts to get closer to a neutral level.
- The Fed's monetary policy should be focused on 2027, not on past data.
- The growing role of stablecoins is increasing due to foreign demand.
▪️Williams, Fed Chair:
- The Fed's monetary policy has shifted from moderately restrictive to neutral.
- I expect inflation to be 2.5% in 2026 and 2% in 2027.
- The Fed is not conducting QE; current asset purchases are not aimed at long-term rate reduction.
▪️ Waller, Fed Chair:
- The labor market signals that the Fed can continue cutting rates without rushing or making drastic moves.
- The Fed's balance sheet is at a comfortable level, with reserves close to adequate.
- New asset purchases are not stimulating, and markets are barely reacting to them.
- I don't consider AI a bubble.
- Stablecoins will increase demand for the US dollar.
▪️ Goolsbee, Fed Chair:
- The rate could be cut quite significantly if it becomes clear that inflation is returning to 2%.
- In the long term, the rate level will be significantly lower than the current one.
- I don't support premature rate cuts without robust inflation data.
▪️ Bostic, Fed Chair:
- I supported the latest rate cut, but the decision was difficult.
- I would prefer to keep the Fed's monetary policy unchanged for now. - I don't include a rate cut in my 2026 forecast, expecting GDP growth of around 2.5%.
📌 Market expectations (#FedRates ):
- January 28, 2026: PAUSE.
- March 18, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.25-3.50%.
- April 29, 2026: PAUSE.
- June 17, 2026: PAUSE.
- July 29, 2026: 25 bps cut to 3.00-3.25%.
- September 16, 2026: PAUSE.