$BTC
BTC
89,889.48
+2.18%
CryptoQuant said bitcoin’s four-year cycle is driven mainly by changes in demand rather than by the halving event, which reduces supply. “Demand cycles — not halvings — drive bitcoin’s four-year cycle,” the firm said.
Despite the bearish outlook, CryptoQuant said the downturn could be relatively shallow by historical standards. Previous bear market lows have often aligned with bitcoin’s realized price, currently near $56,000, implying a possible decline of around 55% from the recent record high. The firm sees intermediate support around $70,000.