Two events. Two days.
July 1: Warsh at ECB Forum: "Price pressures have eased since I took office." First softer signal since his hawkish June debut.
July 2: NFP drops to 52K (forecast: 110K). May has been revised down from 172K to 129K.
Together: Fed now unlikely to hike in July.
September odds: 85% → sub-50% in one session. Bitcoin's first real bounce in weeks. Not investment advice.
July 1: Warsh at ECB Forum: "Price pressures have eased since I took office." First softer signal since his hawkish June debut.
July 2: NFP drops to 52K (forecast: 110K). May has been revised down from 172K to 129K.
Together: Fed now unlikely to hike in July.
September odds: 85% → sub-50% in one session. Bitcoin's first real bounce in weeks. Not investment advice.