❌ Guys, am I wrong or right — I said Monday $BTC could bounce, and that’s happening.
But wait… this bounce doesn’t look clean. It looks unfiltered.
Last week already gave signals. We saw ETF outflows, yet BTC didn’t break structure. No panic, no follow-through selling. Price stayed steady at highs. That usually tells one thing—supply was being absorbed quietly, not chased with leverage.
Even during the weekend, when markets are usually fragile, BTC didn’t bleed. Sideways price after bearish expectations isn’t strength, it’s seller exhaustion.
Now add today’s Fed update.
Fed officials signaling “no rush” on rates doesn’t flip trends, but it removes shock risk. No emergency tone, no sudden tightening hints. When urgency fades, reactions slow. Fewer panic sell, fewer liquidation wicks. BTC behaves better not because buyers rush in, but because fear steps back.
But here’s the key part—this bounce came with leverage. Open interest expanded, late longs started chasing, confidence picked up fast. That’s not how strong trends build. That’s how fragile moves form.
If smart money expects fresh capital later, including ETF inflows possibly returning after last week’s selling — they won’t want crowded high-leverage sitting on top. Clearing late longs first makes sense.
👉 If a pullback happens, the ranges that matter:
🔸 $88,900–$88,500
🔸 $87,900–$87,400
If ETF outflows continue or accelerate, price can explore deeper into this zone as spot supply increases—still a reset, not a breakdown.
Anything below this range would likely need stronger pressure, such as sustained heavy ETF outflows combined with negative macro headlines, not positioning alone.
👉 My take:
This Fed tone helps stabilize structure, not flip it.
This bounce is real, but still unfiltered.
Short-term downside wouldn’t mean weakness— it would mean cleanup before confidence returns.
If BTC holds after that — especially if ETF flows stabilize or turn positive — this calm won’t look accidental anymore.
$BEAT $ZEC #CPIWatch #TrumpTariffs
