Token unlocks are one of those silent market forces traders often underestimate. They don’t guarantee a dump — but they do increase circulating supply, and that alone can shift short-term price dynamics, especially in weak or low-liquidity markets.

This week (Dec 22–28), we’re seeing several notable unlocks worth keeping on your radar.

1. Humanity Protocol (H)

One of the largest unlocks in dollar terms this week.

Despite the relatively small percentage of total supply unlocked, the unlock value vs. current demand makes H vulnerable to short-term pressure. If buyers don’t step in aggressively, price absorption may be weak.

2. Plasma (XPL)

XPL continues its gradual supply expansion.

The unlock size is moderate, but with less than 20% of total supply unlocked overall, future emissions remain a structural overhang. Expect range-bound behavior or sell-the-news reactions.

3. River (RIVER)

RIVER shows a relatively high unlock impact compared to its market cap.

Low liquidity + unlocks is never a great combo. Volatility risk is elevated, especially if early investors decide to reduce exposure.

4. Overtake (TAKE)

TAKE’s unlock represents a meaningful percentage of circulating supply.

Without strong narrative or volume inflows, these types of unlocks often result in gradual downside rather than sharp dumps — death by a thousand cuts.

5. Sahara AI (SAHARA)

Even though the dollar value isn’t massive, the unlock-to-market-cap ratio is notable.

AI tokens are sentiment-driven right now — if the broader AI narrative cools off, unlock pressure may accelerate downside.

6. SPACE ID (ID)

This one stands out.

A large portion of supply is already unlocked, and this week adds even more. Historically, ID has struggled to sustain rallies during heavy unlock periods. From a trader’s perspective, this remains a high-risk hold short term.

7. SoSoValue (SOSO)

The smallest unlock on the list, both in percentage and dollar value.

Compared to others, SOSO faces the least immediate pressure, making it relatively more stable — though still not immune if market sentiment turns risk-off.

Trader’s Take

Unlocks ≠ instant dumps, but they cap upside

Weak markets + unlocks = increased downside risk

Best strategy: avoid fresh longs before unlocks, wait for post-unlock price discovery

Strong tokens absorb supply quickly — weak ones don’t

Smart money watches supply.

Retail watches candles.