Higher-Timeframe Market Structure
Long-term trend remains bullish
Recent move = complex correction, not trend reversal
Clear ChoCH near the December low → selling pressure weakened
Price reacted strongly from HTF demand
This suggests distribution is over, accumulation is developing.
2️⃣ Liquidity & Wyckoff Context
🔵 Liquidity BUY Zone
~80,000 – 85,000
Large equal-low sweep
Strong reaction → absorption confirmed
This is a classic Phase C / Spring-like reaction
Smart money is buying panic liquidity, not selling.
3️⃣ Structure Shift & Breakout Logic
Downtrend channel broken
Higher low forming above ~85,000
Compression → expansion setup
This is a trend resumption structure, not a dead-cat bounce.
4️⃣ Fibonacci Recovery Targets (Upside)
From the correction low, your chart correctly projects:
🎯 Primary Targets
0.5 → ~105,000
0.618 → ~110,000
0.786 → ~115,000
0.9 → ~122,000
These levels align with:
Previous BOS zones
Sell-side liquidity from prior peaks
5️⃣ Expected Price Path (Primary Scenario)
Hold above 85,000
Gradual push toward 95,000 – 100,000
Acceptance above 100k
Expansion toward:
105k
110k
115k+
Your projected arrow reflects this perfectly
