📉 Trade Setup

· Direction: Short (EMA structure bearish; price below key EMAs & declining)

· Entry Zone: 431–435

(Near current price 431.65, below EMA(7) & EMA(25))

· Stop Loss: 450.00

(Above EMA(25) and recent consolidation high)

· Take Profit 1: 415.00

(Near EMA(150) & prior support)

· Take Profit 2: 405.00

(Below EMA(200) and next support zone)

· Take Profit 3: 390.00

(Psychological extension & strong swing low)

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📊 Key Levels

Resistances:

1. 435.15 – EMA(7) immediate resistance

2. 440.35 – EMA(25) strong resistance

3. 450.00 – Key swing high & stop-loss zone

Supports:

1. 429.95 – EMA(150) initial support

2. 426.65 – EMA(200) stronger support

3. 415.00–410.00 – Next major support zone

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📉 Indicators & Reasoning

· EMA Alignment: Price < EMA(7) < EMA(25) → Bearish short-term trend

· RSI Oversold: RSI(6) at 31.03, RSI(14) at 38.47 → Oversold but not reversing yet

· Volume: Volume below MA(5) & MA(10) → Selling pressure dominant

· News Context: “Significant Bitcoin, ZEC, and HYPE Long Positions Ob...” → possible long liquidation risk reinforcing downside

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⚠️ Risk & Catalyst

· Risk: Oversold RSI could lead to a short-term bounce → tight stop-loss recommended

· Catalyst: Continued long position unwinding could accelerate decline

· Market Sentiment: Bearish EMA, low RSI → favor downside continuation

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✅ Final Plan

· Entry: 431.65 area

· SL: 450.00

· TP1: 415.00

· TP2: 405.00

· TP3: 390.00

· Risk/Reward: ~1:4 on first TP

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🔄 Alternative Scenario

If price reclaims EMA(25) at 440.35, reconsider short bias. A break above 450 invalidates bearish structure.$BTC $ETH $BNB #CPIWatch #WriteToEarnUpgrade #BinanceBlockchainWeek #TrumpTariffs #BTCVSGOLD