📍#SOL Ding Ding Technical Analysis Report (2025/12/23)
【Core Viewpoint】：Stuck in 126 dead water. Daily chart is bearish, short-term bounce can't even clear 126.3.
Solana is currently trading at 126.06, trapped in a suffocatingly narrow range. The Daily timeframe clearly shows a "Mid-Bearish" structure, capped by multiple moving averages with minimal room for a bounce. The short-term 1H chart has also weakened, rejecting price even at the minor resistance of 126.30. This indicates bulls are flatlining, and whales are using this "garbage time" to wear down retail patience. Once support at 123.83 or the critical 116.80 breaks, the door to $80 will be kicked open.
#Crypto #SOL #Solana #DingDingAnalysis
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📊 Long-Term Trend: Mid-Bearish (1D)
Market Interpretation:
The Daily close at 126.06 has lost all short-term MAs (126.68, 130.17) and is suppressed below 128.68. This is a sign of extreme weakness. Although the ultimate bearish defense is at 148.09, given current momentum, price struggles to even touch 130. Bears are in full control, targeting 107.05.
【1D Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Short dominance. Bounces are opportunities to add shorts; losing 107.05 is a signal to chase.
• Defense/Pivot: 148.09 (Bearish trend invalid only if reclaimed)
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 148.09 ～ 107.05 (Note: Wide range, execute near short-term resistance)
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): Close below 107.05
• Take Profit (TP): 107.05 ／ 80.62
• Stop Loss (SL): 154.00
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📊 Mid-Term Trend: Consolidation (4H)
Market Interpretation:
The 4H price is flatlining near 126.06, grinding around the 126.11 pivot. This is "ineffective volatility," with both sides waiting for a move. Strategy: watch the range edges (116-135) and avoid the chop in the middle.
【4H Swing Strategy】
• Key Action: Range watch. Bullish only above 135; bearish below 116.
• Defense/Pivot: 116.80
🛑 Watch Zone:
• Strength Watch: 135.35
• Weakness Watch: 116.80 (Breakdown voids bullish range thesis)
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📊 Short-Term Trend: Small Bearish (1H)
Market Interpretation:
The short-term trend has weakened, with closes consistently below 126.30. This means even micro-bounces face selling pressure. Sentiment is pessimistic; unless price reclaims 128.41, all short-term rallies are "bull traps."
【1H Intraday Strategy】
• Key Action: Short on resistance near 126.30; chase breakdown below 123.83.
• Fund Allocation: Limit Orders 60% + Chase Breakdown 40%
🛑 Short Setup:
• Short on Bounce (Limit Order): 126.30 ～ 128.41
• Short on Breakdown (Chase): 123.83
• Take Profit (TP): 121.72 ／ 119.25
• Stop Loss (SL): 129.96
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📝 Summary & Advice
• For Holders: SOL is lifeless, and the bearish Daily chart is a major red flag. Reduce positions on bounces before a potential crash. The risk of seeing $80 is real.
• For Non-Holders: This is a slow bleed. Patience is key. Wait for a bounce to the 126.30-128 zone to short, or wait for a breakdown below 123.83 to follow the trend. Do not guess the bottom; bottoms are formed, not guessed.
