🚨 THE #FED ISN’T BUDGING 🚨
Markets are rapidly repricing reality — and the pivot dream is fading fast.
📊 January FOMC expectations:
⏸️ 80.1% chance the Fed holds rates steady
✂️ 19.9% chance of a 25bp cut
That’s a brutal collapse in cut expectations in just weeks.
📅 March outlook = confusion & fragility:
✂️ 44.7% → one cut
⏸️ 47.1% → no change
🔻 8.2% → deeper easing
🧠 Translation for risk assets:
Policy relief is uncertain
Rate cuts are delayed
The “Fed pivot” is no longer the base case
For markets built on easy liquidity, this is a problem.
💥 Liquidity drives multiples
💥 Expectations drive momentum
Without clear easing, risk assets remain vulnerable — including $BTC and $ETH
⚠️ Volatility isn’t done.
The market is being forced to reprice reality — again.
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