$BTC /USDT on the 15-minute timeframe calmly and clearly, based on the chart you shared.
🔍 Market Structure (15m)
Price swept liquidity near 86,600 and printed a long lower wick → strong buy-side reaction.
The bounce was sharp, showing aggressive dip-buying, not a weak relief move.
However, BTC is now approaching dynamic resistance (MA cluster + descending MA99).
📈 Moving Averages Insight
MA(7) & MA(25) are curling up → short-term momentum is improving.
MA(99) ~ 88,130–88,200 is acting as key intraday resistance.
Price is currently testing this MA(99) and struggling to get acceptance above it.
📊 Volume Behavior
High sell volume on the dump → capitulation-like move.
Followed by strong green volume on the bounce → confirms real buyers stepped in.
Current volume is cooling → market is deciding, not trending yet.
🧠 Key Levels to Watch
Resistance:
88,200 – 88,400 → MA99 + previous rejection zone
88,850 – 89,000 → intraday supply & structure high
Support:
87,450 – 87,600 → short-term demand & MA support
86,600 → major liquidity low (very important)
🧭 Scenarios
Bullish Continuation (Needs Confirmation):
15m candle close above 88,200
Then BTC can push toward 88,850 → 89,000
Retest of breakout level would be healthy
Rejection / Pullback Scenario:
Failure to hold above 88,100–88,200
Pullback toward 87,600
As long as 87,400 holds, structure remains bullish-recovery
Bearish Only If:
Clean breakdown below 87,400
Then expect a revisit of 86,600 liquidity
🎯 Trade Bias (Short-Term)
Neutral → Slightly Bullish
Best trades come on:
Break & retest above 88,200, or
Support bounce near 87,500
⚠️ Chasing here is risky — BTC is at a decision zone, not an entry sweet spot.
