After Iran suffered the first round of attacks from the U.S. and Israel, Iran gradually stabilized the situation and began a comprehensive counterattack. This deterrent effect has already impacted the commercial centers in the Gulf region. Iran wants to strike hard at related targets in the Gulf region, forcing the Trump administration to compromise.
Now the pressure here in the United States is also very high. Polls show that Trump's approval rating has dropped to 39%, and 56% of Americans feel that he often resorts to military action for the interests of the United States, which is too radical. In many places like Los Angeles, New York, and Washington, there are people protesting against the war in the streets, cursing the U.S. government for taking military action against Iran. The U.S. Congress is also preparing to vote to limit the president's power to initiate war.
Even though the princes in the Middle East have a good relationship with Trump, they don't want to follow the U.S. into an attack on Iran for the sake of their own countries. What's more troublesome is that the American billionaires who invested in Gulf countries are now suffering massive losses. Many from the tech, crypto, and fashion scenes have moved to Dubai, and most of them still support Trump. Now their assets are taking a nosedive.
The worst-case scenario is Trump himself. He set up a golf community near the capital of Oman in 2022, and after becoming president, the licensing revenue skyrocketed from $7 million in 2023 to $45 million in 2024. The brand value jumped from $100 million to $500 million in just one year, and now it’s all going to take a hit.
Let's see how this war plays out. Iran is already ignited, and the U.S. can't find a suitable negotiating partner. A martyr like Khamenei is a hundred times more powerful than a living one. Taking out Khamenei would be the biggest blunder of this war. Give it a title.
#美国2月ADP就业胜预期 #特朗普15%全球关税将于本周生效
