Na podstawie wykresu, który podałeś (struktura spadkowa, linie MA, wolumen, niedawne minimum na poziomie 80,600).
✅ Ogólny trend
BTC jest obecnie w silnym trendzie spadkowym na 1-godzinnej ramie czasowej. Cena jest poniżej MA7, MA25 i MA99 Średnie kroczące mają nachylenie w dół Struktura tworzy niższe szczyty i niższe dołki Ostatnie załamanie sprowadziło BTC do 80,600 $ (obecne główne wsparcie) To oznacza, że sprzedający wciąż kontrolują rynek.
Poziomy wsparcia:
1. Główne wsparcie 80,600 $ To jest najważniejszy poziom na twoim wykresie. Jeśli BTC spadnie poniżej tego poziomu → oczekiwany nowy ostry spadek.
Indicators: MA7, MA25, MA99 → Full Bearish Alignment
1. Trend Structure Market Direction: BTC chart shows a deep multi-day downtrend: Lower highs
Lower lows
Continuous breakdown candles
Selling pressure increasing BTC dropped sharply from ~$95,000 → now ~$86,500 with no strong bounce. This confirms: Bears fully in control
Trend is aggressively bearish
Market sentiment is weak
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Strong Support Zones
$86,000 – $86,500 (Current Support)
BTC just touched $86,068 Buyers reacted slightly If this level holds → short-term bounce possible
$83,000 – $84,000 Major liquidity zone If BTC continues falling, this is the next stop $80,000 (Psychological Support) If the market crashes or panic selling triggers BTC can touch $80K Major Resistance Zones $88,500 – $89,200 Immediate resistance First bounce target If BTC fails here → another drop starts
$90,700 – $91,000 (MA25 Zone)
Medium-term resistance BTC must reclaim this to stop bearish momentum $92,000 – $92,500 (MA99 Zone) Critical long-term resistance If BTC breaks above this → trend reversal starts
3. Moving Average Analysis (MA7, MA25, MA99):
All moving averages are trending DOWN: Price < MA7 < MA25 < MA99 → full bearish sequence
MA7 curving down → selling pressure increasing
MA25 far above price → downtrend strong
MA99 even higher → large bearish sentiment To flip bullish short-term: BTC must reclaim $91K–$92K Until then:
Market remains bearish
Sellers dominant
4. Volume Analysis:
Huge red volume spike at the breakdown → panic selling
Previous bounces had weak volume → weak buyers
Recent sell volume the highest in chart → strong bearish continuation signal This means: Panic selling is active
More downside possible
Bullish momentum not visible yet
5. RSI / Momentum (Estimated):
RSI is near oversold region due to the sharp drop. Meaning:
BTC can give a small bounce
But overall momentum is still bearish
Bounce without volume = fake bounce
6. BTC Next Move Prediction:
Bullish Scenario (30% Chance) BTC must hold $86K support and bounce above: $88,500
$90,700 (MA25)
$92,000 (MA99)
If BTC breaks these levels, targets: $94,000
$96,000
$98,500 Bearish Scenario (70% Chance — More Likely) If BTC fails to hold above $86K, next targets: $84,000 $83,000 $80,000 (Major Support) If $80,000 breaks, BTC can enter a deeper bear cycle.
7. Summary What BTC Will Do Next:
Trend: Strong bearish
Volume: Heavy selling
Price: Breaking major supports
Momentum: Weak
Bounce attempts: Weak If BTC holds above $86,000 → small bounce to $88,500–$90,700 If BTC breaks $86,000 → direct slide to $84,000 → $83,000 → $80,000
1. Analiza trendu: Wyraźny trend spadkowy: Wykres pokazuje, że Solana (SOL) znajduje się w silnym, wyraźnym trendzie spadkowym: Cena jest znacznie poniżej MA25 Cena jest jeszcze niższa niż MA99 Rynek tworzy stałe niższe maksima i niższe dołki Świadczy to o utrzymującym się spadkowym impecie przez wiele dni. Dopóki SOL nie przebije poziomu 150–155 USD, trend będzie niedźwiedzi.
2. Krytyczne poziomy cenowe, na które należy zwrócić uwagę:
The chart you provided shows Bitcoin currently in a strong downtrend, with price sitting around $89,216. Let’s break everything down with a complete, technical overview.
1. Trend Analysis Strong Downtrend: Bitcoin is consistently forming: Lower Highs Lower Lows This confirms a clean bearish trend.
BTC is trading below MA25 and MA99, which strengthens the bearish structure. Until BTC climbs above these moving averages, the trend remains bearish.
2. Key Levels:
Major Support Zones
$88,700 – $88,800
BTC has recently tested this area. If it breaks below this zone: Next supports: $86,500 $84,200 Breaking $88,700 would increase the chance of a deeper drop. Major Resistance Zones
$91,400 (MA25)
$93,300 (MA99) — very strong resistance BTC must break above $93,300 to even consider a trend reversal.
3. Volume Analysis: Recent candles show high selling volume. Bulls are weak and unable to push the price up. The market is showing panic-style selling with low buying pressure. Low volume recovery attempts = bearish continuation.
4. Candlestick Behavior:
Current candles show: Long red candles → strong selling
Small green candles → weak buying Wicks at the bottom → buyers trying, but failing This means BTC is oversold, but buyers are still not strong enough to reverse the trend.
5. BTC’s Next Possible Move
Most Likely Scenario – Bearish Continuation (60–70% probability) If BTC breaks 88,700 support again: It will likely fall to $86,500 Possibly even $84,200 Selling pressure will increase This is the dominant scenario based on trend strength. Less Likely Scenario – Short-Term Bounce (30–40%)
If BTC holds above $88,700: A small bounce to $91,400 (MA25)
Only above $93,300 (MA99) do we get early signs of a real reversal Right now this scenario is weaker because the market structure favors bears.
Final Summary Bitcoin is still in a strong downtrend. Expect these possibilities: If $88,700 breaks → BTC drops to $86,500 / $84,200 If BTC bounces → Short move up to $91,400 True trend reversal only above $93,300 Bears are in full control, and bulls are struggling.
Strong Support Zones $3,000 – $3,050 Current key support zone If ETH stays above this → recovery continues $2,940 – $2,960 Major liquidity zone Strong bounce came from here (chart shows $2,943) If this breaks → bearish continuation confirmed $2,800 Big structural support If market crashes, ETH can fall here Key Resistance Zones: $3,180 – $3,220 (Immediate resistance) ETH currently close to this zone MA99 also nearby → strong resistance Breakout needed for bullish move $3,300 – $3,360 Previous multi-hit rejection zone Bears very active here
$3,450 – $3,520 Major trend reversal level Only after breaking this ETH becomes strongly bullish
3. Moving Averages (MA7, MA25, MA99):
MA7 is trending upward → short-term momentum building
MA25 is neutral → sideways pressure
MA99 is still downward → overall trend bearish ETH is currently trying to break above MA25.
But to confirm a bullish reversal: ETH must close above MA99 (~$3,129 – $3,150) Until then: Trend remains weak
Bulls not in full control
4. Volume Analysis: Volume shows: Past selling volume was heavy
Recent bounce shows rising buying volume
No strong breakout candle yet
Bears still active on any move toward $3,200+ Meaning: Buyers are returning
Market stabilizing above $3,000
But strong confirmation missing
ETH can still face rejection around $3,200–3,250 zone
5. RSI / Momentum Observations:
RSI appears mid-level (45–55 zone): No oversold
No overbought
Market in recovery mode Momentum is improving, but not explosive.
6. ETH Next Move Prediction:
Bullish Scenario (45% Probability) For ETH to rise further, it must: Hold above $3,080–3,100
Break $3,180–3,220 resistance
Close above MA99 If breakout happens → targets:
$3,280
$3,350
$3,450
$3,520 (Major Target)
Bearish Scenario (55% Probability — More Likely): If ETH gets rejected at $3,180–3,220, or if BTC falls: ETH may retrace to:
$3,050 $3,000
$2,943 (Last strong support)
$2,800 (Major downside) If $2,943 breaks → ETH enters a new bearish leg.
7. Summary What ETH Will Do Next?
ETH is recovering from $2,943
Buyers are slowly returning
Short-term trend turning positive
But overall trend still bearish
Resistance at $3,180–3,220 is extremely strong If ETH breaks $3,220 → Uptrend starts If rejected → ETH drops back to $3,050 → $3,000 → $2,943
Indicators: MA7, MA25, MA99 → Full bearish alignment
1. Trend Structure Market Direction:
Chart clearly shows: Lower Highs
Lower Lows
Price is below MA7 < MA25 < MA99
Long-duration downtrend from $2.45 → now near $1.68
This confirms a strong bearish trend, but right now SUI is attempting a small recovery bounce after touching $1.5780. SUI is in a downtrend channel but trying to break short-term pressure.
2. Key Support & Resistance Levels:
Strong Support Zones: $1.58 – $1.62 (Major Support) Recent bottom: $1.578 Buyers stepped in here (volume spike visible) If this level holds → small recovery can continue $1.45 – $1.50 Next heavy liquidity zone
If BTC drops, SUI can fall into this area
Resistance Zones (Very Important): $1.75 – $1.80 (Immediate Resistance) Price is currently fighting this zone MA25 / MA99 are near this area → strong rejection zone $1.90 – $2.00 Trendline resistance If SUI reaches here, rejection chances are high $2.20 – $2.30 (Major Reversal Zone) If SUI enters this zone, it means full bullish reversal attempt
3. Moving Averages Analysis (MA7, MA25, MA99) All MAs are sloping DOWN → Confirmed bearish trend. Price < MA7 → micro bearish MA7 < MA25 → short-term bearish MA25 < MA99 → mid-term bearish Price < all MAs → no confirmed reversal yet SUI must break $1.80+ and close above MA99 to start a bullish reversal.
4. Volume Analysis:
Volume behavior: Selling volume > Green buying volume
Downtrend volume strong
Recent bounce candle has stronger green volume (good sign) This means: Buyers are starting to show interest near $1.57
But overall trend still bearish
If future bounce candles stay weak → reversal will fail
5. RSI / Momentum (Estimated): RSI is near mid-level after bouncing from oversold. Meaning: Market is recovering from heavy oversold region SUI has room for a slight upward move But not enough momentum for a full trend reversal yet
6. SUI Next Move Prediction:
Bullish Scenario (40% Chance) For upside movement SUI must:
Hold above $1.58–$1.62
Break $1.75–$1.80 resistance
Close above MA99 near $1.90
If these levels break, targets: $1.95
$2.10
$2.30 (Major Resistance)
Bearish Scenario (60% Chance – More Likely) If SUI gets rejected at $1.75–$1.80, or if BTC falls: SUI will drop to: $1.62 $1.58 $1.50 $1.45 (Major Support) If $1.45 breaks → SUI can fall toward $1.30 zone quickly.
BTC/USDT Technical Analysis: Support Resistance and What’s Next for Bitcoin:
1. Detailed Candlestick Analysis: Current Price Action (around 93,188.8):
The candlesticks in the chart show some recent indecision after a significant price drop. This indecision could
suggest a consolidation phase, where market participants are uncertain whether to push the price higher or lower.
The small candlesticks in recent days indicate low volatility, which is typical in a market that's waiting for a catalyst (such as a major support/resistance break, or news affecting the market).
Support Level (89,000): There is a clear support zone around 89,000 that Bitcoin tested and bounced from. This price level might have been a point where buyers entered, causing the price to rise. If Bitcoin holds this level, we could expect consolidation followed by a bullish reversal. A break below this level, however, would be a bearish signal.
A strong bullish candlestick formation (such as a bullish engulfing pattern) above 89,000 could indicate further upward momentum.
Resistance Levels: 94,000-95,000 seems to be a resistance zone where the price has struggled multiple times. If Bitcoin tests this level again, we will need to watch whether it breaks above or faces rejection.
A break above 94,000 would potentially open the door for higher price targets, and next resistance could lie around 96,000 to 97,000.
2. Moving Averages (MA):
MA25 (Short-Term Trend) and MA99 (Long-Term Trend): Currently, the price is above the MA25 but still under the MA99, which suggests that the short-term trend is slightly bullish, while the longer-term trend is still neutral to bearish.
If the price crosses back above the MA99 (94,000 level), this could signal a shift to a more bullish trend. Alternatively, if the price falls below the MA25 and MA99, it could indicate that sellers are still in control. Golden/Death Cross:
A golden cross (when the shorter-term moving average crosses above the longer-term moving average) would be a bullish signal, and a death cross (when the shorter-term moving average crosses below the longer-term moving average) would indicate a bearish trend.
We should keep an eye on whether the MA25 crosses above the MA99 (bullish signal) or the reverse happens, as this would be crucial for confirming the trend.
3. RSI (Relative Strength Index) and Overbought/Oversold Conditions:
Although the RSI isn't visible on this chart, it’s a very helpful indicator to understand the overbought or oversold conditions of the market.
If the RSI is below 30, it indicates that the market might be oversold, which could lead to a rebound (bullish reversal). If the RSI is above 70, it could suggest that the asset is overbought, indicating a possible pullback.
Ideal Scenario: If RSI shows oversold conditions (below 30) near 89,000 support, it could give further confirmation for a buying opportunity.
Overbought Conditions: If BTC approaches 94,000 or higher with the RSI above 70, it would signal a potential short-term pullback.
4. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence):
MACD Crossover (Bullish/Bearish Signal):
Look for a bullish crossover (when the MACD line crosses above the signal line) as a confirmation of upward momentum.
Conversely, a bearish crossover (when the MACD line crosses below the signal line) would indicate weakening bullish momentum or the potential for further downside. Check the MACD histogram for signs of momentum. If the histogram is moving from negative to positive, it indicates increasing bullish momentum, while the opposite would indicate a weakening trend.
5. Volume Analysis:
The volume has been dropping off significantly, which means that the market is likely in a consolidation phase. Low volume can indicate that traders are waiting for a catalyst. The large spike in volume seen on 11/03 corresponds to the massive drop in price, signaling heavy selling pressure at that time. If volume increases significantly, especially in a bullish direction, this could signify the beginning of a new trend. Rising Volume with Bullish Price Action: Signals that the bulls are taking control.
Rising Volume with Bearish Price Action: Would indicate that the bears are pushing the market lower.
6. Potential Scenarios and Next Moves:
Bullish Scenario:
Price Bounce from Support (89,000): If Bitcoin continues to hold support around the 89,000 level and moves upwards with increasing volume and a potential break above 93,000, this could signal the start of a bullish reversal.
A break above 94,000 (the recent high) would be a key level to confirm the bullish move. The next potential target after 94,000 would likely be in the 96,000-97,000 range.
Bullish Breakout Confirmation: Watch for a bullish candlestick formation near 89,000, accompanied by a MACD crossover and increasing volume. These would suggest the price could rise toward resistance levels (94,000 and beyond). Bearish Scenario:
Failure to Hold Support: If Bitcoin fails to hold the support at 89,000 and falls below it, this could signal a deeper correction. The next potential support could be at 85,000 or 80,000.
Breakdown with Low Volume: A breakdown with low volume might be indicative of market indecision, but if volume picks up on the downside, this could signal further bearish pressure.
Conclusion and Strategy:
For Bulls: If you believe that Bitcoin will bounce from this support level, you may consider entering positions around 89,000 with a stop-loss just below that level (around 88,000-89,000). Watch for a breakout above 94,000 for confirmation of continued bullish momentum.
For Bears: If you're looking for a bearish setup, you might wait to see if the price breaks below the 89,000 support level and follow the next bearish moves below that level. Targets could be at 85,000 or lower.
#ETH ETH/USDT 1. Aktualny stan rynku: Z Twojego wykresu: Cena: ~$3,012 Ostatni dołek: $2,958 Trend: Wyraźny trend spadkowy (niższe szczyty + niższe dołki) MA25 i MA99: Cena jest poniżej obu MA MA25 jest poniżej MA99 → Potwierdza niedźwiedzi momentum Ta struktura pokazuje, że sprzedawcy wciąż mają kontrolę. 2. Kluczowe sygnały techniczne widoczne na wykresie: A. Struktura trendu: ETH konsekwentnie tworzy: Niższe szczyty Niższe dołki → Klasyczna struktura rynku niedźwiedzia B. Średnie kroczące: Cena odrzucona w pobliżu MA25 i MA99 kilka razy MA spadają
SZCZEGÓŁOWA ANALIZA NASTĘPNEGO RUCHU BTC (Wykres 1H):
(BTC/USDT)
1. Ogólny trend – JASNY NIEDŹWIEDZI: Na Twoim wykresie BTC jest obecnie w silnym trendzie spadkowym: Formują się niższe szczyty Formują się niższe dołki Cena handluje poniżej MA7, MA25 i MA99 Sprzedawcy mają pełną kontrolę Trend pozostaje niedźwiedzi, dopóki BTC nie przebije $95,800 – $96,200 2. Zachowanie aktualnej ceny: Aktualna cena: ~$92,113
Niedawny dołek: $91,801 BTC znajduje się w krytycznej strefie wsparcia.
3. Kluczowe poziomy wsparcia (cele spadkowe):
Jeśli BTC przebije poniżej niedawnego dołka ($91,801):
1. Struktura Trendu (Kierunek Rynku): Wykres wyraźnie pokazuje, że ADA jest: Tworzenie Niższych Szczytów
Tworzenie Niższych Dołków
Cena porusza się poniżej MA7 < MA25 < MA99 To potwierdza silną strukturalną tendencję spadkową. Ostatnie ruchy cenowe ciągle spadają bez silnych oznak odwrócenia. ADA obecnie handluje w dolnej strefie kanału trendu spadkowego.
BTC nadal porusza się w dół, a wcześniejsze strefy wsparcia są łamane. Momentum wygląda na niedźwiedzie, szczególnie jeśli odbicie pozostaje słabe. W krótkoterminowej strukturze BTC tworzy niższe maksima i niższe minima, co potwierdza niedźwiedzią sekwencję.
2. Strefy Wsparcia i Oporu do Obserwacji: Strefy Wsparcia (Ważne Poziomy)
$94,150–$94,500 — obecny krytyczny zakres wsparcia (tutaj zostanie podjęta decyzja o odbiciu lub złamaniu)
#BTC (BTC/USDT) Cena bieżąca: ~$94,451 Ostatnie minimum: $94,150 Trend: Silny niedźwiedzi Wskaźniki: MA7, MA25, MA99 wszystkie wskazują w dół
1. Analiza głównych trendów Wykres wyraźnie pokazuje, że BTC porusza się w silnym trendzie spadkowym: Cena ciągle osiąga wyższe maksima Cena ciągle osiąga niższe minima Rynek ciągle łamie poprzednie strefy wsparcia i porusza się w dół MA7 @ MA25 @ MA99 — to jest znane jako sekwencja niedźwiedzia Znaczenie: Niedźwiedzie mają pełną kontrolę w tej chwili.
2. Obecna struktura (Zachowanie cen) Ostatni ruch jest bardzo ważny:
1. Struktura trendu: XRP niedawno dokonał ostrej korekty z poziomu $2.60 w dół do $2.0855, co jest głównym lokalnym dołkiem. Po tym, mocno odbił się powyżej $2.40, pokazując krótkoterminowy byczy odwrót. Jednak po nieudanej próbie utrzymania się powyżej $2.50, cena ponownie spadła poniżej swoich krótkoterminowych MA, co wskazuje na pauzę lub potencjalną fazę korekty. Podsumowanie: Większy trend: nadal w fazie odbicia po dużym spadku.
1. Aktualny przegląd: Aktualna cena: $153.47 MA(7): $153.14 MA(25): $159.38 MA(99): $188.09 Najnowsze dno: $145.87 Najnowszy szczyt: $207 Solana jest w wyraźnym trendzie spadkowym od końca października po osiągnięciu szczytu w pobliżu $207. Skorygowało się ostro do około $145, a następnie nastąpiła niewielka korekta, ale teraz znowu pokazuje słabość. 2. Analiza średniej kroczącej: MA(7), MA(25) i MA(99) są ustawione w niedźwiedzi sposób (7 @ 25 @ 99). To wskazuje, że zarówno krótkoterminowe, jak i średnioterminowe trendy są nadal negatywne. Cena jest poniżej 25-godzinnej MA ($159), co potwierdza, że nabywcy jeszcze nie odzyskali siły.
Dokładnie poziom $104K działał jako kluczowa strefa wsparcia, tak jak przewidywano.
Teraz, gdy BTC spadło poniżej niej (w zakresie ~$101.2K), scenariusz odbicia i testowania wsparcia jest wyraźnie w grze.
Jeśli kupujący zdołają odzyskać $104K–$106K z potwierdzeniem wolumenu, momentum wzrostowe może wrócić. W przeciwnym razie, dalsza konsolidacja lub głębszy test w kierunku $100K pozostają prawdopodobne.
1. Przegląd struktury rynku Ramka czasowa: 1 godzina (H1) Aktualna cena: ~$14.80 Trend: Krótkoterminowa konsolidacja po silnym byczym rajdzie Struktura: Wyższe minima formują się wokół $13.90 → $14.20 → $14.50 = kupujący wciąż aktywni. Niższe maksima w pobliżu $15.40 → $15.20 → $15.00 = krótkoterminowe realizowanie zysków. Rynek obecnie porusza się bokiem między $14.40–$15.20, strefa zwijania przed kolejnym wybiciem. Przełamanie i zamknięcie powyżej $15.20–$15.30 potwierdza kontynuację byczą. Zamknięcie poniżej $14.40 prawdopodobnie skoryguje w kierunku $14.00–$13.70.
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