A cluster of three Polymarket accounts made around $611,000 on Tuesday from trades tied to Trump's conditional U.S.-Iran ceasefire announcement. Bubblemaps linked the same cluster to about $1.2 million in profits on markets tied to Israeli and U.S. strikes on Iran in late February. Bubblemaps said it cannot say for certain that the accounts belong to insiders, but said the bets were large and well-timed.