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CME FedWatch shows a 99% probability that the U.S. Federal Reserve will keep rates unchanged in June, versus a 1% chance of a 25-basis-point cut. For July, the tool shows an 84.4% probability of no change, a 14.8% chance of a 25-basis-point hike, and a 0.8% chance of a 25-basis-point cut.

Japan will fully permit overseas stablecoins from June 1, opening a new access channel for these assets in the country. The change would integrate stablecoins into Japan's financial network. The shift also clarifies their legal status after they were previously treated under securities laws or left in a regulatory gray area.

Japan’s Financial Services Agency finalized rules on May 19 that let qualifying foreign-issued trust-type stablecoins enter the country’s payment system, with the framework taking effect June 1. The reform reclassifies qualifying foreign trust-type stablecoins as Electronic Payment Instruments under the Payment Services Act. Foreign issuers must show that their home jurisdiction matches Japanese standards on licensing, auditing, anti-money laundering controls, and same-currency reserves. SBI VC Trade is exploring licensed services involving global stablecoins such as USDC.

The CFTC and the Department of Justice sued Minnesota and Governor Tim Walz over a state law that takes effect on August 1 and bans prediction market trading. The law covers contracts tied to sports, weather, company valuations, and government events. The agencies argue these products are federally regulated derivatives and swap contracts, not illegal gambling that states can ban.

Deloitte has absorbed Blocknative through a team acquisition, and Blocknative will discontinue its API services and Gas Network. Blocknative said both services are expected to run until June 19 before a gradual shutdown. The Blocknative team will focus on Web3 work within Deloitte's client portfolio.

Regional mediators and U.S. officials said Iran's position in talks with the United States has changed little from earlier rounds that failed to make progress. Iran still wants an end to hostilities, economic relief, war reparations, and a supervisory role in the Strait of Hormuz. Regional sources also said the United States and Israel are preparing for a new round of strikes in the coming days, with some suggesting an attack could come as early as next week.

Fontes disseram que a administração Trump planeja informar os aliados da OTAN esta semana que os Estados Unidos irão reduzir as forças designadas para crises maiores na Europa. Sob o Modelo de Força da OTAN, os estados membros identificam forças que podem ser mobilizadas durante um conflito ou outra grande crise. Fontes disseram que o Pentágono planeja anunciar sua intenção em uma reunião de chefes de política de defesa em Bruxelas na sexta-feira, mas a escala e o cronograma permanecem incertos.

Minnesota became the first state to ban prediction markets after Gov. Tim Walz signed a bill making it a felony to create, operate, manage, or advertise such platforms. Within hours, the CFTC and DOJ sued the state, arguing the law illegally interferes with federal authority over event contracts. The dispute escalates a broader fight between states and the Trump administration over whether platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket fall under state gambling rules or exclusive CFTC oversight.

Tokenized equities daily trading volume reached a record $3.57 billion on Monday, according to The Block's data. The record followed a month of climbing weekly volumes in April. Bloomberg reported that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission is working on guidelines and an innovation exemption for onchain equities.

A Union Investment afirmou que stablecoins privadas como Tether e USDC têm falhas estruturais e funcionam como hedge funds discretos. O gestor de ativos disse que os ativos de reserva que incluem Bitcoin e ouro podem expor equipes de finanças corporativas ou investidores institucionais a perdas durante a volatilidade do mercado.

Os dados da Hyblock apontam para um forte interesse de compra em Bitcoin na faixa de $68.000–$70.000, enquanto a relação entre ofertas e pedidos se manteve em -0,03, mostrando que os vendedores estavam mais agressivos do que os compradores. Os dados de liquidação da CoinGlass mostram mais de $3,4 bilhões em posições longas acumuladas perto de $74.700 e cerca de $11 bilhões expostos se o Bitcoin cair para $70.000 ao longo da faixa de 90 dias.

O Zcash subiu mais de 73% no último mês, enquanto a capitalização total do mercado cripto ganhou 0,2% no mesmo período. Em 19 de maio, os traders estavam de olho na resistência de neckline entre $625 e $650 em um padrão de copo e alça. No início de maio, a Robinhood listou ZEC e a Multicoin Capital revelou exposição ao Zcash.

TD Cowen raised its price target on Strategy to $400 from $395 and kept a Buy rating after faster-than-expected Bitcoin accumulation. TD Cowen said Strategy had already bought more BTC midway through Q2 than it had modeled for the full quarter and now forecasts about 100,000 BTC of Q2 purchases.