Wall Street tracks quarters.
Crypto tracks cycles.
But legends track Valentineās Day.
Hereās what February 14 has looked like for Bitcoin over the years:
2011: $1
2012: $5
2013: $20
2014: $600
2015: $300
2016: $450
2017: $1,200
2018: $10,000
2019: $3,631
2020: $10,000
2021: $45,000
2022: $42,500
2023: $22,000
2024: $75,000
2025: $95,000
2026: $70,000
Now pause.
This isnāt just a price list.
This is a psychological map of every cycle.
š Cycle Anatomy Hidden in the Data
If you zoom out, Valentineās Day becomes a cycle checkpoint.
2011ā2013: Discovery Phase
From $1 to $20.
This wasnāt investment ā this was experimentation. Early believers. No institutions. Pure asymmetric bet.
2014ā2016: First Major Boom & Bust
$600 ā $300 ā $450
Classic post-parabolic reset.
Liquidity dries up. Media disappears. Builders stay.
2017ā2019: Mania & Capitulation
$1,200 ā $10,000 ā $3,631
Retail euphoria. ICO explosion. Then a brutal 80% reset.
Weak hands exit. Strong hands accumulate.
2020ā2022: Institutional Era
$10,000 ā $45,000 ā $42,500
This is when hedge funds, corporates, and macro players entered.
Bitcoin stopped being a ātech experimentā and became a macro asset.
2023: Fear
$22,000
Post-liquidity tightening. Rate hikes. Risk-off environment.
Everyone calling it dead. Again.
2024ā2025: Acceleration
$75,000 ā $95,000
Supply shock dynamics. ETF flows. Institutional rotation.
Narrative shifts from āspeculativeā to āstrategic reserve asset.ā
2026: Correction
$70,000
And here we are ā not collapse, not euphoria.
Just another structural retrace inside a long-term uptrend.
š§ What Smart Money Understands
Bitcoin doesnāt move randomly.
It moves in liquidity waves:
Expansion
Euphoria
Contraction
Disbelief
Reaccumulation
Every Valentineās Day price reflects which stage we were in.
The biggest mistake retail makes?
They fall in love at $95k.
They break up at $22k.
Smart money does the opposite.
š The Deeper Signal
From $1 to $70,000 in 15 years.
Even after multiple 70ā80% drawdowns.
Thatās not volatility.
Thatās emergence.
Zooming into a single year creates fear.
Zooming out reveals adoption.
And adoption has one direction over time.
Up.
š¬ Final Thought
Valentineās Day reminds us of something important:
If you had simply held through every heartbreakā¦
Youād still be massively in profit.
In crypto, loyalty beats timing.
Not financial advice.
Just historical perspective.



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