Some operators are already saying:

"Markets are not rising because the dominant narrative is chaos, and that narrative is never corrected until there are real signs of peace or diplomatic resolution."
Meanwhile, the same algorithms that liquidate long contracts in crypto and futures when there is news of war… feed off fear. This creates a self-feeding cycle of technical panic + human fear + real geopolitics.

Conclusion?
We are not in a simply bearish or sideways market due to technical fundamentals — we are in a market hijacked by global political uncertainty.

It's not just about the economy, it's not just about macro, it's not just about tech earnings.
It's a WAR RATCHEL, with oil, VIX, global rates, American politics, and international narrative… all in the same loop.
- Markets are not rising because the market already knows that peace is the true trigger for sustainable rallies — and today, peace is in tied, tense negotiations, with real bombs falling.
- In the end, it’s not a question of whether markets can rise — the real question is:
When will the world be able to dismiss the geopolitical variable as the dominant driver?
As long as that doesn't happen…
bounces will be deadly, volatile, and extremely profitable only for those who understand fear as an indicator, not as a prophecy.
$BTC #TRUMP #iran #petroleo ?