๐Ÿšจ FOMC IS COMING: THE FED IS ABOUT TO DELIVER ITS VERDICT โ€” AND THE MARKET ALREADY KNOWS WHAT TO EXPECT! ๐Ÿ”ฅ๐Ÿ“Š
In 2 days (Wednesday night / Thursday 02:00 Kyiv time), the Federal Reserve will announce its latest interest rate decision.
And the market is almost 100% convinced about the outcomeโ€ฆ ๐Ÿ‘€
๐Ÿ“Š According to CME FedWatch:
๐Ÿ”น 98.1% probability the rate stays UNCHANGED (HOLD)
๐Ÿ”น Only 1.9% chance of a 25 bps cut
Soโ€ฆ no gifts from Jerome Powell this March ๐Ÿ˜ฎโ€๐Ÿ’จ
What about April? It doesnโ€™t look very different ๐Ÿ‘‡
๐Ÿ“‰ โ€“50 bps cut โ€” just 0.1% probability
๐Ÿ“‰ โ€“25 bps cut โ€” only 5.8%
๐ŸŸฐ 94.1% โ€” HOLD again
The market has accepted the reality:
๐Ÿ”ฅ Inflation is still sticky
๐Ÿ’ผ The labor market remains strong
๐Ÿฆ The Fed is playing the long game
What does this mean for markets? ๐ŸŒ
๐Ÿ’ต The U.S. dollar may remain strong
๐Ÿ“‰ Markets could continue testing investorsโ€™ nerves
โšก But when the Fed finally starts cutting rates โ€”
it could trigger a massive move across global markets
โ“ Question for you:
Are you already on the sidelines waiting for the first real rate cut closer to summer?
Or are you still hoping for a surprise from the Fed? ๐Ÿ‘€
Drop your thoughts in the comments! ๐Ÿ’ฌ
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#Fed #FOMC #InterestRates #Markets #Finance ๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ“Š $REZ
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