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GT可乐
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GT可乐

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The Anchor of Halving: Market Logic Behind the $38,000 Target Price from Historical PatternsIn April 2024, Bitcoin underwent its fourth halving, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. The daily new coin output for miners dropped sharply from about 900 coins to 450 coins. This is the deflationary mechanism coded into Bitcoin's DNA by Satoshi—its total supply is permanently capped at 21 million coins, with around 19.68 million mined and about 1.3 million left to be mined. Every halving is a re-pricing event for scarcity. Standing here in mid-2026, the market is at a crucial crossroads: after the frenzy of October 2025, where Bitcoin hit a historical peak of around $126,000, it's now retraced to the $60,000 to $70,000 range. Some are panicking, while others are exiting. But historical experience tells us—especially amidst this bearish trend and cleansing phase—the $38,000 target price has solid logical support.

The Anchor of Halving: Market Logic Behind the $38,000 Target Price from Historical Patterns

In April 2024, Bitcoin underwent its fourth halving, reducing the block reward from 6.25 BTC to 3.125 BTC. The daily new coin output for miners dropped sharply from about 900 coins to 450 coins. This is the deflationary mechanism coded into Bitcoin's DNA by Satoshi—its total supply is permanently capped at 21 million coins, with around 19.68 million mined and about 1.3 million left to be mined.
Every halving is a re-pricing event for scarcity.
Standing here in mid-2026, the market is at a crucial crossroads: after the frenzy of October 2025, where Bitcoin hit a historical peak of around $126,000, it's now retraced to the $60,000 to $70,000 range. Some are panicking, while others are exiting. But historical experience tells us—especially amidst this bearish trend and cleansing phase—the $38,000 target price has solid logical support.
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[⏰今晚20:00](https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/qr/dplk2a15b08704614d8292208a50130929c9) Going live with Tony! Talking market trends? Nah, that's a no-go. Spouting nonsense? For sure, that's the real deal. Gotta show the face? Absolutely! 😎 Got the drinks ready, see you tonight!
⏰今晚20:00

Going live with Tony!

Talking market trends? Nah, that's a no-go.

Spouting nonsense? For sure, that's the real deal.

Gotta show the face? Absolutely! 😎

Got the drinks ready, see you tonight!
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